Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, April 03, 2010

Like a Hurricane

With a bevy of stakes to choose from, we’ll take the one that we believe gives us the best chance to beat the favorite ad be successful. And that would be in the Bay Shore on the Wood Memorial undercard.

Eightyfiveinafifty (4-5) has still has best speed figure earned this year sprinting no matter who’s figures who look at. Off that maiden win he was rushed into a two-turn stakes debut but bolted on the first turn and was eliminated; lucky that he didn’t sustain a serious injury.

Subsequently, he’s trained well and returns in a sprint, but it’s a 7-furlong graded sprint in which he has drawn the rail--no bargain at this trip. Yes, he picks up the great Ramon but his considerable speed notwithstanding, he’s got something to prove.

Not so Hurricane Ike (7-2). He might be 1-for-6 but comes off a series off fast sprints on the Pro Ride, beaten a neck in an overnight stakes that went in 1:08.8. Two of his defeats--including one at today’s distance in which he was beaten 2 ¾ in the G1 Del Mar Futurity--came when he lined up against Lookin At Lucky.

He worked rapidly at his West Coast base before shipping East, picks up Calvin Borel, and is nicely drawn in mid-pack. The G3 Bay Shore is the perfect spot.

Taking Hurricane Ike to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him first and second in trifectas with the favorite and price shots Noah’s Dreams (20-1) and Remand (15-1).

Running Totals: (623) 194-125-88 Total Dollar Return: $1,348.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, April 02, 2010

Castaneda, not the rider, the horse!

Today’s Aqueduct feature, a secondary allowances-optional claimer for state-breds three-year-olds and up is one of those sprints fraught with questions where you can make cases for half the field--not strong cases, but cases nonetheless.

But rather than guess, we’ll take the horse with the best recent race, a three-year-old that obviously still has upside, and one scratched out of tomorrow’s G2 open Bay Shore at 7 furlongs for a New York bred spot at three-quarters, the distance of his most recent win.

Castaneda (3-1) is the most likely winner, especially with a repeat of his most recent effort. Perhaps the money to be made, if any, will come in the multiple pools.

Taking sharp working Castaneda to win at 2-1 or greater and keying him first and second in multiple pools with Tellmefirst (20-1), Goodandacceptable (20-1) and Regal Prince (6-1).

Running Totals: (622) 193-125-88 Total Dollar Return: $1,344.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, April 01, 2010

Full Play on Half Metal Jacket

Today’s allowance feature on the Aqueduct main track, a secondary allowances-optional claimer going a flat mile has attracted a competitive and fairly talented group.

Wish I know what to do with early favorite The Roundhouse. His recent inner track sprint win was excellent but coming back in five days is very un-Pletcher and while we’re talking best and fastest recent form here, the 3-1 early favorite is not really at his best going this far on this surface. The percentage move is to bet against.

The logical play, given the race-shape conditions, is Half Metal Jacket (9-2). Two-for-two over this surface and also twice a winner at 8 furlongs, he finished ahead of The Roundhouse last out, has the conditioning off a recent route effort, has tactical speed and kick and switches to David Cohen, a 31 percent profitable player for this barn.

Taking Half Metal Jacket to win at 7-2 or greater, and keying him first and second in multiple pools with The Roundhouse, Chris Got Even (8-1), third off the layup for Zito, and Broadway Producer (10-1) who suits the conditions well and returns with the right spacing for Terranova.

Running Totals: (621) 192-125-88 Total Dollar Return: $1,339.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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