Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Believe What You See

Today’s Spa feature is the P G Johnson overnight stakes for two-year-old fillies going a mile and a sixteenth on the inner turf course and an interesting heat it is.

No less than five of these fillies, in our view, have a good chance to win this and we will opt for the filly with the best demonstrated late kick even if she is a maiden vs. winners, which should help insure fair odds.

In her turf debut on July 30, Believe In A. P. (8-1) demonstrated turf style, an ability to kick late, especially considering a lack of strong early pace which never developed on that occasion.

Factor in that she was forced to alter course off that slow pace, has worked thrice since that effort, retains Julien Leparoux and shifts to the inner course with its longer run to the first turn and there are good reasons to believe she can pull off the upset here.

Taking Believe In A. P. to win at 5-1 or greater, and keying her in multiples with turf meant Pleine Forme (5-1), logical favorite Dos Lunas (3-1), grass bred Fancy Point (12-1) with Castellano, winner of her only [turf] start Lauren Byrd (7-2), and recent conqueror Arch Support (6-1).

Running Totals: (720) 236-149-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,633.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, August 30, 2010

Little Al and Big Favorite

Today’s non-Spa-like feature is a secondary allowances/optional claiming for older horses going nine furlongs. Ruffino for 007 Bond is tempting third off the layup, sitting the pole and a likely trip at 5-1 early odds. So is National Pride (3-1), training over at Greentree, a winner over the track and dropping a notch for Kiaran McLaughlin.

But Glenwood Canyon (5-2) is going to be a very tough out here. Obviously, the 5-year-old has issues, with only 14 lifetime starts, so he needs to make all of them count and Little Al Stall has done precious little wrong at this meeting. The gelding did benefit from a soft pace last out but he did finish with great determination, forcing a much classier Convocation to his limit. No such rival here.

Taking Glenwood Canyon to win at 7-5 or greater and keying him first and second in multiples with Ruffino and National Pride.

Running Totals: (718) 236-147-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,633.10 [win selections only] {Sunday selections not included}

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, August 29, 2010

You Expected Something Else?

Today’s Spa feature is the G1 Personal Ensign. Like a horse called Rachel Alexandra. I expect her to bring the fight to Life At Ten and not be dictated, too.

Taking the reigning Horse of the Year to win, no price restrictions, and a one-way exacta with Todd’s filly.

Running Totals: (717) 235-147-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,617.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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