Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Thursday, June 30, 2011


Sleeping Beauty Lives!


Today’s feature, a secondary allowances optional claiming for fillies and mares going a mile on the Widener turf course, appears long on early speed but with horses in varying stages of development, making this a difficult read and virtually impossible to take a short price on whichever filly you fancy.

We’ll reach out for Awakened Beauty (6-1) who’s won both her turf starts at Belmont, has been versatile in both wins, is bred for distance on dam’s side and attracts Castellano, 5-for-11 through Wednesday when riding for Bruce Brown, himself a career flat-bet profit with first-time runners going long.

The filly is not as fast as her rivals here, but she’s never has taken a backward step on the Equiform scale in three grass starts.

Taking Awakened Beauty to win at 4-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with the speedy Bailzee (8-1) breaking from the pole position and dropping from a restricted stakes.

Running Totals: (883) 278-180-120 Total Dollar Return: $1,924.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, June 29, 2011


Take #3 in the Feature, don’t ignore the writing on the wall


Given the odds for today’s Belmont features eighth race, a secondary allowances/optional claiming affair, two horses were attractive based on performance figures and prevailing conditions; Mine Over Matter (9-2) and Writingonthewall (4-1).

My initial instinct was to prefer the former because of 4-year-old upside and a troubled trip last out. For his part, Writingonthewall was hindered by a wet track in last and hasn’t been keeping the same tough company as “Mine” in his recent starts.

Upon further review, however, “Mine” really didn’t get good until the fall of the year last year and his strong trouble line was really much to do about very little.
With the money that the trouble line is likely to attract, it should be a wash as the crowd is also sure to back “Writing” because of the Team Pletcher connections.

With a long time to recover from his enervating effort two starts back, we’re taking Writingonthewall to win at 2-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (882) 278-180-120 Total Dollar Return: $1,924.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Saturday, June 25, 2011


Weight Shift and Rider Switch Rules at the Shore


Taking a look at one of two Monmouth Park features today, the Lighthouse Stakes for fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth.

Making the mini-stretchout to the distance at which she's won half her six starts, Successful Song (7-2) and switching to Joe Bravo, the 4-year-old Successful Appeal filly, benefits from a weight switch with her major contenders and is bred to handle any footing.

Eddie Plesa trainee owns the tactical speed to be in this throughout and enough kick to get the job done. Taking Successful Song to win at 2-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (881) 278-180-120 Total Dollar Return: $1,924.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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