Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Friday, November 24, 2017


A Duty to Stick with CD Surface Lover


The race of the day anywhere is the G1 Clark at Churchill and an interesting renewal it is. New York ship-in early favorite Diversify (5-2) has been a revelation this year and became an elite winner as the lone speed upsetter of the storied Jockey Club Gold Cup.

The connections opted not to challenge Gun Runner in the Classic--good choice--and opted to run here. Unfortunately, the outside draw did him no favors on the cutback to 9 furlongs although he continues training with gusto.

Our interest is in two horses that were most disappointing last out but figure to rebound today, Of those, we're giving an edge to Honorable Duty (5-1). He never lifted a hoof in KEE slop but now is back at his favorite oval, is suited very well by the trip, and is projected to get fast footing today. Versatility should be the difference here.

We're taking Honorable Duty to win at 9-2 or greater and exacta key-boxes with the favorite and Good Samaritan (8-1), returning to his optimal trip after a dynamics-compromised effort in the Travers and a dull try in the JCGC.

******

Number of Selections since 2007: 2401

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 713-480

Amount Wagered: $4,802 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,860.50

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $58.50


Written by John Pricci



 
 

Thursday, November 23, 2017


Let’s Have a Thanksgiving Party


Of the two Big A Features, we'll take a look at the larger field with a chance to secure better value. Alas, we shall see.

Chad Brow is efforting to surround another turf stakes with his fillies, surrounding today's Winter Memories with an uncoupled triad.

Our interest is in Party Boat (7-2), an unlucky narrow loser of her Belmont finale but now returns to the Big A lawn, over which she's 1-for-1 and at a trip, where she's a worthy (4) 2-1-0 in her career.

Taking Party Boat to win at 3-1 or greater and key-boxing her in trifectas with Brown runners Thais (4-1), Taperge (5-1) and Rymska (3-1), and adding uncoupled Motion, Dancing Breeze (15-1), as a superfecta price shot.

Happy Thanksgiving one and all!

******

Number of Selections since 2007: 2400

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 713-480

Amount Wagered: $4,800 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,860.50

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $60.50


Written by John Pricci



 
 

Wednesday, November 22, 2017


Focus on Today’s Big A Feature


Today's Big A feature is a first level allowances going 1-3/16 miles on the turf.

Shahroze (2-1), an impressive maiden breaker for Motion as first-time U.S. runner, is a deserving fave who also happens to be a first-Lasix runner here. And while Astounding (5-1), from the white hot Jason Servis, has the benefit of a recent win over the course, it is another we prefer.

Focus Group (7-2) had very little chance coming from last when pace-comprised in Belmont finale but finished strongly too late for third. Second time in the hands of Jose Ortiz and at a shorter trip, the race shape should favor his style here.

Taking Focus Group to win at 5-2 or greater and key-boxing exactas with his rivals here.

******

Number of Selections since 2007: 2400

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 713-480

Amount Wagered: $4,800 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,860.50

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: .497%

Profit to Date: $60.50


Written by John Pricci



 
 

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