Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, October 17, 2009

Durante Would Love This Filly

With today’s Belmont feature rescheduled for Wednesday, we’ll take a look at the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Keeneland for three-year-old fillies going nine furlongs on the turf.

Clearly, Gozzip Girl (6-5) and Miss World (3-1) need no introduction. Both are Grade 1 winners and the favorite just missed in another while taking two Grade 3s as well. Shared Account (6-1) is no slough either, winning a Grade 2 in Saratoga plus a game placing behind Miss World last out.

But we’re going for the gusto with Hot Cha Cha (8-1). Her last was her best, a Grade 3 score in the Pucker Up as a fresh filly at Arlington Park last out. The thing about her is that she keeps developing, is improving as the season lengthens, and turf ace James Graham, who won the Pucker Up, is taking the re-ride here. And, of course, she’ll be a price.

Taking Hot Cha Cha to win at 8-1 or greater and keying her in exotics with her very logical rivals here.

Running Totals: (523) 157-106-75 Total Dollar Return: $1,081.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, October 16, 2009

Don’t Go to Sleep On This Guy

Today’s feature, if you can refer to it as that, is likely to come off the turf as tomorrow’s stakes race, the Athenia, will not be run and will be rescheduled for Wednesday, such is the nature of the NY weather at the moment.

So we’re looking at today’s preliminary allowances, the eighth race, as a dirt event. If it’s not, it will be my bad and you might double up tomorrow if so inclined. Or we just might take a look at Keeneland for Saturday.

But today, Barclay Tagg’s Wild Awake will be a tough out. He’s fastest on performance figures, emerges from a new pace top, and now the blinkers are removed fittingly. And it happens that Tagg is a profitable 38 percent efficient in that scenario.

Taking Wild Awake to win with no price restrictions and boxing him in the exacta with Main-Track-Only Vicarious.

Running Totals: (523) 157-106-75 Total Dollar Return: $1,081.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, October 15, 2009

This Horse Can Fly

There’s not even a nominal feature to begin the Belmont Park. The choice is one of two state-bred races, one featuring a suspicious dropdown that looks like it can’t lose and is a short price or a 7-furlong turf sprint that’s more competitive. We’ll opt for the latter.

Horses of interest of Woodrunner (4-1), who’s well posted, fit’s the race shape nicely but, more often than not, finishes one-paced. Another is Joey’s Chance (5-1), coming off a delayed pace top and returning to his favorite surface for a barn that recently has come alive.

But it is Pegasus Tommy D. (7-2) that has the most upside. A three-year-old vs. elders here, his lone win came at this distance, also fits the shape of the race nicely, switches to Ramon Dominguez and goes first-time for trainer Rick Dutrow, 31 percent with new acquisitions and white hot of late.

Taking Pegasus Tommy D. to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exotics with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (522) 157-106-75 Total Dollar Return: $1,081.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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