Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Tuesday, February 08, 2011

Liquor May Be Quicker But. Candy Is Dandy

Today’s Parx feature is certainly a skull buster what with horses in various stages of the form cycles and with several switching barns for extremely high percentage trainers.

We’ll try not to get too cute and take High On Candy (9-2) who stretches to an optimal two turns for a top outfit, fits very well at this level, has some versatility, competitive figures, an inside draw.

Further, this will be his first start at a reduced level since claimed three back and fits the conditions snugly here.

Betting High On Candy to win at 4-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with fast worker On Vacation (5-2), making his first start for Tony Dutrow, and Proud Ruler, who figures to be a pace presence throughout.

Running Totals: (803) 257-167-111 Total Dollar Return: $1,781.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, February 05, 2011

Taking Morning Line All Day Long

Trainer Nice Zito is saddling uncoupled favorites in today’s Grade 1 Donn Handicap at Gulfstream Park. The early favorite, Fly Down (5-2) was third when last in the Classic behind Blame and the Big Mare.

Although he likes today’s surface, the thinking is he is more 10 furlongs than nine, Today, I’ll pay to test that theory.

But Morning Line (3-1) is a miler that’s been effective at nine furlongs, winning the Pennsylvania Derby last fall before a narrow loss in the BC Dirt Mile. In his 4-year-old debut on this track, he was forced into a pace duel, didn’t appear all that sharp while doing so, but stayed gamely to the finish. It looked like a perfect prep.

That race, the Hal’s Hope, has produced two next out winners from three starters. He owns tactical speed, inside position, and is working strongly for this live outfit.

Taking Morning Line to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Rule, coming from the same race in his second start off a lengthy layup.

Running Totals: (802) 257-166-111 Total Dollar Return: $1,781.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, February 04, 2011

Tempting Fate with Pearly Blue

A very interesting turf marathon on consecutive days, this one shaping up a better betting race than yesterday’s--even before we were DQ’d.

Tarrip (5-2), with her company lines and connections, is the logical and worthy favorite and is very likely to be a tough out. But then what fun would that be?

There is also Liberally (3-1), a veteran race mare also with good company in her past and coming off a tough trip in a recent Grade 3 at Calder.

But there is an uncoupled pair from the Mott shed that appear the most interesting, especially Pearly Blue (6-1), who makes up in recent form and development which she might lack in performance figures and along class lines.

She’s coming off a delayed Turf Decline Line on the Equiform scale, has run well on this course, is 1-for-1 at the distance and, as a newly turned 4-year-old, will benefit from that added maturity, especially since, as daughter of Empire Maker, she figures to be late developing. Both lifetime wins have come with Kent D. in the boot.

Taking Pearly Blue to win at 5-1 or greater and keying in the multiples with both favorites and her uncoupled mate, Codetta (5-1).

Running Totals: (801) 257-166-110 Total Dollar Return: $1,781.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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