Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, March 19, 2010

Toulouse Lautrec Looks Big in This Spot

Another tough, closely matched small-field featured sprint, a non-winners of 4 optional 100K claimer. Two that have the best chance are Mor Chances (5-2), making his second start off a six-month layup for Rick Dutrow, switching to Ramon Dominguez and in for a claiming price for the first time.

But all those variables might not be good enough to defeat the early line favorite, Toulouse Lautrec (9-5), who improved markedly in his first start for Bruce Levine, earning a lifetime best figure in his 4-year-old debut. There might be more in that tank, especially considering Levine gave the lightly raced colt two months recovery time since that key race score.

Taking Toulouse Lautrec to win at 8-5 or greater and an exacta box with Mor Chances.

Running Totals: (614) 191-125-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,323.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, March 18, 2010

Weathering the Storm

Today’s feature at Aqueduct Race Track, the Polite Rebuff overnight stakes at a mile for older fillies and mares is fairly competitive for a small field, with speed to set the table, late and mid-race movers and runners versatile enough to do what it takes to win. Of those, Weathered (2-1) is our favorite.

When last seen the five year old was mare beaten just over a length in the 14-filly G2 Barbara Fritchie at Laurel Race Course despite finding herself in racing on the rail over the deep wet track, the winner rolling up to win on the far outside.

This 5 year old mare is versatile, talented enough to challenge graded fillies at 7 furlongs but strong enough to dominate the local track, with four wins in seven winter track starts, never off the board, and twice a winner at today’s trip. She’s meeting are sharp group but is fastest by definition with a class edge as well.

Taking Weathered to win, no price restrictions, and key-boxing her first and second in exactas with improving Starship Angel (2-1) and potential trip sitter, Extra Sharp (6-1).

Running Totals: (613) 191-125-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,323.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Jonesing for Another Winner

We’ll turn out attention to New York today where the third race allowance feature has drawn a small field of relatively evenly match three-year-olds going a mile and 70 yards.

It’s easy to understand why the linemaker made Dixie Nite Out (2-1) the favorite. Coming off a top figure win in his two-turn debut last out, he has tactical speed, the pole position and, given the conditions, an edge as the only two-time winner in the field. In fact, he’s 2-for-2 since adding blinkers.

But there were two issues with his last race. The top figure score was earned on a sealed sloppy track and it was a huge double-top on pace and final figures and he returns on relatively short rest. This leaves him vulnerable to the second choice, Propeller Jones (5-2).

Not only did he earn competitive figures in his last two starts but in his latest, his winter track debut after breaking maiden at Gulfstream, he showed a lot of determination after being supplanted for the lead to hold on very gamely on the rail in a three-horse battle.

The two differences today are a switch to an outside post in the short field and a pedigree that’s screaming for today’s added distance. David Cohen has ridden nine winners for the Pletcher barn this winter and was the hottest rider in New York last week.

Taking Propeller Jones to win at 9-5 or greater and an exacta box with ‘Dixie’.

Running Totals: (612) 190-125-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,318.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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