Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, November 15, 2007
Turning Up the Heat in Big A Feature
Today’s feature is a real scramble, a preliminary allowances, optional claiming $75,000 for three-year-old fillies and older sprinting six furlongs. Six of the eight fillies could easily win it. Resultantly, we’ll narrow our focus to two: Carolina Fuego (8-1) and Sunset Cocktail (9-2).
Carolina Fuego has been somewhat in and out but fits very well here on her best try. Adding blinkers, trainer Leah Gyarmati also switches to Johnny Velazquez, the team winning at a better than 20 percent rate. The filly was a very game second in a Delaware Park stakes two back, owns tactical speed and kick and owns the co-highest Equiform performance figure on the page/ The real attraction, of course, is the price.
Sunset Cocktail turns back to her best distance while shipping in for the talented Derek Ryan shed and attracts Frankie Pennington, perennially among the leading riders at Philly Park, shipping along for the ride. Victimized by a rough trip in a recent state-bred stakes, she turns back to the distance that saw her finished a game second in quickly run heat. Like ‘Fuego’, she should provide value in a very competitive sprint.
Taking Carolina Fuego to win at 4-1 or greater and an exacta box with Sunset Cocktail.
Running Totals: (130) 45-29-14. Total Dollar Return: $266.30 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Some Value Available in Competitive Big A Sprint
Today’s feature is a little gem, an overnighter, the Maria’s Mon, attracting some talented, late developing three-year-old sprinters going three-quarters of a mile.
From the inside, out, we’ll concentrate on Leonardo (9-5), Appealing Spring (6-1) and Roi Maudit (2-1).
Leonardo has just blossomed this fall. His last was excellent, his first start with blinkers and beneath Javier Castellano. Castellano, hottest rider on the circuit, takes the re-ride on a colt who should sit tucked in behind the speed from his inside slip. While he’s recent work was third best that day, it was the fastest move posted by a three-year-old at the distance for the week. He will be a tough out.
When last seen, Appealing Spring was rushing up the inside of a deep sloppy Monmouth track on the Friday preceding Breeders’ Cup. (And, contrary to popular theories, two trusted sources walked the Monmouth surface and found the inside and extreme outside to be the most holding parts of the sloppy surface). He has excellent company lines in his PPs, is 2-for-2 beneath Joe Bravo, and clearly has improved since moving into Kelly Breen’s shed.
Moi Maudit also will be a very tough out, especially if he duplicates his last effort for Bill Mott. His last two performance figures were excellent and he seeks his third straight win off two dominating efforts over lesser. Working well since his last race, he’s nicely drawn to give Johnny Velasquez a bird’s-eye view of the developments. He clearly fits the anticipated race shape.
Taking Moi Maudit to win at 2-1 or more and an exacta box with Appealing Spring. Also, will key him in trifecta money positions with Leonardo, Appealing Spring and probable value Blue Bullet (9-2).
Running Totals: (129) 44-29-14. Total Dollar Return: $261.50 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Royal Highness To Take Measure of European Three-Year-Old
Yesterday, the Red Smith, today, the distaff equivalent, the Grade 3 Long Island Handicap for fillies and mares, three-year-olds and up, at 12 furlongs.
This fixture usually attracts European invaders and this year is no exception. The depth of quality, however, is lacking, and the only interesting filly that made the trip is Dalvina, a John Dunlop trainee getting first-time Lasix and attracting Cornelio Velasquez. She has been competitive in group events going a distance of ground and, as a three-year-old, has upside potential. She should handle whatever footing she encounters.
Christophe Clement has an uncoupled stable entry here and, clearly, Royal Highness is best of the American entrants. A winner of the Grade 1 Beverly D. last August, she raced evenly while wide throughout the G1 Flower Bowl. Less accomplished rivals, added distance, and the ability to handle any ground, suits the five-year-old owner of the best performance figures in the field. And she’s earned those figures with consistency. Expect Javier Castellano to time her late run perfectly.
Taking Royal Highness to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Dalvina.
Running Totals: (128) 44-29-14. Total Dollar Return: $261.50 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci