Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, October 10, 2009

From Over There to Charmed Circle Here

The big, big race at Santa Anita today is the Goodwood at 9 furlongs featuring the return of Mine That Bird, Colonel John, Tiazo, the three-year-old Chocolate Candy and all the rest. We’re taking the stranger, a real stranger.

Gitano Hernando (15-1) was pointing for the Kentucky Derby when he was declared from that classic and didn’t return until a few weeks ago at Wolverhampton. Getting a few pounds as a three-year-old, this colt is 2-for-2 on synthetic tracks and ships over for the Team Valor outfit, who knows where to spot the European imports.

His recent prep effort was first rate and Kieren Fallon is not letting this colt get too far away from him. His trainer Marco Botti is considered a young phenom. Obviously, he needs to run well here to return in the Classic next month. The others might not be wound too tightly. That won’t be the case with this guy.

Taking Gitano Hernando to win and place at 12-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (520) 155-106-74 Total Dollar Return: $1,043.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, October 09, 2009

Jane, Meet Dina

You mean Diamond Dina is fastest on performance figures, 56 days fresh and is first-time Rick Dutrow? And 5-1 on the early line? Do I have any other choice than to take this mare to upset the overnight Possible Mate Stakes?

I must use the five-year-old mare to beat early line favorite Bubbly Jane (8-5), a developing four-year-old with a forward-looking pattern, owning a big class edge, experience in marathons, and getting blinkers, trainer Paulo Lobo tapping Johnny V. for the assignment. A deserving favorite for sure.

Taking Diamond Dina to win at 4-1 or greater and boxing the exacta with Bubbly Jane.

Running Totals: (519) 155-106-73 Total Dollar Return: $1,043.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, October 08, 2009

Conditions Smiling Down on Stormy Relations

Today’s Belmont Park feature is an overnight stakes, the Memories of Silver, for fillies and mares, 3 & up, sprinting six furlongs on turf. As is the case with most turf sprints, this one’s very competitive.

Issues that need resolving are whether Lindelaan (7-2) can turn back into a sprint effectively (guessing yes) whether fast Tar Heel Mom (5-1) can handle turf in her aggressively spotted grass debut (rather not guess) and whether the Rice uncoupled trio is a bit over the top (seems likely).

In any case, we’re not taking a short price here and find Stormy Relations (10-1) very interesting. She has conditioning turning back from routes, was unlucky when beaten under these conditions here in the summer, handles any ground and picks up underrated turf ace Jose Lezcano. Further, David Donk can’t be any hotter and there appears to be sufficient pace to help her late running talent.

Taking Stormy Relations to win at 8-1 or greater and keying her in exactas with Lindelaan and Meriwether Jessica (5-1).

Running Totals: (518) 155-106-73 Total Dollar Return: $1,043.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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