Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Knocking Off the Favorites

Today's Aqueduct feature is a preliminary allowances sprint going 6 furlongs for 3YO and up.

With no shortage of speed in this contest, with Jimmy Jerkens 29% strike rate in LAY 3 scenarios and with his late developing 4YO coming off a New Pace Top going longer, the turnback and race shape clearly suits Knockher Off (5-1).

Taking Knocker Off to win at 4-1 or greater and key boxing him first and second with the speedy Big Guy Ian (2-1) and Dyker Beach (8-5) from the white hot Jacobson barn.

Number of Selections since 2007: 164-

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 494-319-254

Amount Wagered: $3,280 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,382.80

Profit to Date: $102.80

Written by John Pricci

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Monday, November 10, 2014

Blacktype to Make His Mark in Big A Feature

Today's featured 7th at Aqueduct is a secondary/allowances/optional claimer in which Blacktype (3-1), who missed his chance to get some in his U.S. in the G3 Hill Prince, will appreciate dropping into.

The lost was not entirely his fault, as he could not take advantage of his position from about mid-turn to the quarter pole; in short, he never had a chance [see replay]. Depite the trip, he earned an Energy Figure that puts him with the best in here,

Clement brought him back 11 days later for a strong hlf-mile work, a good sign that all is well, and he's worked with purpose subsequently.

He's found a spot with enough pace to set the table and his draw should enable new rider, Irad Ortiz, to get winning position in the clear.

Taking Bkacktype to win, no price restrictions, and key-bosing exactas with another class dropper, Charge Now (12-1), and live ship-in Brickyard Kitten (10-1).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1639

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 494-319-253

Amount Wagered: $3,278 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,382.80

Profit to Date: $104.80

Written by John Pricci

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Sunday, November 09, 2014

Easy As 123…6

123bet Pick 6 for Parx Racing, November 10, 2014:

RACE 3: KLONDIKE KID (6-1) makes racing debut with sub-par state-bred maidens with win-early pedigree, a strong workline for barn that’s 28 % profitable with its first-time maiden-allowance starters. Part of uncoupled entry with Spartianos having Love Rules to beat.

RACE 4: ELBA (3-1) enters this off sharp score for this tag, albeit vs. limited winners. Barn is profitable 31% with claimers attempting to repeat. BIG VARIETY (9-2) has excellent record on this surface with at similar trips meeting weaker off recent good-finish third.

RACE 5: MAXIMUS MERIDIUS (3-1) was a very good third in 5F debut on turf when well backed on Sept. 9, and has been training purposefully for first dirt start for barn that’s profitable with its second-time starters. Runs for Luck, Knockacruz and Buzzon Bay, off New Pace Top in last, are all in with a chance.

RACE 6: HUFF ‘N HUGHES (5-2), going second time off freshening, showed marked improvement in both recent starts when dropped to this level. THE MIXER (4-1) hails from barn that’s excellent with second-time acquisition ad two-class dropdowns. ALL ABOUT AVERY (15-1), meeting males, has (6) 2-3-0 slate from 23 lifetime starts, all on this surface, at this distance.

RACE 7: DOMISSME (5-1)** has earned good Energy Figures with consistency throughout career and late-developing gelded 4YO showed marked improvement vs. Pa-bred allowances last out; capable of handling these opens. Draxhall Woods the main danger.

RACE 8: SCHIST (9-2) showed much improved early speed following five-week break first time off the Lynch claim now returns with similar off sharp blowout for barn that’s 6-for-18 second time off the claim. MR. BAD GUY (2-1) made improved try second time off the layup now returns from barn 23% profitable stretching out off two sprints and a worthy 29% profitable in LAY-3 scenarios.

Suggested P6 Play: 4 with 4.5 with 2 with 5.6.8 with 5 with 2.7---$24

Double-check program numbers before wagering

**Domissme (7th race) HRI Feature Race Seection

Number of Selections since 2007: 1638

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 494-319-252

Amount Wagered: $3,276 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,382.80

Profit to Date: $106.80

Written by John Pricci

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