Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Value Almost Always Available in Churchill’s Cardinal Handicap

Always an interesting feature and good betting race on the fall docket at Churchill Downs is the Grade 3 Cardinal Handicap for fillies and mares on the turf at nine furlongs.

Today’s field is incredibly evenly matched with many of the entrants dropping out of Grade 1 and Grade 2 stakes, including one from Southern California. The filly we think that has the best chance of falling between the wagering cracks is Acoma, despite early line odds of 5-2.

Making her second start off a freshening, David Carroll has really put her on the fence in the morning and she’s responded with two very sharp and strong breezes. Undefeated in two starts on Churchill turf but inexperienced at the distance, she’s well drawn inside here beneath underrated turf rider Jesus Castanon.

Her strong late kick is suited to the race shape as the Cardinal is top-heavy with speed. Her pedigree is screaming out for today’s added distance and betting value seems assured.

Betting Acoma to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with price shot Long Approach [12-1]. (The latter is worth a small saver wager to win at 8-1 or more).

Running Totals: (545) 167-107-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,158.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, November 20, 2009

Looking Sassy in the Feature

Maybe the only way for the competition in today’s Monarch’s Maze overnight stakes to beat the uncoupled Christophe Clement entry if for the race to get rained off the turf. Otherwise, it will be difficult for any of Grassy’s rivals, even Bittel Road (3-1), to abort this three-year-old’s development.

Grassy (9-5) has made four lifetime starts and performance figure-wise never has taken a backward step. He has handled any footing, was very competitive last time with stronger than he meets here, reunites with Dominguez, his winning partner two back.

Most significantly, however, his development has been incremental, making a bounce less likely, and the spacing is perfect. Bittel Road, meanwhile, is very talented, also owns turf figures that are forward looking, but is coming off a long layup, giving him the look of a horse that is using this spot for an upcoming Florida campaign. Still, there’s no denying his talent.

Taking Grassy to win at 7-5 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Bittel Road and uncoupled mate, Golden Mexico (5-1).

Running Totals: (546) 167-107-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,158.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, November 19, 2009

Nothing Could Be Finah Than to Cash on My Dinah

Today’ Aqueduct feature, the Love Is Eternal at a mile for state-bred fillies three-year-olds and up. Distance and position should determine the outcome here but for My Dinah (5-1) to complete the job, she’ll have to run down the streaking Rightly So (5-2), who’s stretching out another furlong in search of her firth consecutive win.

My Dinah comes into this off a second to the early line favorite showing improved pace, a cyclical top, after earning a performance figure three back that would boss this group. She has conditioning, tactical speed, and outer position next to the speedy favorite which should secure a comfortable stalking trip. The low profile connections should insure value in this spot.

Taking My Dinah to win at 5-1 or greater and an exacta box with Rightly So.

Running Totals: (545) 167-107-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,158.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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