Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Even on Polytrack, Speed Is Dangerous

Today’s Grade 2 Beaumont for three year old fillies going seven-eighths on the Keeneland Polytrack has sometimes served as a speed prep for the Kentucky Oaks three weeks hence.

It appears that’s what both California shippers, the first and second choices Turbulent Descent and Tell A Kelly, respectively have in mind. The latter hasn’t run since last year’s G1 Hollywood Starlet. Turbulent Descent won the G1 Santa Anita Oaks last out. They have the look of bigger fish to fry about them.

But not so Honey Chile (10-1). The dominant speed in this match-up over a track that’s been playing a little more speed favoring due to recent rains, she hails from a barn--Wayne Catalano’s--that excels with long lay-ups. In training since February, this looks like a prime spot of her dance card, and the price will be fair.

Taking Honey Chile to win at 5-1 or greater and keying her in exactas with both favorites.

Running Totals: (844) 267-174-115 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, April 16, 2011

Experience Counts at Keeneland

Today’s Blue Grass Stakes presents an interesting and baffling puzzle for handicappers as most Polytrack races can be. With a bevy of early-career turf specialists in the lineup, several are sure to take to the synthetic surface but who will benefit the most. Guessing, however, is never the desired handicapping tack.

Like his trainer says, Santiva (3-1) is very versatile, handling the three surfaces he’s been on very well. His adaptable running style can also come in handy here given a cozy inside draw. It will be up to new rider Julien Leparoux to figure it all out. He’s the most probable winner.

Taking Santiva to win at 2-1 or greater, boxing him in the exacta with Willcox Inn (10-1), who went well behind the choice in last year’s Breeders’ Futurity, and adding a versatile Crimson China (10-1) beneath hot riding Alan Garcia to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (843) 267-174-115 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, April 15, 2011

When You See a Possible Gift Horse, Take It

In this game, when things look too easy, that’s the time to worry, so don’t say we never gave you a heads up. Now this is Keeneland and the distance is one mile. And I’m thinking “who cares if he’s a six year old returning from a layup in a Grade 1?” We’re talking about Court Vision (8-5) here. And this is Lexington and the trip is one mile, so how’s he supposed to get beat.

Court Vision’s done this before, and so has trainer Rick Dutrow, and so has Robby Albarado, who will reunite with Court Vision this afternoon. Why should results be any different.

Court Vision have always run his career best races on this course, at this trip. He’s won fresh, training as serious as a heart attack, and none of the competition has been tested under today’s conditions the way this G1 winner has nor have they had his success. I think I recognize a gift horse when I see one.

Taking Court Vision to win at 3-2 or greater, boxing him in the exacta with talented turf miler Society’s Chairman, and keying him first and second in the exotics with price shots Tourallure (15-1) and Bim Bam (12-1), including Society's Chairman.

Running Totals: (842) 267-174-115 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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