Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Beat Mr. Fantasy in Big A Feature? You’re Dreaming

Interesting feature to begin the week at Aqueduct, the overnight Billy Redcoat Stakes for older state-breds going seven furlongs. The bad news is that the favorite looks very difficult to beat.

Last year, Mr. Fantasy (8-5) was on the Derby trail until and injury forced the end to his season. But this year he’s come back for a new barn, Mike Hushion’s, that gave him a six furlong prep for today’s feature.

And how do we know this? Because Hushion is a whopping 50 percent effective with horses he starts for a second time. Further, he’s a Grade 3 winner going a mile which means seven furlongs is a perfect fit here, as does the presence of Ramon Dominguez on the re-ride.

Taking Mr. Fantasy to win, no price restrictions, and will try to optimize in the multiples. Dr. W. (5-1) showed big improvement for Asmussen and returns over the same track and distance, Mor Chances (6-1), who’s 2-for-3 at the distance and whose trainer Rick Dutrow is a worthy 34 percent profitable with third-off-the-layup performers, and Good Card (15-1), who showed much improved early speed last out and was second under similar conditions in a strong run 7 furlongs last fall.

Running Totals: (633) 200-126-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,389.50 [win selections only] {Tuesday’s results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Dana’s Beau a Shore Thing

The short, popular and always interesting abbreviated Atlantic City Race Course meet offers an interesting feature on the all turf card, a starter allowances for fillies and mares 3 & up.

Today’s featured sixth at 5 furlongs yields an interesting opportunity for Dana’s Beau (10-1), making her return from a layup at a distance in which she is a winner of her only start.

Dana’s Beau not only has run well when fresh and owns enough tactical speed to put her in a position to win, but it’s also the time to back trainer Andrew Simoff, who is a profitable 23 percent efficient with returnees from lengthy layup.

Further, Dana’s Beau comes from a key race that produced three subsequent next-out winners and in Anna Napravnik, an efficient position conscious turf rider that understands the value of saving ground. She should have this fresh filly in position throughout.

Taking Dana’s Beau to win and place at 5-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (633) 200-126-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,389.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, April 17, 2010

Taking the High Road to Value

Precious little remaining to the 2010 Gulfstream season, and an interesting open turf route for the South Florida weekend warriors.

Today’s Boynton Beach Stakes for three-year-old fillies going a mile has drawn a well match field of eight and it would appear that both favorites, In The Rough (5-2) and Dattt Echo (3-1) deserve the linemaker’s respect.

While these fillies are the most accomplished on turf in this group, it’s Sea Road (6-1), a filly on the come, who’s the most interesting.

Lightly raced, she’s come to hand since going longer on grass and doubtlessly has made a favorable transition from two to three. She has tactical speed and kick, which should put her in this one from the start and enable her to get the jump on her late-running rivals.

Stanley Hough has been on a recent roll and has won with two of his three recent starters here when using Bravo.

Taking Sea Road to win at 9-2 or greater and key boxing her in the exacta with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (632) 199-126-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,380.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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