Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, June 17, 2015

Getting Down on the Longer Brown

Today's Belmont Park feature unfortunately will be a five-horse field after the Main Track Only horses, of which there are four out of nine, are withdrawn and as far as we're concerned Chad Brown has only himself to beat.

The logical favorite of the two is the overnight choice, Hellenistic (8-5). Entered in a N3X here, she is getting class relief and Castellano for her return to allowance company. But we're going to take her uncoupled mate, Water Hole (7-2).

While the favorite's past performances are more compelling, she is more likely to be using today's event as a bridge race, whereas Water Hole, making her second U.S. start after being out-posted in a G2 at Churchill, looks like she will be more suited to today's trip and lack of early speed signed on.

Just not willing to accept a short price in this trappy-looking turf route. Taking Water Hole to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with her mate.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1763

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 530-336

Amount Wagered: $3,526 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,631.70

Profit to Date: $105.50

Written by John Pricci

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Saturday, June 13, 2015

Farro Turfer Should Dominate Parx Feature

The feature race from Parx Racing, today's eighth, is a preliminary allowances on the turf and it's difficult to pace the favorite in this heat. Noreen (5-2) was used on the pace vs. much tougher last time out at Belmont but now ships into Bensalem for the Farro/Ortega team, 22% this year and the barn a profitable 24% effective second time off the claim.

Dam’s only foal was a turf winner and the tactical speedster should make amends quickly in a very logical spot.

Taking Noreen to win, no price restrictions.

Today's Parx feature is brought to you courtesy of special promotional arrangement with For an analysis of the final six races on the card, comprising the 123gaming's unique Pick Six wager, click on the handicapping blog section at

Number of Selections since 2007: 1762

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 530-336

Amount Wagered: $3,524 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,631.70

Profit to Date: $107.70

Written by John Pricci

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Tiz Nobler to Take a Price Shot in the Foster

The biggest feature race of the day takes place at night at Churchill Downs, the storied Grade 1 Stephen Foster. And while strong cases can be made for three of the entrants in this small field, even the favorites should be bettable at post time odds. Alas, we shall see.

Of Commissioner (3-1), Lea (7-5) and Noble Bird (10-1), Lea appears the most probable winner, but the play is Noble Bird at early line odds.

Commissioner, coming off a lifetime best, turns back to 9 furlongs off consecutive trips at 1-3/16 miles. Yes, it's only a mini-turnback and, yes, he runs quickly early from the pole position but tonight's setup is a different enough that we're looking elsewhere. Lea raced well in Dubai, has been given 77 days to freshen, has won at CD and is the fastest horse on performance figures.

As for Noble Bird, he comes off a huge lifetime top making him susceptible to the bounce. But 6 weeks can be sufficient time to recover, that win came in a G2 prep over the track, he gets four pounds from each of his main rivals and his early odds are way too tempting an overlay.

Taking Noble Bird at 5-1 or greater, an exacta box with Lea, and adding Commissioner and Hoppertunity to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1760

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 529-336

Amount Wagered: $3,520 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,620.10

Profit to Date: $100.10 {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci

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