Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Clean Eleven to Stay Perfect

Today's featured 8th race from Belmont is a preliminary allowances/optional claimer for New York bred fillies and mares sprinting 6 furlongs. The race features two impressive enough recent maiden winners; early line favorite Irish Whisper (5-2) and Clean Eleven (9-2). We're giving the call to the latter because of her strong gallop out--even if Irish Whisper was a bit more dominant and throttled down in deep stretch.

Taking Clean Eleven to win at 5-2 or greater, keying her first and second in multiples with the favorite and Make The Moment (8-1) which improved off a recent Baker claim, and adding Divadora (6-1), making her 4YO debut for Lawrence/Lezcano team off a series of good works at her Fair Hill base.


Number of Selections: 1332

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 406-252-205

Amount Wagered: $2,664 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,789.20

Profit to Date: $125.20

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Friday, June 07, 2013

Making the Most of Belmont 145

We're making two different plays. First, we're keying Orb to finish first or second in superfectas with Freedom Child (8-1), Revolutionary (9-2), Palace Malice (15-1) and Unlimited Budget (8-1) in all money positions, sprinkling Overanalyze(12-1), Giant Finish (30-1), Incognito (20-1), and Will Take Charge (20-1) to complete the play, third and fourth.

Also, we're making a win bet on Palace Malice at 12-1 or greater.

For the record, however, the running totals in the next FRA will reflect the results of a $2 win bet on Orb.

Number of Selections: 1331

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 406-252-204

Amount Wagered: $2,662 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,789.20

Profit to Date: $127.20

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Fast Falcon to Take Flight in the Brooklyn

Unusual to see races with names run on a non-holiday Friday but today is an exception at Belmont Park with three such events; one an overnighter, the other two graded races including the G2 Brooklyn, forme third leg of the New York handicap triple series but now the first half of the Brooklyn-Belmont double. Both events are at, what else, a mile and a half.

As with the 3-year-olds, it's a question of who will stay the trip. There are several candiates: Calidoscopio (5-2), winner of the 14-furlong Breeders' Cup Marathon, Birdrun (12-1), who won this race in 2011, and Ruler On Ice (8-1), winner of that year's Belmont Stakes, to name three.

But our nod goes to Fast Falcon (7-2), the 4-year-old that almost upset last year's Travers, who's bred for this kind of race, has done his best racing on this surface, given excellent figures here and three exacta finishes in four starts.

It's a slate that easily could have read (4) 1-2-0 had the head bob gone his way in the recent Albert The Great overnighter. He chased the loose-leading favorite, Percussion (3-1), who is back in the entries here and was unlucky at the wire. It appears Fast Falcon has been clearly pointed to this and likely will improve in his second start off the layup for Nick Zito, who owns good stats in that scenario.

Given the cot's penchant for finishing second, the wise guys should be off in this spot and the price fair.

Taking Fast Falcon to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing him in mutiples with Quick Casablanca (4-1), a Group 1 winner on turf and dirt in South America making his second U.S. start for the Clement/Rosario team, very sharp price shot Keep Me Informed (20-1), wet track loving Ruler On Ice (8-1) and the aforementioned Percussion (3-1).

Number of Selections: 1330

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 406-252-203

Amount Wagered: $2,660 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,789.20

Profit to Date: $129.20

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