Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Sunday, April 19, 2009

Stering the Value Pot

Today’s Keeneland feature is the Grade 3 Ben Ali for older horses racing nine furlongs and it has attracted a handful of Keeneland-Polytrack specialists.

In a relatively small field, we’ll narrow it down to the favorite, Monba (5-2), and the second choice, Sterwins (7-2).

Monba is a deserving favorite. He’s never lost in two starts on this track, including the 2008 Blue Grass, has been keeping G1 company on the West Coast, acquitting himself fairly well, comes in six weeks fresh for Todd Pletcher, who won two races yesterday with Garrett Gomez, today’s pilot. We will appreciate the venue and the class relief.

Sterwins, however, is not without portfolio. Not only did he win his only start on the Keeneland Poly, but it was in this race last year. Think he’s been pointed toward this. If you don’t wish to make the leap, consider that he won last year going turf to Poly with Shaun Bridgmohan, who rides him back here following the Fair Grounds grass prep.

Taking whatever value is offered on Sterwins at 3-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Monba.

Running Totals: (408) 125-86-54 Total Dollar Return: $854.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, April 18, 2009

Double Your Pleasure, Double Your Fun

Going on the record with Square Eddie as the most probable winner of today’s Grade 2 Coolmore Lexington Stakes at Keeneland. Odds of 8-5, or greater, are fair.

We’re making two win bets on price shots in today’s race. Taking both Pitched Perfectly (15-1) and Parade Clown (15-1) to win at 10-1 or greater, boxing them in all exotics with Brave Victory (8-1) and Square Eddie (9-5).

Running Totals: (406) 124-86-53 Total Dollar Return: $849.00 [win selections only] (Friday's results not included)

For complete analysis of today’s Coolmore Lexington Stakes from Keeneland Race Course, see John Pricci’s Morning Line blog on the lead page

Written by John Pricci


Friday, April 17, 2009

Indescribably Bettable

Keeneland Spring keeps popping out the graded stakes, today the G3 Doubledogdare for fillies and mares four & up at a mile and a sixteenth. And this is an interesting one, too.

Remember what Bill Mott pulled off in the Lanes End, winning a graded stakes in a seasonal-debut scenario? Well, he’s at it again here with early line favorite Indescribable and he is likely to get a similar result. Let’s count the ways.

Class-wise, she’s a multiple graded stakes winner and is G1 placed behind Ginger Punch. Obviously pointing since she was third in this race last year, she clearly has the best performance figures among those who have run on Keeneland’s Poly surface. Then, of course, there’s Mott’s profitable 23 percent strike rate in this scenario.

The other interesting fillies in here are Awesome Ashley (6-1), fast enough and picking up Gomez for Todd Pletcher from the inside, Miss Isella (4-1), training strongly for the hot Ian Wilkes in G2 company last year--third in her lone start on this surface, and Drop A Line (8-1), a price shot with competitive figures and Jeremy Rose down for the ride on the uncoupled Motion entrant.

Taking Indescribable to win at 2-1 or greater, keying her first and second in exactas, and in all trifecta money positions, extra tickets with price shot Drop A Line.

Running Totals: (406) 124-86-53 Total Dollar Return: $849.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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