Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, March 09, 2012

Psst, Got a Hot One in the Feature

Another interesting turf route, a preliminary allowances-optional high class claimer for 3-year-olds going a mile and a sixteenth and, as per usual, there are many different ways to go.

It’s not that the favorite is worth trying to beat. He might not be, given the open nature of a field such as this, where the public’s choice could pay fair odds.

That would be Silver Max (3-1) who, when last seen, was chasing the pace in Algorithms’ Grade 3 Holy Bull. Even without the surface change, this would be a totally different animal. Prior to that, he was a special-weights maiden breaker.

Dale Romans’ colt never has taken a backward step on the Equiform scale while racing on turf and owns a wide edge over the group. The one nagging element is 5 runnerup finishes in 7 career starts.

We will go for the gusto here with Scorcher (12-1) who’s developing nicely on the figures scale--albeit not as fast—returns at a reduced level for the first time since claimed three back, picks up Johnny, blew out sharply at his Calder base and gets a couple of pounds from the favorite.

Taking Scorcher to win at 7-1 or greater, an exacta box with the favorite and adding sharp working Captain Webb (6-1) to the exotics mix.

Running Totals: (1039) 321-203-150 Total Dollar Return: $2,222.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, March 08, 2012

Go Long with Indy

Yet another interesting Gulf feature, this one a preliminary allowances or 2-lifer for older horses going 9 furlongs that features plenty of good older horses that for one reason or another have failed to break through this condition.

The early line favorite is Self Control (5-2) who’s been spot-shopping for the Chad Brown outfit recently. Talented and lightly raced, he seems well spotted in this group after dead-heating with similar. The son of Lemon Drop Kid is suited by stretchout and he retains Castellano. Very logical, indeed.

So what’s wrong with the horse he dead-heated with, E. H. Indy (5-1)? Nothing, actually. He’s done his best racing over this ground and the Martha Gerry homebred owns a pedigree that screams for today’s added distance. Trainer Angel Penna Jr. is profitable lifetime with this type, the spacing is perfect and profitable, and the late developing 5-year-old has been working very steadily and with purpose recently.

Taking E. H. Indy to win at 4-1 or greater, exacta key boxes with the favorite and nicely developing price shot Unbridled Kimanchi (8-1), and adding turf-to-dirt Devon Rock (6-1), first-time Pletcher Eye On Jacob (3-1) and strong working Believe In A.P. (15-1) to the super-exotic mix.

Running Totals: (1038) 321-203-149 Total Dollar Return: $2,222.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, March 07, 2012

Get the Bling in GP Feature

Today’s featured 9th race at Gulfstream Park is a good one; from an entertainment standpoint and with an opportunity to find true value. No search warrants necessary to find the favorites: The early line choice is Gentlemans Code (3-1), coming off an extensive layoff. Since it’s coming from Wesley Ward’s barn, that’s not a concern.

Considering, too, it’s been toughened in stakes, broke his maiden on turf in Europe, was last seen in a race that produced four next-out winners, and is being handled by underrated stable rider Jeffrey Sanchez, he’s going to be a tough out.

As is Faretti (4-1), a good-figure first-out maiden winner under identical conditions here five weeks ago. The turf speedster goes for Team Clement/Castellano.

But it’s Blings Express (8-1) that’s intriguing. We generally don’t take first-time turfers against proven surface winners with good Equiform figures. The gray colt earned both those lifetime wins at today’s trip, the wins coming over Tapeta at Presque Isle Downs.

We look for that form to translate to turf for a barn that’s profitable with first-time grass runners and is a worthy 19% efficient in third start off-the-layoff scenarios.

Castellano switches to Clement’s horse which should add to the price potential, but it does get Paco and an inside post. He ran as fast on the Equiform scale at 2 than his competition has at 3.

Taking Blings Express to win at 6-1 or greater and key boxing him first and second with his two rivals here.

Running Totals: (1037) 321-203-149 Total Dollar Return: $2,222.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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