Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Awaassif: Arabic for Value?

Given that Backstage Magic (5-2) likely will be a much shorter price at post time of today’s featured second race at Tampa, a preliminary allowance/optional claimer for juvenile fillies, it’s worth taking a chance at securing value with Awaassif (3-1).

Backstage Magic is clearly faster on the Equiform scale, given a strong internal 6 furlong figure in his Tampa debut at 6-1/2 furlongs, back he regressed having run that fast in his second lifetime start at Calder.

While slower on figures, Awaassif’s last was a lifetime best, it came over today’s racetrack, and the filly never has taken a backward step when given fast footing.

Leandro Goncalves gets off this filly in favor of another but Awaassif picks up Ronnie Allen, last year’s leading rider at this session.

Taking Awaassif to win at 5-2 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Backstage Magic.

Running Totals: (992) 307-200-142 Total Dollar Return: $2,107.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, December 26, 2011

Asmussen’s Gang to Upset Baffert’s Mob

The feature race of the day at one of the two premiere winter tracks takes place at Santa Anita, the Grade 1 Malibu at 7 furlongs, the last G1 of the year for 3-year-olds.

Who wants it more, Bob Baffert, who’s entered four runners, or Steve Asmussen, who will tighten the girth on three. While that might be an impossible call, it certainly appears that the winner will come from one of these powerhouses. Today, we’ll favor Asmussen.

Rothko (9-2) has just been on a tear. Developing rapidly this fall, he’s seeking his fourth straight and although he’s not been this distance, he owns the right style for the stretchout, is nicely drawn and fits the race shape. Corey Nakatani returns to SoCal for today’s ride.

Taking Rothko to win at 7-2 or great and boxing him in the exacta with Smash in a wide open and opening renewal of the always entertaining Malibu.

Running Totals: (991) 307-199-142 Total Dollar Return: $2,107.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, December 24, 2011

Replay Pays

Merry Christmas Eve one and all and an interesting feature from Gulfstream Park, the Ginger Brew Stakes for juvenile fillies on the turf and what an open scramble it is, leaving many potential ways to go. And we’re going for the presents in this spot.

Ann Of The Dance (10-1) is making her second start for Marty Wolfson with a steady, purposeful workline, excellent late foot, a cozy inside draw and a switch to Calder’s leading rider Luis Saez.

With all the speed signed on in here, and given the size of the field, Ann Of The Dance fits the race shape, has been toughened in graded stakes and, while meeting some nice fillies here, gets significant class relief.

But I buried the lead. Find yourself a replay of the Juvenile Fillies Turf and catch the trip; wide doesn’t begin to describe the impossible task she was handed.

Taking Ann Of The Dance to win at 6-1 or greater and keying her in all super-exotic positions with Welcome Dance (5-1), Wholelottashakin (12-1), Sinister Brew (6-1) Karlovy Vary (7-2) and Spiritedmiss (10-1).

Running Totals: (990) 307-199-141 Total Dollar Return: $2,107.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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