Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Your Place, or Mine

We're heading to NoFla today for their feature, run as the first race; a terrible trend--racing the best horses on the card early in the program.

Anyway, today's featured first, an allowance sprint, has attracted a field of six and two, Funny Pages (4-1), and the early line second choice My Place Anytime (2-1)--who should go favorite considering he owns the best recent back figures and enters this off a New Pace Top. Has good position, early speed and kick, and barn is profitable 23% effective with third-off-the-layup starters.

Taking My Place Anytime to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Funny Pages from the Wilkes barn that's having a good meet with its Tampa runners--GP not so much--and taps Ronnie Allen for this spot.

Running Totals: (1013) 312-202-146 Total Dollar Return: $2,1563.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Take Two and Hit to Right

As everyone knows, turf racing results have more to do worth trips than any other factor, all those factors being equal. Today’s featured 9th at Gulfstream is a race that is confounding to plot and to know just where the main contenders are at right now.

And the ones you know about probably will be beaten by one of the developing unknowns that jump up the best. Migraine city.

There are two fillies that appear set to move forward in this spot; one a Pletcher trainee, the other from the McLaughlin barn. Further, we’re talking Castellano and Velazquez, respectively.

How do you separate them? Sadly, you really can’t, so you opt for what’s known. And that leaves us with Sandy Key Gal (4-1).

This filly never has taken a backward step on turf and her latest figure was the best of its kind in today’s matchup. You just hope the short 19-day layup isn’t too much to overcome--today is her third start in 39 days. Hopefully, Paco can engineer a loose lead and they will leave her alone long enough so that she will have enough in reserve.

Taking Sandy Key Gal to win at 7-2 or greater and keying her in multiples with St Pancras (3-1), Almufasa (5-2) and Ten K Cat (8-1), coming off an Equiform Pace Low pattern.

Running Totals: (1012) 312-202-146 Total Dollar Return: $2,1563.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, January 25, 2012

I Owe.. I Owe..To the WIndows I Go

Today’s Gulfstream feature is another one of those competitive SoFla beauties where even short-priced horses can pay well. If performance figures are the measure--and they always are--four of these preliminary allowances/optional claiming 3-year-olds going one mile on turf would fit neatly under one blanket.

Wayward Sailor (6-1) owns the fastest final figure on this course, at this distance, after adding blinkers for Mike Maker On Dec. 11, but things get a little dicey considering that winning figure was earning v. maiden claimers. But, remember, these youngsters can develop virtually overnight.

Liquidity Trap (5-2) is a worthy favorite given his connections (Chad Brown) and the fact he’s turning back to a winning distance and he ,had trouble in his most recent start. Heiko (5-1) moved up considerably first time on this course, and also returns to his maiden-breaking trip with Johnny V. taking the return call for a second start in blinkers.

But it’s Two Months Rent (8-1) that looms the most interesting. After earning an excellent figure in his New York finale, he showed up at Gulfstream last month and virtually had no chance due to very hungry early fractions. Conditions should improve today.

Further, the trouble he encountered in midstretch didn’t help things, and the winner, Howe Great, came back to win Saturday’s Kitten’s Joy Stakes. Jimmy Toner trainee gets switch to Paco Lopez. Good look trying to get early line odds.

Taking Two Months Rent to win at 4-1 or greater and key-boxing him in multiples with the three rivals named above. Super-exotic players would do well to include very sharp Fear The Heat (4-1)

Running Totals: (1011) 312-202-145 Total Dollar Return: $2,163.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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