Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, January 29, 2010

David’s Kingdom for a Horse

Interesting betting race, today’s New York feature, a second allowances optional claimer for state-breds going six furlongs.

There’s no shortage of speed or ralliers in this event that’s drawn a good-sized field, including a horse we’ve been waiting for since making its return on January 2. Here’s how my trip note reads on King David J (5-1):

“Used hard four wide throughout backstretch, then rated while racing wide on turn, pushed hard five wide into stretch, finished gamely between horses and was checked nearing the wire.

Now if you go back and look at his running lines, note that he won second start off the layup last year, today’s scenario, and did so on this surface. Linda Rice is 23% efficient with second off the layup starters and Rosie Napravnik takes the re-ride.

Taking King David J to win at 4-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with fast finishing Gold Vendetta (7-2).

Running Totals: (583) 182-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,253.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, January 28, 2010

A Walk in the Park

Conditions are such that we could have chosen either the third or eighth races on the Gulfstream turf for today’s feature. We opted for the third because of prevailing conditions and price considerations.

Because, after all, why shouldn’t Afternoon Stroll (6-1) do just that, given the lack of standout pace in this matchup?

This sharp working Tim Hamm-trained four-year-old has upside on the newly turned 4-year-old angle, has earned the fastest performance figure and, with Johnny Velazquez, should set a comfortable tempo, stalking comfortably should that need arise.

But given her state of freshness, the trainer’s solid success percentage with these types, the early-line odds are just too tempting to pass up.

Taking Afternoon Stroll to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Forest Trail (3-1) from the live McGaughey shed.

Running Totals: (582) 182-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,253.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Maker’s Filly Looks Sweet at GP

Given a rare dark Wednesday in New York, our focus shifts south for the Gulfstream Park feature, a conditioned allowance optional claiming sprint at 5 furlongs for fillies and mares on the turf.

These vents, of course, feature turf-sprint specialists, especially at the prevailing distance. While many of these have enjoyed success under these conditions, including favorites Summer Flight (3-1) and Streamin Heat (4-1), it’s Candy Cane (6-1) that intrigues most.

Michael Maker has well documented success when shipping from venue to venue, and while this filly is winless on turf, she has won on the synthetics and earned the top performance figure under these conditions in November at Churchill Downs.

Prior to shipping to SoFla, Candy Cane tuned up for this setting a very hot pace on the Turfway Polytrack, which should set her up perfectly for a return to grass, which appears to be her preferred surface.

At early line odds, it’s worth finding out if Julien Leparoux can guide her home. This appears to be a perfect spot, especially at today’s reduced level.

Taking Candy Cane to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas with her main rivals here.

Running Totals: (581) 181-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,246.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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