Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Taking the Fresh Fiddler

Today’s Belmont Park feature is a good one, the Cannon Shell Stakes run at 6-furlong on turf, going as the second half of the early double.

We’ll not try to explain the positioning of this interesting stakes but rather look at the contenders. They are many and all have a license. We’ll concentrate our play around Fiddlers Patriot, Noble’s Promise and Bergerac.

Noble’s Promise finally gets back on grass, where he’s 1-for-2 lifetime, and turns back to this trip while reuniting with Julien Leparoux. Trainer McPeek is profitable lifetime in third-off-layoff scenarios.

Bergerac is the now horse, turning back from the 7-furlong Grade 2 Commonwealth on Keeneland Polytrack returning to his preferred surface on which have come three of his four lifetime scores. Javier Castellano takes the return call.

But it’s the fresh gelding Fiddlers Patriot that looks most interesting but virtue of the fact that he does his best racing when fresh. Not only have two of his three most recent wins come off layups, but the third was on this course, his only try over this ground.

Versatile 6-year-old can either front-run to victory or stalk, his workline has gotten more aggressive since he left his Palm Beach winter base, George Weaver is having a banner 2012, knows how to get one ready and taps Johnny V. for the assignment.

We’re taking course loving Fiddlers Patriot to win 7-2 or greater and key boxing him in multiples with Noble’s Promise and Bergerac.

Running Totals: (1078) 331-210-161 Total Dollar Return: $2,281.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, May 12, 2012

Teeth Of The Dog Sharp for Peter Pan (Sorry)

Today's feature at Belmont Park is the Grade 2 Peter Pan Stakes for three-year-olds racing 9 furlongs and for those with a possible eye on the Belmont Stakes. No fewer than half the 12 horse field have a better than puncher's chance to win it and value, even with public choices, almost seems assured. We'll take any value offered on Teeth Of the Dog.

Originaly consider a Preakness probable, trainer Michael Matz called an audible and has entered the colt here. After breaking maiden at Gulfstream Park, Bluegras Cat colt shipped north and finished a valiant third in the G1 Wood Memorial, an excellent finish considering the increase in distance and class. The grandson of Deputy Minister is developing beautifully.

Never taking a backward step of the Equiform scale, he's shown an ability to distribute his energy efficiently from his very first start. His Wood Memorial figure was competitive to the group and the spacing is excellent for his return. Colt had sharp blowout at Fair Hill training center, Joe Bravo takes a return call and should take advantage of a favorable race shape.

Taking Teeth Of The Dog to win at 5-1 or greater, and key boxing him in multiples with sharp working Mark Valeski (5-2), Jerome winner The Lumber Guy (7-2) and Le Barnardin (15-1), who defeat older horses last time out.

Running Totals: (1077) 331-210-161 Total Dollar Return: $2,281.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Clement’s Filly Figures to Make Amends in Belmont Feature

Today's featured 9th race at Belmont Park is for older allowance fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth feature a classy filly making her U.S. debut, and Todd Pletcher trained $575K purchase that looked good breaking her turf maiden at first asking in Lexington and a Christophe Clement second-time starter in this country.

And we think Limonair (4-1) will offer some value given the presence of Chad Brown's import La Pernelle (5-2), and the Pletcher-trained filly, Counterparty (3-1).

When last seen, Limonair, bet to favoritism in her American debut, chase the pace throughout while slightly wide on a hard Gulfstream turf course, appearing a bit headstrong in the process. Tried as he might, Jose Lezcano couldn't quite settle her down but did his until she set sail for the leader while in the three-path on the far turn.

She rallied smartly, cutting into the leader's margin, but couldn't match strides with the winner's explosive turn of foot. Nevertheless, she continued gamely inside a weakened late, as if in need of the effort.

Subsequently, she's worked sharply at her Payson Park base and ships to Belmont, where Clement has gotten off to a good start; (7) 2-2-0 through Thursday's racing. Jose Lezcano accepts a return call and the filly figures to be a lot more fit for today's trip.

Taking Limonair to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing her first and second in multiples with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (1077) 331-210-161 Total Dollar Return: $2,281.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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