Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, February 24, 2010
Deposit Beats a Withdrawal Every Time
The best part of any prestigious race meet is the atypical preliminary allowances y0u come across that’s just so chock full of potential, which describes today’s eighth race at Gulfstream Park for 3 year old fillies going 6-½ furlongs.
There’s early favorite Golden Galleon (7-2) making her first start for former Pletcher assistant Anthony Sciametta Jr. She was impressive, and fast, winning her debut at Aqueduct in December.
Then there’s Successful Song (4-1), dropping down and turning back for Eddie Plesa Jr. Add to that the talented Canadian based Sulis (10-1), making her season’s debut off a fast score in her lone start at 2.
And, finally, Lavender’s Spirit (15-1), turning back into a sprint with a tad of back class and from a barn 31 percent efficient in this scenario.
But it’s Deposit Only (6-1) that interests most. She’s won 2 of 4, losing only when she met the streaking hard hitting stakes filly, Diva Delite at 7 furlongs, and last out when she steadied out of the race on the turn but came on very gamely to finish third in her surface debut.
The extra half-furlong is going to help here and her recent half-mile work at Calder termed breezing will have her on edge, putting her in this one right from the jump along the inside. Elvis Trujillo takes the re-ride.
Taking Deposit Only to win at 5-1 or greater and keying her first and second in all multiple pools with her rivals here.
Running Totals: (600) 187-122-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, February 21, 2010
Come to Poppa
Clearly, Poppa’s Pick (6-1) is happy to be back in New York on this surface. In today’s contentious allowance sprint, he’s nicely drawn outside to take advantage of the much improved early speed he demonstrated last out.
With a highly competitive figure to race back to over this course from last March, a strong effort is expected. Channing Hill can be quietly aggressive under these circumstances and that gives him options here.
Taking the value offered with the Asmussen trainee to win at 4-1 of greater and keying him in the multiples first and second with the in-form Ricoriatoa (2-1) and Charlott Humor (5-2), each coming out of a live race.
Running Totals: (599) 187-121-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, February 20, 2010
Today’s Southwest a Real Gamble
We’re putting the carbon in for today’s rescheduled Southwest Stakes from Oaklawn Park, with a slight variation.
In today’s Grade 3, the first stop on the road to the Arkansas Derby, we’re going back to the choice we bet in the Smarty Jones on Jan. 18, Kitty’s Turn.
In case you didn’t see it, Luis Quinonez gave away all his position after breaking fairly well for the rail post at the same distance. Then entered the stretch angling out 7 wide and finished well too late for third.
Kitty’s Turn was supposed to get a switch to Robby Albarado on Monday but this being a big day at the Fair Grounds, Robby’s staying put and B G Murphy takes the mount. Which, if nothing else, assures a better price.
As the early line suggests, this is NOT an easy spot, not with all the classy types and faster rivals tied on.
The redraw actually helped Dublin, who had the extreme outside Monday, and punished early favorite Conveyance, who moves from inside to out. And Garrett Gomez is going to Florida today, instead. Martin Garcia will keep the speedy Dryfly in his sights. The pace figures to be strong.
We’re changing our approach to this two-turn mile. Dublin is now solidly in the mix, but another price shot was also aided by the redraw. That would be Cool Bullet, who moves a bit more inside and picks up a switch to Jon Court.
Taking Kitty’s Turn across-the-board at 12-1 or greater, and Cool Bullet across-the-board at 8-1 or greater. Also making an exacta box of Kitty’s Turn, Cool Bullet and Dublin.
Running Totals: (598) 187-121-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci