Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Ho Hum Mile Feature at Belmont

Because of the six horse field, today’s Belmont Park feature will go as the third race, and clearly it’s good to be the king. Or the sheikh.

It’s not often that "non-winners of 3" races go, but if you write it as optional claimer you can usually scare up five rivals for the horse that wants a particular spot.

And clearly you’d have to think that the connections of Tahitian Warrior (1-2) would like to see him go a mile, although why not in stakes company yet is beyond me.

In four lifetime starts, the only loss this colt has suffered is to Trappe Shot, who raced very competitively in top class this summer.

It’s not so much that this horse earns superior figures in a completely different league than his rivals, but he won both recent 7-furlong starts from the pole position--a disadvantage that only the best horses can overcome--and did so in completely dominating fashion virtually without urging under supremely confident handling.

The only way to wager here is to make a straight one-way exacta. If you must, Tahitian Warrior to win, no price restrictions, and a cold exacta with Birdrun (7-2), who turns back to his best distance on his favorite surface after a six-week freshening. Fair odds for this exacta combination is 2-1.

Running Totals: (730) 239-152-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only] {Tuesday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Strong Finisher Taking Center Stage on Parx Turf

In today’s feature at Parx, a starter allowance for older turf runners in the eighth race, there’s no shortage of quality early speed which should go a long way in setting the table for Centre Arena (7-2) which in his three most recent starts over this ground has found his niche.

Not only does today’s race shape suit his style but he’s established that this level suits him well, as does his versatility. Going shorter, he kicked strongly to win going away at one mile and came back subsequently, stalking the pace from close range at nine furlongs and holding very well despite the change of tactics.

Despite a tough trip last out vs. much better, he held his form on the performance figure scale. Trainer Diane Jeannot is having a very solid meeting and Victor Molina is underrated in terms of his being able to finish strongly in turf routes. Early line odds look gettable here.

Taking Centre Arena to win at 3-1 or greater; keying him first and second in multiples with Ballast, Marquet Cat and His Holiness.

Running Totals: (730) 239-152-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, September 18, 2010

Negligee Clear Choice to Upset Garden City

Today’s Belmont Park feature, the Grade 1 Garden City for three-year-old fillies on turf, is a beauty. Check The Label (5-2) is certainly a deserving early line favorite given her accomplishments this year. But lugging 120 here off a layup with questionable pace scenario up front might make her vulnerable. At short odds, we’ll take her defensively only.

The interesting filly in here is Negligee (6-1), also coming off a layup but has been working up a storm. Could it be those works are signaling that the chip that recently was removed from her knee has her more comfortable than at any time this season.

When last these two fillies met in the Sands Point, Negligee was beaten three and three-quarter lengths following a premature move as the favorite. In winning the Alcibiades at 2 earning a performance figure as good as her competition has this year, she rates a chance to make amends for the Sands Point, especially reuniting with Rajiv Maragh, who rode her to victory at 2.

Taking Negligee to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas with Check The Label and No Explaining (6-1) who figures to benefit from today’s added distance.

Running Totals: (729) 239-152-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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