Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Thursday, January 19, 2012


Servis Strikes at Gulfstream


Today’s feature race at Gulfstream would be a stakes at another track, a preliminary allowances going a mile on turf with some talented runners signed on.

If set for best, the Chad Brown returnee will be a tough out. Corporate Jungle (3-1) hasn’t been seen since his maiden breaker at Saratoga, earning a clearly best performance figure at today’s trip. He’s been training purposefully at Palm Meadows and Brown is profitable with maiden-breaking returnees.

The interesting horse, however, is Exclusive Strike, at an inflated early line of 10-1. Not the most fashionable of horses, he owns an excellent record at the distance and Servis is a profitable 27% effective on turf lifetime, a worthy record, indeed. He had no chance in his rough-trip GP return and switches to Rocco, who’s been riding at a good percentage this meet.

Taking Exclusive Strike to win at 5-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with the Brown trainee.

Running Totals: (1008) 310-202-144 Total Dollar Return: $2,134.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Tuesday, January 17, 2012


Taking Ness Sprinter to Tripp Out


Given the Martin Luther King holiday card at Gulfstream, SaratogaBets will trek north to Tampa Bay for their feature, a secondary allowances/NW 3 lifetime/optional claiming at 7 furlongs, run as Wednesday's 3rd race.

The sprint has drawn a field of six and any of three can win this. A look at the field:

#1 Thank U Phillippe (5-1) ships north for Marty Wolfson, 1-for-1 at Tampa this season (BRIS). Lacks killer instinct with (20) 2-5-2 slate, but the good news is that both wins were at today’s specialized distance, winning his only start on this surface. Half-mile work on Jan. 14, termed breezing, was third fastest of 129 members of his peer group that week at his Gulfstream base. Very well meant.

#2 Guam Typhoon (8-5) has always done his best racing at today’s trip, winning three of five lifetime starts at seven-eighths, earning top Equiform figures in the process. He owns two exacta finishes in three starts over the surface. Strong finishing Ronnie Allen takes the return call.

#3 Bold Captain (15-1) is winless at Tampa and lifetime best effort came going 10 furlongs on wet track at Thistle.

#4 Rickyontherun (6-1) has won at the distance and over this surface but his performance figures are lacking.

#5 Beijing House (9-2) is interesting because he owns excellent performance figures and McCooey barn is profitable with second-off-the-layup runners. The bad news is that he’s 0-for-11 at Tampa and winless in four starts at today’s trip.

#6 Tripp O Steel (2-1) has no experience at the distance but owns worthy (7) 2-1-2 slate over the local ground. His performance figures had been improving steadily and that was before the Jamie Ness claim. He chased a hot pace while wide in his latest at Gulfstream now returns to his preferred surface. Ness is otherworldly 33% efficient in third-off-the-layoff scenarios. Switch to Goncalves (42% for this barn through Monday), outside post in small field and possibility of a loose lead all augur well.

Taking Tripp O Steel to win and key-boxing in multiple pools with Thank U Phillippe and Guam Typhoon.

Running Totals: (1007) 310-202-143 Total Dollar Return: $2,134.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Monday, January 16, 2012


He Can Run, Really


Today's Aqueduct feature offers an excellent chance for value. Not that Yo Koffy (5-2) isn't a worthy favorite; he is, with an excellnt figure debut score followed by a New Pace Top effort in his second start. But tae a look at He Can Run (6-1).

Well named, he earned the field's second best figure two starts back, a huge double top that affected him last time; that and a tough trip and he was still heading in the right direction at the finish. Shedding 6 pounds with tactical speed and kick, the switch to Junior Alvarado also augurs well.

Taking He Can Run to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing him first and second with Yo Koffy and top-figure-last-out Deliburnsky, who must spot the other two four pounds.

Running Totals: (1006) 310-202-143 Total Dollar Return: $2,134.40 [win selections only]


Written by John Pricci



 
 

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