Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Cat Gone Wild at Belmont Park

Note that we are shipping to Kentucky early this week and the Feature Race Analysis will return from Louisville in this space on Formerly Filly Friday.

I will be co-hosting an interactive Online Semiar Thursday night from Kentucky with my handicapping partner Cary Fotias and with European maven Nick Mordin from 9 to 11 p.m. EDT.

We will provide an analysis of all 15 Breeders' Cup events in the Equiform Betting Guide as well, with Value Plays, Top Projection Favorites, Exotic Tote Busters, plus a summary of each race. You can sign up for Saturday only, or the two day package. Be forewarned, it's not inexpensive, but Tele Clinic attendees have scored out in four of the past five years.

For more information, click on the Equiform website for details.

Four overnight events, including a couple that likely will come off the grass, leaves us with the Tina Tina Two Stakes for juvenile fillies. The two interesting fillies sprinting six furlongs in today's seventh race are Defy Gravity (5-1), a two-time winner shipping in from Maryland with a sharp recent work and with prior experience over this track.

However, we believe that Select Cat (7-2) is most likely to improve. Making her first start for trainer Eddie Kenneally last out, she was rushed off her feet and tired understandably. The New Pace Top puts her in position to improve here. In her prior start at Monmouth Park, sshe finished third behind place-finishing Say A Novena, who runs next in the Breeders' Cup. Second-time starters for this barn do quite well, an outfit that's 3 for its last 7 starts over Big Sandy.

Taking Select Cat to win at 5-2 or greater, and an exacta box with Defy Gravity.

Running Totals: (958) 296-191-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,050.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, October 29, 2011

East Coast, West Coast, All Around the States…

Time to give Santa Anita equal time, not that they deserve it as their morning lines are consistently the last to get posted, making the job of handicappers and bettors--not just me--more difficult. But today is Cal Cup Day and since we did Showcase Day last weekend, well..

We've chosen the Cal Cup Juveniles Fillies, SA's third race, since it's the first and you Easterners don't have to spend your day and night away from home and hearth. In this short six-horse field, there is potential for value, however in Toluca (5-1).

Starlight Magic (2-1) has done nothing wrong on the Equiform scale. She's "fastest" on final figures, has never gone backward in three starts, and distributed her energy a lot more efficiently last out. She's a worthy favortie and will be hard to deny.

But Toluca also is on an excellent line, with an opening Compression followed by consecutuve New Pace Tops with trainer Jeff Mullins batting 23 percent with horses stretch out off two sprints.

Taking Toluca to win at 7-2 or greater, boxing the exacta with the favorite.

Running Totals: (957) 296-191-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,050.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, October 28, 2011

Surprise Party in the Feature

Today’s featured 7th race at Belmont Park, the overnight Shady Character Stakes, presents a very good opportunity for value--if we’re right, that is.

The favorites for this mile on the turf are Chad Brown’s Big Blue Kitten (5-2), a winner of five straight, and King Congie (7-2), getting class relief in his third off the layup for Tom Albertrani. No knocks on either.

But it’s Naipaul Chatterpaul’s Top Surprise (12-1) that intrigues us the most.

His lifetime best effort came at today’s distance over Belmont turf two starts back, a highly competitive figure to the group before being hindered by a hungry pace in the Grade 1 Jamaica at 9 furlongs, a Pace Low on the Equiform scale. In short, he’s in the mix at a price, especially given low profile connections.

Taking Top Surprise to win at 8-1 or greater, and key boxing him in multiples with the favorites above and adding price shot Clement Rock (10-1) to the exotics.

Running Totals: (956) 296-191-138 Total Dollar Return: $2,050.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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