Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, April 13, 2012

Tural-lure No Lie

Today's Keeneland feature, the Grade 1 Maker's 46 Mile, is always a highly anitipated event won by many quality individuals. The two favorites, Turallure (7-5) and Get Stormy (9-5), certainly qualify on that score. And then there's Doubles Partner (5-1), who never gets his due but nevertheless seems to improve from year to year.

Of all the separaters in spots like these are experience and success and the Grade 1 level, which gets us back to the two favorites, and Turallure, from the Lopresti barn which, if you're not a stats freak, might not realize that he's an fairly amazing 36% efficient with layups of greater than 90 days. Factor in excellent performance figures and solid G1 credentials and you have a most probable winner.

Taking Turallure to win, no price restrictions, and keying him in multiples with his two rivals here.

Running Totals: (1060) 326-207-157 Total Dollar Return: $2,248.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, April 12, 2012

McPeek Filly Looks Pretty Salty in the Carousel

There are two stakes offered at Oaklawn Park as their Festival of the South continues and it appears that of the two, the Carousel offers a better opportunity to attain value.

At first blush, it would appear that trainer Bret Calhoun has this races surrounded with the uncoupled pair of Beat The Blues (2-1) and Gleaming (3-1). The two are a combined 14-for-24 at the distance and Gleaming has won 3 of 6 over this surface, including two exacta finishes.

Instead, we’ll side with Salty Stride (5-2) who appears to have more upside than either of the aforementioned. What is interesting to note here is a strong internal Equiform figure earned in last year’s Grade 3 Honeybee.

Besides, not many fillies attempted a mid-race move on Joyful Victory and lasted to tell the tale.

When last seen, Salty Strike was roaring down the center of the Churchill stripe after splitting horses in her first start beneath the patient, strong finishing Mike Smith.

Mr. 5000 is back aboard here for Ken McPeek, a filly that’s been in solid, steady training since February, including a recent eye-opening bullet. This looks like a great spot for her 4-year-old debut.

Taking Salty Strike to win at early line odds or greater and key-boxing her in multiples with both Calhoun fillies.

Running Totals: (1060) 326-207-157 Total Dollar Return: $2,248.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Pearls of Wisdom?

As the Festival of the South begins, today’s Grade 2 Fantasy at Oaklawn Park is a beauty of a mile and a sixth, just chock full of speed. But, as the Bard once said, therein lies the rub.

A couple of these fast fillies have earned extraordinary performance figures which is problematical two-fold; Mama Kimbo’s (5-2) and Ami’s Dini’s (2-1) pedigree are on the short side and, secondly, they’re fillies—a sex not known to bounce back quickly.

There are a couple of other fillies, with longer pedigrees and top connections, albeit slower on the Equiform performance scale. Of those two; Wait Til Dawn (9-2) and Jemima’s Pearl (6-1), we’re opting for the latter.

She demonstrated excellent energy distribution in her debut, and that was going long. Her spacing is perfect at five weeks, the distance and pattern indicate a forward move forthcoming.

Mr. Baffert, who saddles the longer half of an uncoupled entry with the brilliant Mama Kimbo, has a hellacious record with shippers and the karma with young Joe Talamo has been very good of late. We’re looking for the upset, especially given a foreseeably favorable race shape.

Taking Jemima’s Pearl to win and place at 5-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (1059) 326-207-156 Total Dollar Return: $2,248.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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