Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, May 06, 2010

Baffert Filly Key to Churchill Carryover

With a Pick 6 carryover of nearly $1-million, we decided to give the feature at Churchill Downs a look and found a worthy favorite in the Bob Baffert trainee, KimmyV (5-2). She the fastest filly on performance figures, worked a bullet before leaving Santa Anita and has continued her fast trials here.

The last, in fact, five furlongs in 1:00 3/5, termed breezing, was sixth fastest of 63 at the distance for four-year-olds that week at Churchill. She has the speed to stalk, the power to kick home and is nicely drawn outside at the distance in this compact field. Shawn Bridgmohan takes the ride.

The stoutest competition is likely to come from Quick Breeze (4-1) who tuned up for this sprinting at Delta Downs. At 2, she raced well in her lone appearance at Churchill despite her wide trip behind Katy Now, a filly with some ability. ‘Breeze’ has had four weeks since the Delta race and David Carroll’s horses have come out running at the young meet.

But compelled to take the fast KimmyV, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Quick Breeze. Exacta players can add Middlemarch (6-1), reuniting with Calvin, that team winning here last year, and the speedy Mississippi Martini, shipping in from Oaklawn for Lynn Whiting.

Running Totals: (643) 203-129-90 Total Dollar Return: $1,417.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, May 05, 2010

Bailzee at Belmont

Today’s feature at Belmont Park, a secondary allowances-optional claiming for fillies and mares 3 & up sprinting six furlongs present an excellent chance for value since the early line favorite, Bailzee (3-1), is not among the fastest members of this field on performance figures.

But what she is us surging, never having taken a backward step in three lifetime starts. When last seen, the Pat Kelly trainee was finishing a good second to the fast, talented Cuff Me in the restricted Lottsatalc Stakes, her first lifetime defeat. She’s had four sharp works since that April 1 defeat and can easily resume her winning ways in this spot.

Not A Peep (6-1), meanwhile, sporting a recent bullet blowout for her second start after a brief freshening, she has early speed and has shown in ability to hang on gamely when pressed, which is the likely race shape scenario here. Cornelio Velasquez, aboard for both lifetime wins, takes the re-ride for trainer Tom Bush, coming alive in recent weeks.

Taking Bailzee to win at 5-2 or greater, boxing her in the exacta with Not A Peep and the sharp No More Stress (8-1). Trifecta players can add Let’s Fly Away (8-1) to their mix.

Running Totals: (642) 203-129-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,417.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, May 04, 2010

Prince Looking Supah at Philly Park

Today’ feature at Philadelphia Park is a starter allowances for three-year-olds and up with a deserving favorite in Dapper Devil (2-1) who is clearly fastest on performance figures who’s been very competitive recently with tougher than he meets today. But given his current inability to handle the distance, he’s worth trying to beat.

To do that, we’ll look toward late developing three-year-old Supah Prince (5-1), undefeated at the distance in two starts and who has not taken a backward step in his development. The barn is going well and while the colt loses Justin Shepherd to uncoupled stablemate Burgee, his picks up Frankie Pennington.

Taking Supah Prince to win at 9-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with Dapper Devil and Run Ritchie Run from the live barn of Richard Vega and from a recent key race that produced two next-out winners.

Running Totals: (642) 203-129-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,417.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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