Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, November 01, 2009

Can’t Criticize Favorite Backers in Long Island Handicap

Today’s Grade 3 Long Island Handicap at the Big A, at a mile and a half for fillies and mares, looks like the perfect spot for Criticism (8-5), who makes it a habit of trying hard and racing well in Grade 1s that are just a bit too tough for her. However, when she drops into G2 and G3 she usually dominates her rivals. We expect that will be the case today.

Taking Criticism to win, no price restrictions, and boxing her in the exacta with price shot Tidal Dance (20-1). Making her turf debut is a sign of confidence from a trainer that’s a profitable 21 percent in that scenario, She has the pedigree to get the marathon route and attracts Alan Garcia.

Running Totals: (534) 16-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,129.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, October 31, 2009

If I Lose, Only Myself to Blame

We do believe the linemaker made the wrong favorite in today’s Grade 2 Raven Run, the final Saturday program of the Keeneland fall meet. It’s hard to argue with Parading’s (7-5) credentials. Always competitive in G1 company, he gets a little class relief here, likes the artificial surface, draws inside and attracts Kent D. for Shug McGaughey.

But this year has been not only the year of the filly but the year of the three-year-olds, who have represented their class well when pitted against their elders. Now Blame (9-5) won’t make you reach but should enable you to knock off the favorite.

Developing beautifully, he’s never taken a backward step in his career on the Equiform scale and as a sophomore, gets weights from his elders. Last out he was a very good second to Breeders’ Cup-bound Regal Ransom, who dictated a soft pace on his way to the circle. Six weeks fresh, little Al Stall’s three-year-old should continue to march under regular rider Jamie Theriot.

Taking Blame to win at 8-5 or greater and keying him in exotics with the favorite and price shot Public Speaker (10-1), a late developing 4-year-old who’s in raging form and draws the for ship-in ace, Dale Bennett.

Running Totals: (533) 161-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,122.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, October 30, 2009

They Call Him Mr. Hooker

Today’s preliminary allowances for state-bred 3-year-olds and up at a mile and a sixteenth on the fresh Big A turf course features a speedster vs. strong connections vs. a price shot with a good late kick making its second start in a new barn adding blinkers.

That’s what makes Mr. Hooker (12-1) an interesting play. His inside draw and the switch to Alan Garcia also helps as he’s certain to get a good pace due to the presence of the fast Cash’n In Dixie (3-1), a colt with good connections stretching out but with a questionable pedigree for the route.

Compelled to take Mr. Hooker to win at 8-1 or greater, on turf only, and keying him first and second with Cash’n In Dixie and the fast but thus far disappointing Quiet On the Tee (5-2).

Running Totals: (532) 161-106-76 Total Dollar Return: $1,122.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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