Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Friday, July 24, 2009
Only One Way to Go: Ambidaxtrous
Maybe I should be careful what I wish for but Saratoga can’t come fast enough given many of the features we’ve seen lately at Belmont that on paper have not been competitive but in many case have yielded some inscrutable results.
Just because you look for good value, it doesn’t mean you’re going to find it. At least until the betting windows open.
Today’s second allowances/optional claimer for state-breds going 1-1/16 miles on the inner turf course doesn’t figure to be competitive on paper: It almost looks too easy for Ambidaxtrous (2-1).
Making her four-year-old debut recently, she demonstrated excellent development from three to four with that effort not likely to extract too much from her reserves.
This is helped by the fact that trainer Tom Bush is a profitable 23 percent with second-off-long layup starters and is one of the hottest trainers on the grounds, winning at a near 25 percent rate in the last few months with a huge ROI.
In her return, the filly was well bet and raced well, actually drifting out in midstretch as if in need of the race. Kent Desormeaux is re-riding the filly who, from her outside post, figures to drop out of it early and come running late.
Taking Ambidaxtrous to win, no price restrictions, and keying her and stablemate Boxitup first and second in exactas and trifectas with Higher Incentive (7-2) and Offhand Remark (3-1).
Running Totals: (467) 139-96-64 Total Dollar Return: $969.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, July 23, 2009
Hushion Heating Up in Time for Saratoga
Pretty interesting nominal feature at Belmont Park, a secondary allowances/optional claimer for state-bred fillies going seven furlongs on the turf. It appears a three-horse affair among Nedjma (7-2), Southside Babe (9-2) and Acquired Cat (4-1).
Nedjma is making her second start off a long layup for Mike Hushion, who has this filly well spotted with this group. Hushion is profitable in all relevant categories, not only with his second-off layup runners, but with allowance and turf types as well.
Nedjma looked short of condition when a rallying third on June 24 and came back to work twice subsequently, including a sharp half-mile breeze on July 17. Hushion’s stock is running well right now as he gears up for Saratoga and she handles any ground.
The competition comes from Southside Babe, also making her second start off a layoff and second for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin with Alan Garcia on the re-ride. Dropping into an optional claimer from state-bred stakes company, the barn is also profitable with second-off layup returnees and on turf. The Turnback from 8.5 furlongs might suit perfectly.
Acquired Cat proved to be a good claim for Dominic Galluscio, who won off the claim with a rise to this class and he’s waited nearly two months to find an identical spot. Like Southside Babe, she’s a four-time turf winner and a distance specialist given two wins and a placing in three 7-furlong turf starts.
In a competitive one, we’re taking Nedjma to win at 7-2 or greater and boxing her in exactas with Southside Babe and Acquired Cat. Trifecta players can add price shot Doree Daze (8-1) to their mix.
Running Totals: (466) 139-96-64 Total Dollar Return: $969.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Clement Has Them Surrounded
Today’s Donor Stakes, a restricted 10 furlongs for older fillies and mares on the turf, might as well have been named the Clement Stakes. Eight were entered overnight and Christophe Clement dropped three names in the box.
The thinking her is that he’ll need only one: Belle Allure (2-1). And it’s not that we’re going overboard on a filly who won her U.S. debut with a perfect trip over four rivals.
Rather, the compelling fact is that she came out firing in her first start at 4, running as fast as she ever has on performances figures, indicating she made the transition from her 3 year old year and is set for an explosive move.
The spacing is right, 62 days, she goes second-time Lasix, is bred for the distance, handles any ground and picks up the meet’s leading rider, Ramon Dominguez. The case is just too compelling.
Taking Belle Allure to win, no price restrictions, and keying her in trifectas with Sunshine For Life (10-), making her third start this year with good company lines and excellent figures on Belmont turf; Bubbly Jane (4-1), a dual G1 winner in Brazil attracting Rajiv Maragh for her season’s debut, and the ultra consistent Nehantic Kat (7-2). Also, an exacta box with price shot Sunshine For Life.
Running Totals: (465) 139-96-63 Total Dollar Return: $969.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci