Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Sunday, April 05, 2009

Keeneland Feature Favorite Something Special?

Only at Keeneland, or Saratoga, Belmont Park, Santa Anita etc., etc., can you find a preliminary allowances such as today’s.

You won’t get rich unless, of course, you can beat Affirmatif (4-5). This is a three year colt with one start, he won that debut by 9 in very fast time--1:34.20--last quarter in 23-flat, earning a huge performance figure.


Here’s what you need to know about Affirmatif. When Todd Pletcher was trying to get Dunkirk ready for the Florida Derby, guess who he worked in company with?

Now Dunkirk finished ahead of him, but he had to work some to do it and didn‘t exactly blow right on by. In other words, no telling how good this colt is.

Rescue Squad (10-1) is on a nice line, and Strike Line (6-1) will move forward in the third start of his career as Bill Mott seems to have come out firing since arriving in the bluegrass.

Taking Affirmatif to win, no price restrictions, keying him first and in exactas and trifectas with his two rivals here, adding Golden Mexico (15-1) and Don’t Shoot (12-1) to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (399) 123-82-53 Total Dollar Return: $840.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, April 04, 2009

Three For Derby Road Exotics

For the record, I Want Revenge, Giant Oak and Pioneerof The Nile are the most probable winners of the Wood Memorial, Illinois Derby and Santa Anita Derby, respectively. But we'll take West Side Bernie, Free Country, and Take The Points in exacta and trifecta keys with the logical favorites, respectively, in those races.

For a full analysis of today's three major Kentucky Derby prep races, see Morning Line blog on lead page

Running Totals: (396) 121-81-53 Total Dollar Return: $834.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, April 03, 2009

Value Is as Value Does

What many believe is the best race meeting in America, Keeneland spring, opens today with the Grade 3 Central Bank Transylvania Stakes at a mile and a sixteenth for three-year-olds on the turf.

The strength here seems to be position outside with early line favorite Stormalory (2-1) having drawn post 8, and Mikoshi (6-1), to his inside in slip 7.

Stormalory hails from the Mott barn that’s been firing on all cylinders in various venues these days. Storm Cat colt was a good third despite turn troubles in the recent G3 Palm Beach and his effort two back was excellent on the performance figure scale. In his favor here is a race shape filled with speed to suit his late kick and the switch back to Julien Leparoux, aboard for the two-back win. This is a solid, logical favorite.

But Mikoshi sure is interesting. This is a colt with tactical speed and good kick who’s coming to hand rapidly for Michael Matz and attracts perennial Kentucky Midwest star Robbie Albarado. At today’s distance two back, he just missed breaking maiden behind Florentino, well regarded here at 3-1 with Alan Garcia.

He’s on an explosive line figure-wise, drops five pounds and returns with seven weeks rest. He’ll be good value and just might appreciate the switch to the deeper Keeneland turf course.

Taking Mikoshi to win at early line odds of 6-1 or greater and an exacta box with Stormalory.

Running Totals: (395) 121-81-53 Total Dollar Return: $834.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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