Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

No Guts, No Glory

So, how are we going to get value in today’s feature from Tampa Bay Downs even though we’re taking the fastest horse for the distance and on this surface?

Because it’s not trained by Jamie Ness, which probably means it has no chance, either.

But Brinca (3-1) is the one, with four exacta finishes (2 wins) at the distance and a winner of half her six lifetime starts on this ground.

Unfortunately, High Cry (7-2) is 4-for-6 in NoFla, and Ness is batting an ungodly 46% at the meet—with 98 starters!

The other danger, of course, is Tweedy (5-2), making her U.S. and season’s debut for Christophe Clement. And she’s only been in training for this from early December!

Taking Brinca to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing her in multiples with her two rivals here.

Running Totals: (1029) 318-203-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,193.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, February 19, 2012

Quick Dividends

Today’s Gulfstream Park feature is the Grade 3 Hurricane Bertie for older fillies and mares sprinting the hybrid distance, and this renewal has drawn an unusual number of 6½- and 7-furlong specialists.

It has also attracted a barn change, owing to a private purchase by Frank Stronach after the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint in which Her Smile finished third. We’re taking her to return quick dividends under the care of new trainer Chad Brown.

It is rare when you see such a one schedule that never has missed a beat since she went into training for the new barn January 1. She has worked every 7 days without missing a beat, including a series of stamina building 5-furlong works, including three bullets.

There seems to be enough pace to suit her late-finish sprint style, she attacts Castellano and the outside post suits perfectly.

Taking Her Smile to win with no price restrictions and keying her in multiples with Belle of the Hall (7-2) and Funny Sunny (6-1).

Running Totals: (1028) 318-203-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,193.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, February 18, 2012

Does The Chief have another Giant Kill in him?

Today's feature is the Gulfstream Park Sprint Championship, a race in which Force Freeze (8-5) owns superior figures and an outside position from chute that gives rider Paco Lopez plenty of options. Nicely weighted and working great; looms most likely winner despite 7F inexperience.

But we'll try to turn back the clock here. Bold Warrior (5-1) earned a worthy figure on the Equiform scale at today’s distance at 3, his lifetime best, now returns at 4 with signature works for “The Chief.” Potential trip sitter from pole reuniting with Lezcano.

Taking Bold Warrior to win at 4-1 or greater, an exacta box with Force Freeze, and adding Capt. Candyman Can to the exotics mix. He might have lost a half-step but has done his best racing in extended sprints and on this strip.

Running Totals: (1027) 318-203-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,193.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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