Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Negligee’s Season Takes Off at Churchill

Today’s feature at Churchill Downs is the overnight Edgewood Stakes on turf for three-year-old fillies, Could it be that the crowd will think Negligee’s (9-5) return was so disappointing and, combined with the fact it’s her turf debut, will allow her to get away at bettable odds? Well that’s what we’re hoping.

Clearly, she is the “fastest” on performance figures and most accomplished member in the 9-horse lineup. It will pay to note that trainer John Terranova is profitable when removing blinkers and has made a career out of winning non-graded events: He's 30 percent efficient. Negligee’s had her mettle tested in G1 company, winning the Alcibiades at 2. Class on the grass? You betcha!

Taking Negligee to win, no price restrictions, and keying her first and second in the multiples with Potosina (3-1), making her first start since the Juvenile Fillies Turf for a 24 percent return trainer; Cactus Cadillac (20-1) for a barn that’s a profitable 21 percent in that scenario; Midway Holiday (4-1), 2-for-2 and switching to Gomez, and Dynacare (3-1), who showed promise in her lone turf (stakes) start and is picking up Leparoux.

Running Totals: (639) 201-128-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,394.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Sittin’ On the Doc at the Bay

For today’s feature race we go to Tampa Bay Downs and a turf sprint allowances for older horses dashing five furlongs. And be warned that the favorite, Doc On the Rock (2-1), will be a very rough out.

Drawn into a significantly weaker group than he faced last out, the lesser competition, favorable draw, live connections of Kathleen O’Connell and Daniel Centeno, when added to his talent and suitability to the race shape, it’s easy to understand why he’s a deserving favorite. Five year gelding is just too solid in this spot.

Taking Doc On the Rock to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first and second in multiples with Jamie Ness trainer Broad’s Beware (3-1), Heavyweight (9-2), shipping north from Gulfstream, and the improving Fly So Fast (6-1), who might slip under the betting radar here.

Running Totals: (638) 201-127-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,394.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, April 27, 2010

A Pal You Can Count On

There’s a horse shipping northwest from New York for today’s feature at Finger Lakes and it’s east to understand why Mr. Windjammer (6-5) is such a prohibitive favorite. Back in Jonathan Buckley’s barn, he recent finished chasing Dr. W., not once but twice.

Dr. W has been on a roll recently and last out upset the favorite in a restricted stakes at Aqueduct. A eight time winner here and 3-for-5 at the distance, he’s sure to be odds on in this optional claimer non-winners of a race other than this year.

But the value and the play is Pro’s Pal, also a winner of eight races here and four at the distance. The five year old gelding has been working bullets for the top return outfit of the prodigious Charlton Baker and looks like he will control at the tempo here. Run him down if you can.

Taking Pro’s Pal to win at early line odds of 2-1 and an exacta box with Mr. Windjammer.

Running Totals: (637) 200-127-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,389.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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