Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Taking Ness Sprinter to Tripp Out

Given the Martin Luther King holiday card at Gulfstream, SaratogaBets will trek north to Tampa Bay for their feature, a secondary allowances/NW 3 lifetime/optional claiming at 7 furlongs, run as Wednesday's 3rd race.

The sprint has drawn a field of six and any of three can win this. A look at the field:

#1 Thank U Phillippe (5-1) ships north for Marty Wolfson, 1-for-1 at Tampa this season (BRIS). Lacks killer instinct with (20) 2-5-2 slate, but the good news is that both wins were at today’s specialized distance, winning his only start on this surface. Half-mile work on Jan. 14, termed breezing, was third fastest of 129 members of his peer group that week at his Gulfstream base. Very well meant.

#2 Guam Typhoon (8-5) has always done his best racing at today’s trip, winning three of five lifetime starts at seven-eighths, earning top Equiform figures in the process. He owns two exacta finishes in three starts over the surface. Strong finishing Ronnie Allen takes the return call.

#3 Bold Captain (15-1) is winless at Tampa and lifetime best effort came going 10 furlongs on wet track at Thistle.

#4 Rickyontherun (6-1) has won at the distance and over this surface but his performance figures are lacking.

#5 Beijing House (9-2) is interesting because he owns excellent performance figures and McCooey barn is profitable with second-off-the-layup runners. The bad news is that he’s 0-for-11 at Tampa and winless in four starts at today’s trip.

#6 Tripp O Steel (2-1) has no experience at the distance but owns worthy (7) 2-1-2 slate over the local ground. His performance figures had been improving steadily and that was before the Jamie Ness claim. He chased a hot pace while wide in his latest at Gulfstream now returns to his preferred surface. Ness is otherworldly 33% efficient in third-off-the-layoff scenarios. Switch to Goncalves (42% for this barn through Monday), outside post in small field and possibility of a loose lead all augur well.

Taking Tripp O Steel to win and key-boxing in multiple pools with Thank U Phillippe and Guam Typhoon.

Running Totals: (1007) 310-202-143 Total Dollar Return: $2,134.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, January 16, 2012

He Can Run, Really

Today's Aqueduct feature offers an excellent chance for value. Not that Yo Koffy (5-2) isn't a worthy favorite; he is, with an excellnt figure debut score followed by a New Pace Top effort in his second start. But tae a look at He Can Run (6-1).

Well named, he earned the field's second best figure two starts back, a huge double top that affected him last time; that and a tough trip and he was still heading in the right direction at the finish. Shedding 6 pounds with tactical speed and kick, the switch to Junior Alvarado also augurs well.

Taking He Can Run to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing him first and second with Yo Koffy and top-figure-last-out Deliburnsky, who must spot the other two four pounds.

Running Totals: (1006) 310-202-143 Total Dollar Return: $2,134.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, January 14, 2012

Little Nick Comes Up Big

Sunday’s feature in SoFla., the Gulfstream Sprint Stakes, has attracted some fast horses. The favorite, one fast sprinter named Great Attack (2-1) will be a tough out. When last seen he was beaten 2 ½ lengths in the G2 BC Turf Sprint. This is easier, to say the least, and his most recent work was fastest among 138 workers that week in his peer group.

But we’ll try to take him with Little Nick (5-2), making his second start off a layup, winning his return by a relatively comfortable margin but under very confident handling from Paco Lopez, who takes the re-ride here. Packed with speed, kick and a ground saving position, he’s a perfect trip waiting to happen.

Taking Little Nick to win at 2-1 or greater and key boxing him in multiples with Great Attack, the very sharp Marquet Cat (8-1), and the interesting import, Private Jet (4-1).

Running Totals: (1005) 310-202-142 Total Dollar Return: $2,134.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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