Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Saturday, February 09, 2008
Speed of the Speed Is Always Dangerous
Today’s featured Correction of filly sprinters has drawn a small field long on early speed. Not very interesting, it appears a two-horse affair between Mulligatawny and Beau Dare.
It appears Steve Asmussen doesn’t only win at the Fair Grounds. Mulligatawny is on a four race win streak, the two most recent victories over this track over which she seems to have a preference. The winter track is the scene of her two best performance figures and last out earned a new pace top, indicating there might be more in the tank. She looms the speed of the speed here.
Beau Dare’s last was a powerful effort over the surface for Bruce Levine, the meet’s second leading trainer and clicking on all cylinders most recently. She, too earned a new pace top in her last and with fast back-figures in tow she figures to keep going well. Following her last, she was wisely freshened six weeks by Levine. The incentive to find value here lies in the fact likely second choice Rite Moment is eligible to regress of a recent double-top effort and returning on short rest, a particularly tough scenario for fillies.
Taking Mulligatawny to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Beau Dare.
Running Totals: (172) 62-37-19. Total Dollar Return: $387.20 [win selections only]
DUE TO SCHEDULING CONFLICTS, THERE WILL BE NO SELECTIONS FOR SUNDAY. FEATURE RACE ANALYSIS WILL RESUME ON WEDNESDAY
Written by John Pricci
Friday, February 08, 2008
Laurel Shipper Can Weather the Storm
Today’s feature is a preliminary allowances for state-bred three-year-old fillies going a mile and it’s an interesting heat. We’ll take a close look at three, from the inside, out: Doodlin (8-1) , Crane Bay (9-5) and Weathered (5-1).
Doodlin showed remarkable improvement in her second start for Guadalupe Preciado. While she beat lowly maiden claimers at Philadelphia Park, she did so by running off the screen. She completely dominated her 10 rivals in that two-turner and could easily win this with a repeat of that effort.
Crane Bay is a deserving favorite. She’s earned good performance figures in all three career starts and really moved forward going two turns on this surface last out, distributing her energy a bit more efficiently. She could not be in better hands with Team Albertrani/Garcia. The problem for her will be repeating that effort while returning on relatively short rest.
Weathered in very interesting. After working at Suffolk Downs for most of late-2007, she shipped to Laurel to make her debut in an open $40,000 maiden claimer and won by open lengths, earning a competitive figure at 7 furlongs. Now she shows up in New York for her state-bred debut sporting a two-sided pedigree for a barn that’s 30 percent first time going long? Too many coincidences for me.
Taking Weathered to win at 5-1 or greater and keying her in all trifecta money positions with the two aforementioned fillies plus the speedy Anlyn.
Running Totals: (172) 62-37-18. Total Dollar Return: $387.20 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, February 07, 2008
Getting Fat With The Truffle Man
Today’s feature for state-bred three-year-old sprinters is named for one of the fastest New York-bred sprinters to race here, Appealing Guy. Today’s running draws an interesting mix including, from the rail out: Be Bullish (3-1), That’srightofficer (4-1), Another Foose (7-2) and The Truffle Man (5-1).
Be Bullish was dominant winning his last in front-running fashion, earning a lifetime best performance figure. He’s been given five weeks recovery time by trainer Scott Schwartz, which should suffice, he returns at his best distance, is nicely drawn inside and speed guru C.C. Lopez takes the re-ride.
After a top-figure maiden score, That’srightofficer stumbled at the start of his second race, virtually eliminating any chance for a repeat victory. From the resurgent Rick Schosberg shed, he is in position to rebound as he fit’s the speedy shape of this race nicely. Switching to Norberto Arroyo Jr., whose strong-finish style seems to suit the dynamics and the colt perfectly.
Another Foose was beaten by Be Bullish two back after being pressured on the pace throughout. Having drawn outside that rival today, he’ll be able to place that speed challenger under the gun, Ramon Dominguez waiting until he’s ready to pull the trigger. From the dominant Contessa barn, his recent blowout for this was the fastest of 33 sophomores to work 3 furlongs that week. His development has been incremental, indicating another forward move may be forthcoming.
The Truffle Man, meanwhile, is another bounce-rebounder, only he figures to fall between the parimutuel cracks given lower profile connections. With these horses so close on performance figures, determing the speed of the speed becomes important. On pace figures, The Truffle Man has that edge. Not only did he have a right to bounce off his double-top two starts back and the sloppy track likely didn't help. He worked very quickly in his blow for this, a move termed breezing. Young Rajiv Maragh has been rding with great confidence and will have this colt in contention throughout.
Taking the value offered on The Truffle Man at early line odds of 5-1 or greater and a trifecta key in all money positions with the other three contenders.
Running Totals: (171) 62-37-18. Total Dollar Return: $387.20 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci