Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Sunday, October 19, 2014


Hoping to Avoid a Slumber Party


Today's Belmont feature is for older horses going 10 furlongs on the inner turf.

Clearly, Slumber (6-5), dropping from graded stakes in his return and working strongly, is a deserving favorite on class lines. But we're opting for recency here with Sky Blazer (4-1).

A dropdown himself, out of the key G2 Bernard Baruch that produced two next out winners, is back at a proper distance and fits well given the dynamics with Lezcano in the boot.

Taking Sky Blazer to win at 3-1 or better and an exacta box with Slumber, a winner of half his six lifetime starts on this course.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1629

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 494-317-251

Amount Wagered: $3,258 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,384.80

Profit to Date: $126.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (3)


 
 

Saturday, October 18, 2014


Can Saratoga Snacks Avoid Practice Squad Demotion?


Don't know what will happen, but this coach is giving Saratoga Snacks (2-1) one last chance in today's Empire Classic on Belmont's popular Showcase Day program--all New York Breds, all the time.

He was a short, narrowly beaten runner when he returned from a lengthy layoff for new trainer Bill Mott at Saratoga. He had tactical speed, battled hard through the lane, but gave way grudgingly in the wire's shadow. Fine, I thought: Next time out over Big Sandy, which he loves, add a furlong or two, and serve. He responded with the worst race of his career.

One last time: Today's a LAY-3 scenario for Mott--ideal, and he stretches yet again seeking a repeat in this event. Add recent blazing work and wager:

Taking Saratoga Snacks to win at early line odds or greater, and key-boxing exactas with the talented Sioux (5-2) and a much improved So Lonesome (6-1).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1628

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 494-317-251

Amount Wagered: $3,256 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,384.80

Profit to Date: $128.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

Friday, October 17, 2014


Making a Token Bet in Today’s G3 Keeneland Turf Feature


Will it happen again? Will another European ship over here to get the money? Will there be another inflated payoff on a horse ridden by Johnny Velazquez?

I can only think to answer these questions thusly: Why not?

We know Token of Love (10-1) can handle cut in the ground; she's a Euro after all, and has done so before. We know she can kick on, coming from far back in large fields, something she will encounter today.

And we know she comes from a live race: Three of six runners come out of Doncaster's Japan Racing Assn. Stakes have returned to win next out.

She had no chance in that 7F Group 3 after she dwelt at the start then encountered even more trouble soon after. Her outside draw and Johnny should ensure clear sailing, and the price should be right.

Taking Token of Love to win at 8-1 or greater, key-boxing her in exactas with Goldy Espony (6-1) and Daring Dancer, adding price shot V V Goodnight (15-1) to the super-exotics mix.


Number of Selections since 2007: 1628

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 494-317-251

Amount Wagered: $3,256 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,384.80

Profit to Date: $128.80

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

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