Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, August 21, 2009

Another Interesting Lake Placid Offers Value

Today’s featured Grade 2 Lake Placid for three-year-old turf fillies not only is usually a good betting race but it’s the event that points out future divisional stars. That might be the case once again.

The four fillies of interest are in post order, Katara (10-1), second favorite Shared Account (7-2), Keertana (4-1) and favorite Mary’s Follies (3-1).

We have chased the favorite from Belmont Park, at double digit odds, to the G3 Virginia Oaks in which she was seriously overbet. She should have been closer to third in her tough trip turf debut and again with a strong-finish difficult trip finish in the Oaks.

Both races were on off ground and this could be her first start on firm turf. It might be all she needs to break through.

Keertana is going for her fourth straight grass victory and did win the G3 Regret at this trip at Churchill Downs but does not show the development we‘d like to see in her performance figures.

Mary’s Follies is fast, was a G3 winner of the Boiling Springs in her turf debut and subsequently was purchased privately and turned over to Rick Dutrow. She prepped for this in a recent off-the-turfer and now returns to her preferred surface with Ramon Dominguez on the re-ride.

But we can’t pass up the value with Katara, who finished very well too late behind Shared Account at Colonial Downs over soft ground, a very difficult thing to do. It was an ambitious spot. She acquitted herself well, attracted Alan Garcia, interesting at the time and now Saratoga’s leading trainer will take the re-ride.

Taking Katara to win at 8-1 or greater, and keying her first and second in exactas and trifectas with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (485) 145-99-66 Total Dollar Return: $1,000.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, August 20, 2009

D’Funnybone Redux

D’Funnybone’s Chances No Laughing Matter

The most interesting thing about Saratoga juvenile racing is that youngsters ship from all over to test their mettle at America’s Racetrack. The way we look at the G2 Saratoga Special at 6-½ furlongs for colts is a battle between a California shipper and a Florida shipper with new connections: Zip Quik vs. D’Funnybone.

Zip Quik (4-1) is trained by Patrick Biancone, who signed a piece of paper stating I will be a good boy. As for his horse, he’s never taken a backward step on performance figures and has three races worth of experience. He might fly after coming off those California synthetics into Saratoga.

D’Funnybone (7-2) is making his first start for the Pompa-Dutrow team after a private purchase following a fast, impressive score at Calder Race Course. D’Funnybone is coming off a game second in the Frank Gomez Memorial, a change of pace effort indicating some maturity following a frontrunning debut win.

Rick Dutrow is 32 percent profitable with new acquisitions and is working with extreme purpose at his Aqueduct base before shipping north with Edgar Prado on the re-ride. The Gomez has produced a next-out winner from two subsequent starters.

Taking D’Funnybone to win at 5-2 or greater, an exacta box with Zip Quick, and adding fast-working Tiny Woods to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (484) 144-99-66 Total Dollar Return: $994.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Adirondack a Thing of Beauty

The second half of the Spa 141 race meet begins with the G2 Adirondack for two year old fillies going 6-½. It features the tough-trip runnerup in the opening day Schuylerville and yet another Jess Jackson purchase off a fast and impressive debuting filly at Calder race course last month.

The horse to beat is Beautician (3-1) who, after being forced to check dramatically, finished strongly for place too late behind the impressive and undefeated Hot Dixie Chick. While trainer Ken McPeek is having a rough meet, this miss ran well and McPeek is profitable in second-time Lasix scenarios.

Interesting that Jackson bought Dashing Debby from a fast, visually impressive Calder debut knowing that he had Hot Dixie Chick in the barn. Maybe because the latter runs in his wife’s name or maybe, like Rachel Alexandra, she’s a daughter of Medaglia d’Oro. Either way, she will be a tough out.

Taking Beautician to win at 2-1 or greater, boxing her in the exacta with Dashing Debby. Trifecta players can add late running Camille’s Appeal (5-1), an uncoupled Asmussen filly, and fast working Sassy Image (8-1) to their trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (484) 144-99-66 Total Dollar Return: $994.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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