Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, October 08, 2014

He’s One Mean Hombre over Big Sandy

Today's Belmont Park feature is a secondary allowances/optional claiming boasts a 7-5 early line favorite in Bay of Plenty. This McLaughlin trainee is a worthy favorite as he was an impressive winner under these conditions over the track in May. That's the bad news, that and the fact he's drawn the pole position out of the mile chute. The good is that he's very talented and this barn is 24% profitable returning with this type of spacing and Irad rides.

However, we'll take any value offered on Bad Hombre (8-1) within reason, meaning 6-1 or greater. Going turf to dirt, his 3 lifetime wins have comes at this venue and he's won 2 of 3 going this trip. He prepped here going 7/8s at the spring meet then earned his lifetime best Energy Rating, that scenario repeated here. We also like the switch to the underrated Angel Arroyo.

Taking Bad Hombre to win at 6-1 or greater and an exacta box with the favorite.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1622

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 491-316-251

Amount Wagered: $3,244 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,361.20

Profit to Date: $117.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (4)


Sunday, October 05, 2014

Do You Know the Way to Hebbronville?

The G2 Futurity at Belmont Park has drawn a tricky field of five and of the three major contenders, who all figure closely, Hebbronville (2-1) is the most accomplished and still has upside. Coming off a New Pace Top with good spacing and sharp blowouts, his tactical speed and outside draw are the difference makers.

Taking Hebbronville to win at 2-1 or greater and keying in exactas over Cinco Charlie (4-1) and Blofeld (6-5).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1621

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 491-315-251

Amount Wagered: $3,242 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,361.20

Profit to Date: $119.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (5)


Saturday, October 04, 2014

Upstart Won’t Be After Today’s Champagne

Who says you can't find value in small fields? I did, in today's Grade 1 Champagne for juvenile going a mile. His name is Upstart (7-2).

Since he debuted in Saratoga, his connections always treated him like a good horse, with post-race schooling by the jockey, handlers rushing out to greet him before he reached the winners' circle after his impressive score.

After that, Rick Violette entered the New York bred back in a stakes on relatively short rest. In that sprint, the very fast Bustin' It was loose on the lead while this colt spotted him many. When ready, Jose Ortiz set him down and he came with a flying finish to go 2-for-2.

Still treating him like a good horse, he was given a bit over six weeks, has trained well in the interim, and appears to be able to handle any dynamic.

Taking Upstart to win at 3-1 or greater and key-boxing him in exactas with impressive maiden breaker El Kabeir (5-2) and talented, seasoned I Spent It (6-1) who either was no match for Competitive Edge or regressed returning on relatively short rest after winning the G2 Sanford.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1620

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 491-314-251

Amount Wagered: $3,240 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,361.20

Profit to Date: $121.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)


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