Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Maker’s Filly Looks Sweet at GP
Given a rare dark Wednesday in New York, our focus shifts south for the Gulfstream Park feature, a conditioned allowance optional claiming sprint at 5 furlongs for fillies and mares on the turf.
These vents, of course, feature turf-sprint specialists, especially at the prevailing distance. While many of these have enjoyed success under these conditions, including favorites Summer Flight (3-1) and Streamin Heat (4-1), it’s Candy Cane (6-1) that intrigues most.
Michael Maker has well documented success when shipping from venue to venue, and while this filly is winless on turf, she has won on the synthetics and earned the top performance figure under these conditions in November at Churchill Downs.
Prior to shipping to SoFla, Candy Cane tuned up for this setting a very hot pace on the Turfway Polytrack, which should set her up perfectly for a return to grass, which appears to be her preferred surface.
At early line odds, it’s worth finding out if Julien Leparoux can guide her home. This appears to be a perfect spot, especially at today’s reduced level.
Taking Candy Cane to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas with her main rivals here.
Running Totals: (581) 181-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,246.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Nick and Johnny Go for GP Hat Trick
Tired of the small fields in NY, thought the pickings at GP today would be better. They are, not by all that much, but certainly there’s enough quality on hand in South Florida to at least make looking at the PPs interesting.
Today’s feature is sans name, it’s a monied non-winners of three optional claimer going a flat mile featuring three strong contenders; the returning Just A Coincidence (9-5), the sharp Birdrun (2-1), entered Main-Track-Only yesterday and the streaking class climber Caixa Eletronica (4-1).
The three are difficult to separate on performances figures since they’re all virtually the same horse. But it’s gets a little easier considering ‘Caixa’ is winless at the distance and on this track; his best form has been cross town a Calder.
Birdrun is the logical favorite. He’s always run well on this track and at this trip, even if winless under those circumstances, and was a good second over the ground three weeks ago. His best figures have been earned under those conditions.
While Just A Coincidence is the early line favorite, the hunch is the crowd will go for Birdrun since this newly turned four year old hasn’t run since last April, when fourth in the Withers.
But prior to that, it was back to back wins here at the distance and a very worthy third in I Want Revenge’s Wood Memorial. We’re hoping the layoff will be worth a couple of ticks on the tote. Nicely drawn in post 4, race riding Johnny V. can play this one off the break. This team is 2-for-4 at the present meet.
Taking Just A Coincidence to win at 8-5 or greater, keying him first and second in the multiples with his two rivals here.
Running Totals: (580) 181-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,246.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Condition Over Class
Today’s feature can be called storied because it has a significant history. Then it used to be worth more than $65,000 and, if memory serves, was once graded. It’s only significance today is that it marks the return of a very nice sprinter, the five year old gelding Driven By Success (1-1).
He is, by definition, the fastest horse, and he’s earned his best performance figures on this surface. He’s been working very well and, since he’s been competitive in graded company, this should easily be do-able. But the message is getting old.
Instead, we will opt for the much improved early season four year old, Wall Street Wonder (4-1). His last race, his first for trainer John Terranova, was his best, and at his tender age has license to keep improving.
He has enough gas to stay within hailing distance of the likely pace-setting favorite and could out kick that rival on conditioning alone. Or not.
Taking Wall Street Wonder to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with Driven By Success.
Running Totals: (579) 180-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,239.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci