Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Friday, December 05, 2014


Smitten by Shipper


Today's Big A feature is the same as yesterday's only this conditioned allowances is for the ladies, at the same distance of a mile and 70 yards.

No member of today's group is sharper than Smitten by Gold (6-1) and the connections appears as sharp as their filly's.

Mike Ferraro doesn't ship from the cozy but cold confines of Finger Lakes but when he does he makes it count, winning with shippers at a very worthy 33%.

Similarly, it is rare when you see a rider win long races at a 26% clip, yet that's exactly what regular partner David Lopez has done. Given the dynamics, Lopez could work out a good trip in this spot.

The 5-year-old mare beat open rivals in her last two in Western New York and ships in seeking the lion's share of the $65,000 purse. If she gets it, it will be her fifth consecutive victory.

Taking Smitten by Gold to pass her class test at 9-2 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with the Friedman entry (4-5), topped by the fast working Carameaway.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1653

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 496-323

Amount Wagered: $3,306 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,408.60

Profit to Date: $102.60

Written by John Pricci

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Thursday, December 04, 2014


He’ll Win from Here to Saratoga


Lots of mixed signals in today's Big A feature, a conditioned allowances for state-breds 3 & up. We have two prominent turf-to-dirt entrants, one making its winter track debut and other seasoned vets in various states of form.

As open as this is, we'll go for the gusto with Gridley Here (8-1). As a 3YO, he has upside and has been racing in career form recently. The bad news is that he lacks experience on this surface and shoulders an equally-weighted 121 against proven older rivals.

But it did appear that he used as recent 7F sprint as a bridge to this after winning both priors under a similar dynamic. Jeremy Rose takes the call for McPeek, whose sprint-to-route runners click profitably at 20%.

Taking Gridley Here to win at 5-1 or greater and key-boxing exactas with redoubtable old pro Spa City Fever (5-2) and solid worker Notacatbutallama (7-2), the Toddster going turf to dirt.

Number of Selections since 2007: 1652

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 496-323

Amount Wagered: $3,304 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,408.60

Profit to Date: $104.60

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, December 03, 2014


Taking the Second Favorite in Close Contest


Winter is here, and if you doubt that, just take a look at the Big A entries. The track with a dot in the center of a square black box is back.

The feature, having drawn a small field, will go as the third race and, in keeping with the winter track theme, we will have the only entrant having the benefit of a winning race over the track...and a placing, too, for that matter.

That would be Lunar Surge (9-5), second choice on the early line to America (6-5), who likely will be favored ante-post as well; deservedly so. But we'll stay with 'Lunar,' a little more consistent and with a turn of foot that suits this surface well.

Taking Lunar Surge to win, no price restrictions, and key-boxing with the favorite and the speedier Evening Show (4-1).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1651

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 496-323

Amount Wagered: $3,302 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,408.60

Profit to Date: $106.60

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)


 
 

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