Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, October 03, 2014

Seeking Value in Keeneland’s Lidlifter, a Wide Open Alcibiades

Well celebrate the Keeneland opening by focusing on the Alcabiades, always contentious no matter what surface it was run on and, of course, today it's DIRT.


However, we're hoping for a fair surface and not the old inside-speed highway. We shall see.

If it's a race for juveniles, which it is, of course, Todd Pletcher will be a strong factor, of course.

Here he saddles early line favorite Fashion Alert (4-1), a fast filly who leaves from the pole with Johnny and is 2-for-2 lifetime, including the G3 Schuylerville on opening day at Saratoga. Can you say pointed toward this?

Still, we'll take the value offered by Calamity Kate (8-1), a recent maiden breaker who comes in off three races at graduating distances and energy figures that have improved incrementally. She has tactical speed, a favorable inside draw, and she can kick. Kelly Breen taps his go-to guy, Paco Lopez.

Taking Calamity Kate to win at 6-1 or greater, boxing the exacta with Fashion Alert, and adding price shots Naval Command (15-1) and Innovative Idea (10-1) to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1619

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 491-314-251

Amount Wagered: $3,238 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,361.20

Profit to Date: $123.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)


Thursday, October 02, 2014

Brown Speedster Just Looks Too Tough

Tried as I might, could not honestly believe I could beat the favored Bakken (8-5) is today's secondary allowance/optional claiming feature for 3 & up going 6-1/2 furlongs. He's simply too damn fast.

Not only that, but he can set punishing factions and keep on going. Lightly raced, there obviously are some issues here but since he's been training right along for some time, enters this fresh for Chad Brown, his kind of speed might be worthy of a try in the Breeders' Cup Sprint. He could punch that ticket here with Javier along for the ride.

It's like Moreno's trainer says: if you're ahead of this guy, you're going too fast. Don't believe any of his rivals wants to be, or can be, that sacrificial lamb.

Taking Bakken to win, no price restrictions, and key-boxing exactas with properly spotted Captain Serious (5-2) and the very sharp Geaux Mets (12-1).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1618

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 490-314-251

Amount Wagered: $3,236 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,358.20

Profit to Date: $122.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (4)


Saturday, September 27, 2014

Tonalist to Get His Revenge

We interrupt our journey south to bring you this JCGC message.

Harken back to the Travers in which Tonalist was used early and raced wide throughout, setting things up nicely for a late runner. Wicked Strong almost got there, an unlucky, good-trip loser, but stable-mate V.E. Day, under brilliant Javier handling, did.

Now the Belmont winner returns to the site of both victories this summer, where he earned his lifetime best energy figures, and now an OK workhorse worked like a wild horse in preparation for today, presumable without the blinkers that will be removed today.

His final blowout was the fastest of 39 3-year-olds to work this week at Belmont. An anticipated honest pace and more patient handling should help make amends.

Taking Tonalist (4-1) to win at 3-1 or greater, and key-boxing him first and second in exactas with rival Wicked Strong (3-1) and hard-hitting elder, Zivo (6-1).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1617

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 489-314-251

Amount Wagered: $3,234 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,350.00

Profit to Date: $116.00

HRI Faithful::

There's nothing wrong health-wise, thank goodness, but I need some time away for personal reasons.

I'm switching venues: Saratoga now will be my summer home. My home base will be South Florida.

I leave Thursday, with a stopover for Super Saturday.

There is much last-minute packing, bill paying and logistics to deal with.

Much gnashing of teeth will ensue.

I will come up with a selection or two for the Jockey Club card, but nothing until then.

My best guess is that the FRA analysis will return daily on, Thursday, October 9, hopefully sooner.

Brendan's Smarty Jones opus will entertain you throughout the week.

TV Tom will be covering the JCGC for HRI next weekend and will post his 'Ante Post' column Tuesday, Sept 30, and will continue his weekly schedule thereafter.

If any of you are indigenous to Belmont Park Saturday and spot me, please come up and say hey.

No pies in the face, please, my family will be in tow.

That's it and that's all.

Stay safe and healthy, and a speedy trip to your runners. Current totals below.

Thanks for your loyalty.

The Management

Written by John Pricci

Comments (9)


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