Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Thursday, July 02, 2009

Form and Price Over Talent and Speed

Today’s Belmont Park feature, the Wandering Cloud for state-bred fillies sprinting six furlongs has attracted some fast ladies. Clearly, favorites Dance Gal Dance (5-2) and Northern Netti (2-1) will be difficult to beat.

Each is making their second starts off long layups and figure to improve. The former was used hard to gain the lead and tired only in the shadow of the wire; it was a good effort.

Northern Netti showed extreme promise at 2 but ran so fast in winning the Bouwerie that it set her back physically. But there’s no questioning her speed or overall ability. She’s worked thrice since her last in open company at Delaware.

But there’s one filly who, while slower on performance figures, is on the come. Muffy has gotten good at the right time, showed improved speed and punch in her latest, especially encouraging since it was her first start with blinkers.

Given that the favorites have drawn the rail and the outside, respectively, there’s a reasonable chance of a speed duel which would set the table for improving 4-year-old. Ramon Dominguez rides her back for John Hertler.

Taking Muffy to win at 9-2 or greater and keying her in the multiples with her main rivals here.

Running Totals: (453) 135-94-61 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, July 01, 2009

Totally Awesome

Today’s feature at Belmont Park, a starter allowances going a flat mile for three year olds and up, has drawn a rather eclectic group; shippers, barn changers, ostensibly cheap claimers, you name it. Regulars know we also seek value first and given a race fraught with uncertainty, that’s seems mandatory here.

Even with a relatively small field--half the Carlos Martin (same rider named) entry must be scratched--there’s the promise of a lively pace from this group. Race shape, trainer stats, improved figures and an early line price of 4-1 indicates that Awesome Mich is where you want your money.

Trainer Mark Hennig has gotten the optimum for this three year old gelding after adding blinkers two starts back. He has tactical speed, which will place him wherever Eibar Coa wishes, is forward looking on performance figures and the spacing is good for this improved runner making his third start off a layoff, a 25 percent proposition for this outfit. We acknowledge he’s racing around one turn here but the distance suits perfectly.

Taking Awesome Mich to win at 3-1 or greater, and boxing him in the exactas with streaking favorite El Tamberito (2-1) and new acquisition Il Postino (6-1).

Running Totals: (452) 135-94-61 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, June 28, 2009

Summer Geisha Looking Exotic

Today’s Grade 2 First Flight at Belmont Park drew six talented sprinting fillies and if three of them; Carolyn’s Cat (2-1), Porte Bonheur (5-2) or Summer Geisha (4-1) can produce her ‘A’ race, they win it. The question, obviously, is which one.

While still unsure of that answer, it is more than likely that Summer Geisha will be the value at post time. The thinking is that not many folks would be inclined to trust her good races at Philly Park. We think she can.

She earned an excellent, competitive figure at the distance two back then returned with an even better effort while establishing a new pace top. No wonder trainer Bruce Levine is thinking it’s time to test the graded stakes waters.

Taking Summer Geisha to win at 7-2 or greater and keying her first and second in the multiple pools with her two rivals here.

Running Totals: (451) 135-94-61 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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