Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Live Shipper; Big Price

Now for something completely different (can’t believe I never saw the blinkers on Hello Broadway for the Peter Pan--definitely my bad. But interesting if he runs back in, say, the Belmont).

Today’s feature at Churchill Downs is a conditioned allowances/optional claimer sprint that has attracted some talented runners. Time to throw deep.

Trainer Ronny Werner has a win at the meet shipping into Churchill, just like Normandy Shore (15-1) is doing today. He comes in off a new pace top looking to rebound from a big-figure prior. Only this time he’s fresh (7 weeks) and has worked very well. He could win it at the break, indeed, he might have to.

Taking Normandy Shore to win at 10-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with Knights Cross (2-1), the speed of the speed and who will be happy to trade Keeneland Poly for Churchill dirt.

Running Totals: (421) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, May 09, 2009

Say Hello to My Little Chestnut Friend

In an apparent accommodation to the way horses are trained in this era, the NYRA wisely moved the Peter Pan to a complete four weeks before the Belmont Stakes. It figured to be a good move not only for aspiring third-leg classicists but for talented late developers wishing to go a distance of ground around one turn all at the same time. Mission accomplished.

While Imperial Council (2-1) clearly is a better horse than he showed in the Wood Memorial and Charitable Man (3-1) clearly is a better horse he showed in his season’s debut at Keeneland neither are a bargain--especially the former--under these circumstance and at early line odds. Hello Broadway (5-2) is unavoidable in this spot.

Showing ability at 2, Barclay Tagg trainee made his season’s debut with an excellent placing in the G2 Hutcheson behind seven furlong specialist Capt. Candyman Can, he wasn’t ready to go two turns off one sprint over the more demanding Tampa surface in the Tampa Derby and raced liked it.

But now with two under his belt and switching to Garrett Gomez, he won a preliminary allowances on the lead going two turns at Keeneland, not an easy go. Since, he’s had two stamina enforcing works, returns to familiar surroundings--he was eliminated at the break in the G1 Champagne at 2--and retains Gomez. The stars are aligned, although you won’t get rich.

Taking Hello Broadway to win at 2-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (420) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, May 08, 2009

If the Weatherman Cooperates…

Interesting feature at Pimlico today, a 5-furlong turf sprint classified allowances that obviously must remain on the grass for this exercise to matter.

The horses that figure to attract the most attention at the windows are the classy, if often infirm, Street Magician, from the excellent layup barn of Michael Trombetta, and Disco Dandy, twice a winner under these conditions, and 1-for-1 at Pimlico.

But the most interesting, however, is Lycurgus, an older hard-hitting gelding who has done his best work in turf sprints.

The six-year-old gelding makes his second start off a layoff but, more significantly, his second off owner Michael Gill’s claim by trainer Christopher Grove, who happens to be a profitable 27 percent efficient with horses making their second start off a claim.

And that first start appeared to be for practice--6 furlongs on the dirt--considering his 3-for-11 at this distance on turf (5-for-34 doing anything else), and was second in as many starts on the Pimlico turf.

Jockey J D Acosta, on the re-ride here, fits this horse’s mid-pack closing style perfectly.

Taking Lycurgus to win at 3-1 or greater, boxing him in exactas with his two rivals here.

Running Totals: (420) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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