Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.
Thursday, November 18, 2010
Interesting, entertaining and hopefully profitable Big A feature, a preliminary allowances on turf for two-year-old fillies, where it will appear four of them will dominate the results: Speedy’s Gal (12-1), Lucky Strikes Gold (7-2), Excited (2-1) and Upper East Sider (8-1), with all but ‘Lucky’ coming from the same race, Belmont’s restricted Goodmood.
It’s a strong possibility that it will be one of those three, the Goodmood being the fastest race to come from on performance figures. ‘Speedy’ never has taken a backward step; Excited comes from two strong efforts, one in graded company, and finished ahead of her mates in the Goodmood, and Upper East Sider, who lost ground at critical stages in that matchup and comes from a blue hen turf dam.
However, it’s Lucky Strikes Gold which might have the most upside. She won her debut, a Presque Isle sprint on Tapeta then transferred that form very well when third in a two-turn turf allowances at Keeneland. In that event, she was severely hampered by a dawdling pace before finishing boldly, third, with a sustained rally in a bulky field. She figures to find the pace more suitable here and this is one regally bred turf miss.
Taking Lucky Strikes Gold to win at 2-1 or greater and keying her first and second in all multiples with her three rivals here.
Running Totals: (764) 245-159-102 Total Dollar Return: $1,700.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
Back to Basic Luxuries
Today’s Big A feature is the Restrainor Stakes for state-bred two year olds going a flat mile, and a competitive one it is.
Looks like a battle of stable couplings, the Flying Zee pair vs. Mike Repole’s duo; more specifically Luxury Appeal (5-2) vs. Never Right Joey (3-1). Add Crea’s Law to the mix (4-1), another of Todd Pletcher’s three entrants and you have a three-horse free-for-all.
Crea’s Law showed affinity for a longer distance when he distributed his energy more efficiently in his first start beyond 6 furlongs, indicating that today’s mile is within his scope for a juvenile with plenty of experience. By Thunder Gulch, the added furlong should help even more.
Never Right Joey’s pedigree is screaming for more distance, he’s been tried twice in state-bred stakes company, winning once, continues to train well and main partner Johnny Velazquez lands here.
But it’s Luxury Appeal which looms the most likely winner. The fastest on performance figures by definition, he’s improved as the distance increased in the Sleepy Hollow, his stakes debut, and with the addition of Lasix.
Nicely positioned outside with plenty of speed signed on, he finished well too late last out and figures to get it done here. His five furlongs in 1:00 3/5 termed breezing was fastest of 40 juveniles that worked this week.
Taking Luxury Appeal to win at 2-1 or greater and keying him first and second in multiples with his rivals listed here.
Running Totals: (763) 245-158-102 Total Dollar Return: $1,700.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Tuesday, November 16, 2010
Interesting little state-bred stakes for state-bred juvenile fillies, the Swirlaway, going a flat mile. We give five fillies a chance to win this one.
The merits of early line Saltamontes (2-1) are obvious, Yawkey Way (4-1) is consistently fastest on performance figures, price shot Hessonite (12-1) has the most distance experience and Miss Valentine (5-1) broke maiden as if she has a future and has a promising pedigree as well.
But it’s Floating Alone (8-1) that has peaked our interest. Appearing in need of her sprint debut at Saratoga, trainer Tom Bush ran her long on the grass in her second start and she obliged willingly, confident handled before making a very strong late run to get the money.
Wasting no time, he sent her back in a state-bred stakes on the main track at u furlongs and after a slow start following a very bad stumble out of the slip, she bided her time before making another good late rally for third, beaten only 2-¼ lengths by today’s early line favorite.
There’s plenty of speed signed on if this event holds together and her draw toward the outside should have her in good position before launching her rally.
Taking Floating Alone to win at 6-1 or greater and keying her in all positions, in all pools with the four rivals listed above.
Running Totals: (762) 245-158-102 Total Dollar Return: $1,700.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci