Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Sunday, June 28, 2009
Summer Geisha Looking Exotic
Today’s Grade 2 First Flight at Belmont Park drew six talented sprinting fillies and if three of them; Carolyn’s Cat (2-1), Porte Bonheur (5-2) or Summer Geisha (4-1) can produce her ‘A’ race, they win it. The question, obviously, is which one.
While still unsure of that answer, it is more than likely that Summer Geisha will be the value at post time. The thinking is that not many folks would be inclined to trust her good races at Philly Park. We think she can.
She earned an excellent, competitive figure at the distance two back then returned with an even better effort while establishing a new pace top. No wonder trainer Bruce Levine is thinking it’s time to test the graded stakes waters.
Taking Summer Geisha to win at 7-2 or greater and keying her first and second in the multiple pools with her two rivals here.
Running Totals: (451) 135-94-61 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, June 27, 2009
Bo and Rail, Need More?
We wanted to get away from today’s Mother Goose featuring Rachel Alexandra, the 1-5 early line favorite, so we settled on the restricted Fratello Ed for state-breds. And what this mile and a sixteenth turned out to be was a battle between favorites Wishful Tomcat (5-2 and Z Fortune (3-1).
Wishful Tomcat has been well, a bear, since leaving graded stakes company on SoCal and returning to New York to meet his peers. Trainer Rick Dutrow undoubtedly has ground the hole card.
Two for two recently on the local tracks, the 4-year-old ridgling improved his record to 2-for-3 at the distance, with the third another money finish, and he’s been dominating with his early speed. But he doesn’t just last. He kicks on strongly indicating that he’s not a one dimensional type. That will help here as there’s speed signed on today. He’s five weeks fresh, has worked thrice since his last win in this company and retains leading rider Dominguez.
Z Fortune, breaking from the rail with Borel, gets the mount from Steve Asmussen, who obviously will saddle the filly later in the day. This outfit takes no chances. In fact, Z Fortune is part of an uncoupled entry with a mate that owns some early speed and Johnny Velazquez, who will try to press things or work out the perfect stalking trip from his outside slip. The race shape suits this late kicker, a winner of his only start over Big Sandy. This looks like the right wake-up spot.
Taking Z Fortune to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Wishful Tomcat.
Running Totals: (450) 135-94-60 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Friday, June 26, 2009
Poetry in Motion
It’s very rare when we take a horse with no turf form against proven grass runners, especially in stakes competition. We’re making an exception in today’s restricted Perfect Sting Stakes which for out purpose today could have been named the Perfect Storm.
There’s no arguing with those who would prefer Dame Ellen (4-1). She’s two for three on grass, hails from a profitable 24 percent turf barn, attracts Jose Lezcano with a inside draw and a strong workline going into today’s mile and a sixteenth.
Then there’s the very consistent Fast Tigress (5-1), who’s been earning competitive figures while being toughened up in stakes competition. Both lifetime wins came at today’s trip, the Kimmel barn has a 21 percent strike rate this meet and the switch to smooth riding Rajiv Maragh also augurs well.
But it’s Shared Account (12-1) that’s the most interesting. This filly never has lost a race that wasn’t a graded stakes, going three for three when away from G2 company, trainer Graham Motion is profitable going turf to dirt and, most significantly, first time turf. This is not easily done given large samples in each category.
Jeremy Rose comes up the turnpike to ride this bullet-worker who’s bred both sides of her pedigree for grass, sire Pleasantly Perfect a profitable 18 percent efficient in that scenario. Drawn toward the inside, her tactical speed should serve her well.
Taking Shared Account to win at 10-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with her rivals here. Trifecta players can add Strike The Bell (8-1) and Dynaslew (7-2).
Running Totals: (449) 135-94-59 Total Dollar Return: $943.00 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci