Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, November 29, 2009

A Long Way to Go for Even Money

The Aqueduct main track stakes finale is the overnight Power Lunch Stakes and you’ll get your money’s worth, too--all 14 furlongs of it which is, of course, 1-¾ miles. That’s where your money’s worth ends. If I told you that I thought I had a good chance to beat Atoned (1-1), I’d be lying.

On paper, he appears to have too much class, too much ability and, as a four-year-old, too much upside for the competition. Factor in the Pletcher/Velazquez connections and you can imagine what you’d be up against here.

The only chance to take decent money out of the race is an exotics play. Taking Atoned to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first with Malibu Moonshine (12-1), nicely suited by the conditions and 1-for-1 at the distance, third in trifectas and to complete a cold exacta.

Running Totals: (552) 172-109-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,194.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, November 28, 2009

Style and Value to Trump Speed in Cigar Mile

The final Grade 1 of this seemingly longer than usual season, the Grade 1 Cigar Mile, appears to us a two-horse battle between Vineyard Haven (9-5), part of the bin Suroor entry, and mile specialist Bribon (5-2).

Vineyard Haven has returned to the races in excellent form this year following a lengthy layoff with two excellent figure scores in top class company.

But the three-year-old is actually giving weight to the mile specialist when the scale of weights in factored in. Between that and likely having to chase the speedy Driven By Success, we need to opt for value and running style.

Bribon figures on both scores. The pace will be to his liking and he’s won half his 10 starts going a mile and, given his late-run style, is stronger going one turn than two.

Taking Bribon to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Vineyard Haven.

Running Totals: (551) 172-108-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,194.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, November 27, 2009

Sara Louise Just Too Fast

Today’s G2 Top Flight is really intriguing, featuring two very fast and exciting three-year-olds vs. a “now” four-year-old who could upset them both.

But Sara Louise (6-5) is just too fast and two talented to go past. Her last at Santa Anita is a Pro Ride throwout. A repeat of either of her two prior efforts wins this. Having drawn an outside slip at this flat-mile distance gives Edgar Prado plenty of options.

Taking Sara Louise to win, no price restrictions, and keying her first and second ijn exotics with the returning Justwhistlindixie (5-2) and the super-sharp Spritely (4-1).

Running Totals: (550) 171-108-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,190.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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