Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Thursday, November 05, 2009


Pegasian to win


Today's Aqueduct feature is a preliminary allowances for New York breds, 3-year-olds and up, going a flat mile. The interesting entrant here is Pegasian, making his second start since the barn change.

Of significance is the fact that Carlos Martin is using a pattern with this new runner that has worked in the past, a turf-to-dirt move that resulted in a near lifetime best performance.

In fact, Pegasian's best performance figures recently have come in one-turn miles, and he has an excellent back figure indicating that he has the ability to beat these, even the recent impressive maiden breaker and probable post time favorite, Fiddler's Patriot.

Taking Pegasian to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Fiddler's Patriot.

Running Totals: (536) 163-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,132.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, November 04, 2009


Potential Trip and Value Key to Half High


Today’s Aqueduct feature is the overnight Half High Stakes for three-year-olds and up going a flat mile at the Big A. The fastest horse, Solar Flare, makes his first start for the Anthony Dutrow barn, a profitable 32 percent in that scenario and an outfit that’s 28 percent efficient with layups of 90 days or more. With New York’s leading rider Ramon Dominguez, he’s a worthy favorite (7-5).

However, this looks like an interesting spot for both Timber Reserve and Gold Trippi. Timber Reserve is nicely positioned outside the favorite for the backstretch run and with enough tactical speed to stalk whichever rival elects to set the pace, then out-quick the field home. His steady works since his latest look purposeful and he reunites with Javier Castellano, who rode him to two previous victories.

But this race is about course lover Gold Trippi, who's 2-for-3 over this ground, perfectly suited to a one-turn mile, and benefits from the switch to Alan Garcia. Taking any value offered on the early line second choice, to win at 3-1 or greater, and boxing him in exactas with Solar Flare and Timber Reserve.

Running Totals: (535) 163-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,132.60 [win selections only]




Written by John Pricci



 
 

Sunday, November 01, 2009


Can’t Criticize Favorite Backers in Long Island Handicap


Today’s Grade 3 Long Island Handicap at the Big A, at a mile and a half for fillies and mares, looks like the perfect spot for Criticism (8-5), who makes it a habit of trying hard and racing well in Grade 1s that are just a bit too tough for her. However, when she drops into G2 and G3 she usually dominates her rivals. We expect that will be the case today.

Taking Criticism to win, no price restrictions, and boxing her in the exacta with price shot Tidal Dance (20-1). Making her turf debut is a sign of confidence from a trainer that’s a profitable 21 percent in that scenario, She has the pedigree to get the marathon route and attracts Alan Garcia.

Running Totals: (534) 16-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,129.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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