Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Saturday, August 22, 2009
Alabama, Our Home and Native Land
Today’s featured Grade 1 Alabama is, obviously, a more interesting wagering proposition than if Rachel Alexandra were entered. But the hunch is, when it’s over, on track fans will be singing “Oh Canada.”
Two fillies will represent our friends from north of the border and if early line favorite Careless Jewel (5-2) repeats the effort she made in the G2 Delaware Oaks, all others are running for second money. She absolutely freaked in Stanton, then came back to work strongly. She has won both her two turn starts by an aggregate 14-½ lengths. She’s good.
Then so is Milwaukee Appeal, only not as fast. But she was beaten by an aggregate ¼ of a length--and neck and a nose--in two legs of the Canadian Triple Crown. That means colts. And that means she’s been today’s distance, no other filly can claim. She’s trained purposefully and well since the Prince of Wales and picks up Johnny Velazquez (9-2).
Taking Milwaukee Appeal to win at 3-1 or greater, an exacta box with Careless Jewel. Trifecta players can add price shot Sweet And Flawless (20-1), too much prive on the early line with Dominguez.
Running Totals: (486) 145-99-67 Total Dollar Return: $1,000.50 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Friday, August 21, 2009
Another Interesting Lake Placid Offers Value
Today’s featured Grade 2 Lake Placid for three-year-old turf fillies not only is usually a good betting race but it’s the event that points out future divisional stars. That might be the case once again.
The four fillies of interest are in post order, Katara (10-1), second favorite Shared Account (7-2), Keertana (4-1) and favorite Mary’s Follies (3-1).
We have chased the favorite from Belmont Park, at double digit odds, to the G3 Virginia Oaks in which she was seriously overbet. She should have been closer to third in her tough trip turf debut and again with a strong-finish difficult trip finish in the Oaks.
Both races were on off ground and this could be her first start on firm turf. It might be all she needs to break through.
Keertana is going for her fourth straight grass victory and did win the G3 Regret at this trip at Churchill Downs but does not show the development we‘d like to see in her performance figures.
Mary’s Follies is fast, was a G3 winner of the Boiling Springs in her turf debut and subsequently was purchased privately and turned over to Rick Dutrow. She prepped for this in a recent off-the-turfer and now returns to her preferred surface with Ramon Dominguez on the re-ride.
But we can’t pass up the value with Katara, who finished very well too late behind Shared Account at Colonial Downs over soft ground, a very difficult thing to do. It was an ambitious spot. She acquitted herself well, attracted Alan Garcia, interesting at the time and now Saratoga’s leading trainer will take the re-ride.
Taking Katara to win at 8-1 or greater, and keying her first and second in exactas and trifectas with her rivals here.
Running Totals: (485) 145-99-66 Total Dollar Return: $1,000.50 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, August 20, 2009
D’Funnybone’s Chances No Laughing Matter
The most interesting thing about Saratoga juvenile racing is that youngsters ship from all over to test their mettle at America’s Racetrack. The way we look at the G2 Saratoga Special at 6-½ furlongs for colts is a battle between a California shipper and a Florida shipper with new connections: Zip Quik vs. D’Funnybone.
Zip Quik (4-1) is trained by Patrick Biancone, who signed a piece of paper stating I will be a good boy. As for his horse, he’s never taken a backward step on performance figures and has three races worth of experience. He might fly after coming off those California synthetics into Saratoga.
D’Funnybone (7-2) is making his first start for the Pompa-Dutrow team after a private purchase following a fast, impressive score at Calder Race Course. D’Funnybone is coming off a game second in the Frank Gomez Memorial, a change of pace effort indicating some maturity following a frontrunning debut win.
Rick Dutrow is 32 percent profitable with new acquisitions and is working with extreme purpose at his Aqueduct base before shipping north with Edgar Prado on the re-ride. The Gomez has produced a next-out winner from two subsequent starters.
Taking D’Funnybone to win at 5-2 or greater, an exacta box with Zip Quick, and adding fast-working Tiny Woods to the trifecta mix.
Running Totals: (484) 144-99-66 Total Dollar Return: $994.30 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci