Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, January 01, 2012

Happy Derby Day

Can't believe it but here it is, New Year's Day, and we have our first Derby. Sorry, but I thik it's fun. It's certainly a great, very hard betting race, and it's ungraded, so no Kentucky Derby implications beyond seeing what kind of promise these colts have and if they're up to the next level.

Even though he lacks two-turn experience and a race over the track, we're playing the percentage with Reveron (4-1). He's developing very nicely, has the right style, an inside post and not only an excellent figure last out and good spacing, returning in five weeks, but he's never taken a backward step in four lifetime starts. There are plenty of promising individuals in here and this race is certain to have implications down the road.

Taking Reveron to win at 7-2 or greater and key-boxing him in the exotics with Silver Menace (6-1), Ancient Rome (3-1), Casual Trick (6-1), Politicallycorrect (8-1) and Yourhonorandglory (10-1).

Running Totals: (996) 308-200-142 Total Dollar Return: $2,111.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, December 31, 2011

Who Said Disco Is Dead?

Today's featured route for New York bred two year olds is interesting in that while Swag Daddy is certainly a worthy 9-5 early line favorite, he's far from an out bet in this spot. That's because of the presence of another promising colt in the state-bred ranks; Disco On(5-1), beaten only a half length by the favorite when last they met in the Damon Runyan.

After a dull sprint effort in his debut, owner trainer Richard Lugovich stretched him out on the turf and he responded with a maiden score then came back ambitiously in the Runyan and after doing all the dirty work on the lead, pressured every step of the way, he held extremely well to nearly pull off the upset. While he will be a lot shorter price than 28-1 here, he rates an upset call.

Taking Disco On to win at 3-1 or better and an exacta box with Swag Daddy.

Running Totals: (995) 308-200-142 Total Dollar Return: $2,111.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, December 30, 2011

Desert Sage a Wise Choice

Today’s Gulfstream Park feature, a rare “non-winners of 4”/optional claiming for turf fillies and mares going 9 furlongs has one name written all over it; Desert Sage (8-5), which conveniently fits the allowance conditions of this spot to the letter.

The Chad Brown trainee attracts regular partner Jose Lezcano, having a fine meet, and the filly’s next defeat on this course will be her first. She also has two exacta finishes including a win at the distance and has some back class to boot. A tough out, indeed.

Taking Desert Sage to win, no price restrictions, key-boxing her first and second in exactas with nicely spotted and positioned Musical Rain (5-1) and price shot Unbridled Essence (8-1), coming in off a Turf Decline Line with Bravo.

Running Totals: (994) 308-200-142 Total Dollar Return: $2,111.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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