Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred
Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly
"On the Line" column and daily blogs under the
"Pricci's Morning Line" banner.
Sunday, June 16, 2013
A Viable Alternative
Today's Belmont Park feature is the restricted Bit O Whimsy for 3YO fillies going 9 furlongs on turf and for a relatively small field is competitive from end to end.
The entire group is in various stages of development but an early line of 15-1 on Alternative Meds seems inappropriate. While she is a New York bred facing open fillies, she's won both grass starts, including one over the course, has handled disparate course conditions and is strongly bred for added distance on dam's side. Young Jose Ortiz was aboard for both scores.
Taking Alternative Meds to win at 8-1 or greater and key boxing her in money positions with Caroline Thomas (7-2) and Maximova (2-1).
Number of Selections: 1335
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 408-252-205
Amount Wagered: $2,670 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,796.50
Profit to Date: $126.50 [Saturday results not included]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, June 15, 2013
Notachalkbutfairvalue
It's not very often there's an opportunity to find value on a Pletcher-trained runner, but today's Belmont feature, the G3 Hill Prince for 3YO on turf, offers that chance with Notacatbutallama (6-1).
Between the contentiousness of the field and the outside draw, the elements are there for a good price should he show up with his 'A' game. The colt rallied from uncharacteristically far back at Pimlico, his momentum carrying him wide into the lane and was ultimately beaten by a good trip winner.
Taking Notacatbutallama to win at 5-1 or greater and keying him in multiples with strong finisher Infinite Magic (7-2), graded-stakes toughened Joha (8-1) and uncoupled Pletcher Red Rifle (6-1).
Number of Selections: 1335
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 408-252-205
Amount Wagered: $2,670 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,796.50
Profit to Date: $126.50
Written by John Pricci
Friday, June 14, 2013
Different Day, Same Result
Not much to choose between in either of today's features; the Criminal Type is a two-horse race in a five-horse field and if Mucho Macho Man (4-5) is on his game it's over. If not, Hymn Book (2-1) is the most probable winner.
The second feature, meanwhile, the Three Coins Up, has been rained off the grass and again there's not much of interest remaining. On dirt, Jaguar Paw (2-1) is the most likely suspect. He's won 2 of 3 since entering the Chad Brown shed and was a big figure winner last out. Given that he's "fastest" on dirt recently, and that Brown is 31% effective with repeaters, there's little left to offer from the others.
Taking Jaguar Paw to win, no price restrictions, and completing the exacta with Joan's Choice (4-1) and Love To Run (5-2).
Number of Selections: 1334
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 407-252-205
Amount Wagered: $2,668 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,792.20
Profit to Date: $124.20
Written by John Pricci