Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Saturday, September 05, 2009

It’s a Bird…It’s a Cold Exacta

Today’s featured Grade 1 Woodward features Rachel Alexandra. You might have heard of her.

Here’s what we’re doing today. I can’t pick against her and sentiment has nothing to do with it. Her last five Equiform figures, especially since she’s getting eight pounds from the field, put her six lengths up on her rivals on her ‘A’ race.

So, rather than go on record with a win bet--she’s 1-2 on the early line and probably that, or 2-5, at post time--we’re going on record with a cold exacta for ROI purposes.

Now we’ll box the exacta, and then press with the filly on top.

The horse we’re using is It’s A Bird (10-1), unfortunately most everybody’s wise guy horse. My reason is that he has a race in his PPs, the Oaklawn Park Handicap at nine furlongs, that puts him on a par with the filly on the Equiform scale, weight allowance notwithstanding.

So, it’s a cold 3-5 for the money. Trifecta players can use Macho Again to block, who looms the logical runnerup given his liking for the Spa surface.

Running Totals: (497) 148-103-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,017.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, September 04, 2009

Clement Filly Has Some Allure

Today’s feature, the Voo Doo Dan Stakes for fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth on the inner turf will require a medicine man to have a strong opinion here.

Six of the 11 entered can win this and while speed has been carrying better this week on the inner turf, the pace scenario here is muddled, making this a rider’s race. With everyone playing off the break, handicappers are forced to guess.

You guess; you lose. What I know is the following: Belle Allure (4-1) never had a chance in her recent return because she was badly compromised by the pace. Now, with that race under her belt, she will improve and has the back figures to dominate these on her “A” race.

Taking Belle Allure to win at 4-1 or more, boxing her in the exacta with Leamington (6-1) and Colina Verde (6-1).

Running Totals: (496) 148-102-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,017.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, September 03, 2009

Can’t Afford To Be Riskaverse

Today’s co-featured Riskaverse for three-year-old fillies going a mile on the inner turf has a little too much of everything which makes it impossible to take a short price. We’re not, and will key on Afternoon Stroll (10-1), who already won a graded stakes (this isn’t) and shoulders high weight of 122 pounds. But she’s earned it.

Reuniting with Jamie Theriot, who rode her to that victory, this filly has the speed to get position close to the pace, tuck in just behind the speed, and kick home. This very much will be a rider’s race and a most difficult call. But her development pattern is good, the price will be square, and she’s turning back to her most effective distance.

Taking Afternoon Stroll to win at 8-1 or greater, and keying her in exactas with Bluegrass Tigress (3-1) and Fast Tigress (6-1).

Running Totals: (495) 148-102-68 Total Dollar Return: $1,017.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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