Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, April 23, 2008
Contessa’s Friendly Skies
The final week of the Aqueduct spring meet features a full field but looks the same as all the other features recently. Is there any beating the Contessa juggernaut. Not recently and that’s why we’re apparently looking at yet another short-priced winner.
Taking The Redeye (9-5) owns not only the fastest performance figures but by far the best record at this mile and three-sixteenths route. Owning tactical speed and a budding top rider in Rajiv Maragh, it’s impossible to make a logical case against him in this spot. Perhaps we can optimize the play in the exacta pool.
Tergesti (8-1) does very well for the Schosberg barn and is on a good line, improving incrementally since reuniting with this outfit. He seems poised for another forward move, although the added weight, making a 123-pound assignment, is troublesome. At these early line odds you can’t be too choosy.
Lorrcan (15-1) is a four-year-old with some upside potential and will be a big price. Two of his three lifetime wins have come on this surface and today will be his last chance to make hay at the Big A until the fall. He’s also marching forward and as a son of Aptitude will relish the added distance.
Taking The Redeye to win with no price restrictions and keying him first and second in exactas with his price-play rivals here. Trifecta and Dime Super fans may add Dont Knock America (15-1) and Ready Enough (6-1) in money positions.
Running Totals: (197) 65-42-22. Total Dollar Return: $405.60 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, April 20, 2008
Value the Buy-Word in Big A Feature
A race with no name is today’s nominal feature. It’s a 7-furlong sprint for four-year-olds and up under restricted preliminary allowances. The main contenders are Market Psychology (2-1), King Rush (9-2) and Bayou Timber (3-1).
Market Psychology is a deserving early line choice. His three victories lead all entrants, 7 furlongs might be his best go, and Eibar Coa and Rick Violette mesh very nicely. We’ll try to beat the early favorite, believing that Jed Greeley’s speed might soften him up early and that the pole position doesn’t favor his style here.
King Rush obviously has issues with only 12 lifetime starts at age five. But her certainly makes the best of them with three wins and two seconds, he showed improved early lick in last, and fit’s the race shape nicely from his middle position, hopefully stalking the speed comfortably from close range. Low profile connections might provide unexpected value.
Bayou Timber owns a victory at the distance, Kiaran McLaughlin is batting 33 percent at this meet and is a profitable 24 percent when turning routers back into sprints. Rajiv Maragh with a riding triple yesterday, including the featured Bed o’ Roses, is in a zone at the moment.
But we’re taking King Rush to win at 4-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his main rivals here.
Running Totals: (196) 65-42-22. Total Dollar Return: $405.60 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, April 19, 2008
New Day Dawns Golden
Today’s feature, the Grade 2 Bed o’ Roses Handicap at 7 furlongs boasts some very speedy, classy and consistent fillies. Some enter the fray in career form.
From the end of her 3-year-old season, Lady Marlboro (7-2) has really gotten her game together. After winning an overnight stakes at today’s distance at Belmont, she suffered a nose loss at a mile in the G2 Top Flight. She made her 4-year-old debut a winning one, finishing in a dead heat for first in the G3 Sabin. Trainer Jimmy Jerkens is 23 percent effective with returnees from long layups and Javier Castellano is 2-for-3 on the filly, including the head-bon loss in the Top flight.
Sutra (9-2) ships up extremely sharp from Oaklawn Park. She comes from an extremely fast 6-furlong event and her only defeat over today’s distance came in the G2 Beaumont on Polytrack. Classy enough to win the G1 Frizette as a juvenile under today’s rider, Mike Luzzi, her last was a career best effort. If she doesn’t react adversely to that Oaklawn sprint, she will take catching.
Golden Dawn (8-5) not only looks like the right favorite but the most probable winner as well. Freshened following her 7-furlong, key race score in the G2 Barbara Fritchie, she returns to a surface over which she’s 1-for-1. If there’s a hotter combination on the grounds than Mike Hushion and Channing Hill, I’m not sure who they are. Three-for-four since switching to the Hushion barn, she developed beautifully over the past six months.
Taking Golden Dawn to win at 6-5 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas and trifectas with her main rivals here.
Running Totals: (195) 65-42-22. Total Dollar Return: $405.60 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci