Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, March 05, 2010

Race Over Course Favors Mahindar

I’m willing to gamble that in today’s allowance feature at Tampa Bay Downs, featuring three-year-old fillies sprinting 6-½ furlongs, the linemaker has made the wrong favorite. At least I hope so.

Actually, Island Time (8-5) can’t be ignored. Certainly not off a top figure score at Gulfstream Park, attracting leading rider Centeno, and hailing from an outfit, Jason Servis, that’s 2-for-4 shipping in this meet.

Instead, we’ll err in favor of winning races over the track, an added sixteenth of a mile that could help her and compromise the favorite, the presence of Rosemary Homeister Jr. and the sharp recent work indicating that Mahindar (2-1) could not be in better form.

Taking Mahindar to win at 2-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Island Time.

Running Totals: (607) 189-124-84 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, March 04, 2010

….He’ll Be Gone, Gone, Gone…

Today’s eighth race turf feature at Tampa Bay Downs is highly competitive mile with an excellent chance of securing value.

The favorites will be tough on their company lines. Robscarvic (5-2) , shipping in from Santa Anita of all places, has excellent performance figures is nicely drawn inside and, most significantly, goes first time for Wayne Catalano, a 36 percent proposition.

Sol A Pino (3-1), meanwhile, ships in for Billy Mott and returns to claiming company. The first year old gelding also has excellent figures and makes his first start for a barn that’s a profitable 24 percent returning from long layups. Rosemary Homeister Jr. takes the mount.

But the value here is clearly Native Yell (6-1), a winner at this distance two back for the white hot O’Connell barn, reunites with leading rider Daniel Centeno and comes off a Turf Decline Line, often the harbinger of an improved grass performance.

Taking Native Yell to win at 4-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here. Trifecta players can add the speedy Heros Image (6-1) to the mix.

Running Totals: (606) 189-124-83 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, March 03, 2010

Excessive Improvement

Try as I might, I can’t figure out a way to beat Excessive Heat (2-1) in the five furlong turf feature at Tampa Bay Downs, so I won’t. I will try to get some money out of this race, however.

Excessive Heat, whose performance figures are as fast or faster than any of her rivals here, has drawn the pole, attracts Daniel Centeno and goes first time off the Jamie Ness claim. I mean, please…

The ones of interest to combine in the multiples are Anachini (7-2), scratched recently awaiting this and from a clever turf outfit, Precision Farming (5-2), trained by Linda Rice, who won a Saratoga training title on the backs of her turf sprinters, and Ghazia (30-1), who’s turning back fro trainer Ida Paquette who specializes in turn-backs.

Taking Excessive Heat to win at 8-5 or greater, boxing her in exactas with Anachini and Precision Farming, and adding Ghazia in the trifecta mix in the second and third slots.

Running Totals: (604) 188-123-83 Total Dollar Return: $1,305.70 [win selections only] {Tuesday’s results not included}

Written by John Pricci


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