Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, November 25, 2015

There’s Much To Be Thankful For

So much, in fact, that it's hard to know where to begin.

For me, it starts with the HRI Faithful--even when we vehemently disagree--thankful for what we share; a passionate distraction from the real world, a game that harkens us back to simpler times. Perhaps not much easier times for many of us, but simpler for sure.

And any distraction from these days is welcome, indeed. In that we are all blessed.

Further, even if fate has not been kind to loved ones and dear friends since the last Thanksgiving celebration, there is comfort in knowing that if you're reading this, you're still in action in every way.

The alternative would be no alternative at all. So give thanks that picking a winner or two over this holiday weekend is what consumes us as the holiday season begins.

We're all lucky that we can share with each other in this community. As in all families, there will be disagreements: Viva La Difference.

Today we'll look at tomorrow's Fall Highweight Handicap at the Big A; tomorrow we'll travel to Louisville for the Falls City. Then there's Friday's Clark; Saturday's Cigar and a bevy of babies, too.

A Weighty Matter

I don't know who would win a match race between La Verdad and the great Ta Wee of my youth but I sure would have loved to see it. Ta Wee is Sioux for "beautiful girl," an apt description for Dr. Fager's kid sister.

At 3, Ta Wee beat older males in the Vosburgh. At 4, she won the race La Verdad will try to win on Thursday, also vs. males. When Ta Wee won the Fall Highweight, she did so carrying 140 pounds, spotting the male runner-up 19 pounds.

Twice America's Sprint Champion, she retired the winner of 15 of 21 career starts and $284,000, which is only about $34,000 more than the purse for this year's renewal of the Grade 3 handicap.

On Thursday, La Verdad (2-1) will try to win for the 16th time in her 24 career runs. She will tote 127, 7 pounds less than last year's winner of this race, older graded stakes winning male, Salutos Amigos (8-5). Indeed, times have surely changed.

Last out La Verdad finished second in the BC Filly & Mare Sprint. Last out Salutos Amigo's was beaten 4-1/2 lengths by protem champion Runhappy after a troubled and very wide journey.

Well, we're going to take the 7 pounds, especially since we now know the five-time Aqueduct winner can rate, something she proved beating her NY-bred peers in the Iroquois before the F & M Sprint. Her only Aqueduct blemish came last year in this race. We fully expect her to make amends and go home a winner.

Given a favorable outside draw in this 7-horse matchup, we're taking La Verdad to win with no price restrictions. Happy Thanksgiving!

Number of Selections since 2007: 1880

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 563-360

Amount Wagered: $3,760 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,872.50

Profit to Date: $112.50

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


Sunday, November 22, 2015

Frozen, with Salt

Today's Big A feature is the Key Cents for state-bred filly juveniles sprinting 8 furlongs. Frosty Margarita (9-5) turns back to an effective sprint distance after tiring while subjected to early pressure going a mile in the Maid of the Mist. She's been working purposefully at her Big A home base and Irad takes the return call.

Taking Frosty Margarita to win at 8-5 or greater. We think she has Melodic to beat, with Here Comes Rosie a possible value shot.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1879

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 562-360

Amount Wagered: $3,758 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,867.40

Profit to Date: $109.40

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


Saturday, November 21, 2015

Two for the Money

**This Analysis Brought to HRI Readers via Special Promotional Arrangement with**

For today's HRI Running Totals, going on record with Bagg O'Day (6-1) (CD 9th) and Found Money (6-1) (DeD 7th)

Number of Selections since 2007: 1877

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 561-360

Amount Wagered: $3,754 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,858.60

Profit to Date: $104.60

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)


Page 2 of 708 pages  <  1 2 3 4 >  Last »