Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, August 07, 2010

Shooting for Exacta Value

Today’s Feature is the storied Grade 1 Whitney Invitational Handicap and it’s attracted the best older male in training. We expect that Quality Road (2-5) will keep to the task, extending his unbeaten record for 2010.

The four-year-old is simply too fast for this group and is more than capable of spotting his major rivals anywhere from five to 10 pounds. Post time odds will be perilously close to the early line quote.

The value in this race will be in the exacta and with the extremely talented Blame being the steam horse in this event, we believe that Musket Man (6-1), who was second to Quality Road in the G1 Met Mile, is fresh and primed for another good effort. Blame might be the second best horse on paper but it’s worth trying to beat him in the exacta.

If you must, take Quality Road to win with no price restrictions and make a cold exacta with Musket Man for second.

Running Totals: (700) 226-142-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,578.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, August 06, 2010

Finishing Like Gangbusters

Opting for the tougher of the two features, named for the redoubtable Horse for Course, John‘s Call. This overnight stakes is for older turf runners going a marathon distance of 13 furlongs on the Spa turf.

It’s the kind of spot where if there are no classy stickouts on paper, anything can happen, and we’re betting that Gangbuster is that price shot.

While this veteran may not have the company lines of many of his peers, it’s undeniable that his lifetime best go came when he raced this distance on the Keeneland Polytrack last year--and everyone is aware of the synergy between most synthetics.

Returning from a layup earlier this year, he won with a new lifetime top performance, regressed when ambitiously placed in the G2 Brooklyn on dirt, then was seriously compromised by the slow pace last out.

Back at his best distance and reuniting with Kent Desormeaux, aboard for both victories referred to above, this appears an excellent rebound spot at a big price.

Taking Gangbuster across the board at 10-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (699) 226-142-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,578.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, August 05, 2010

Taking the Bridge Back Home

Today’s overnight feature is the Latham Stakes for 3-year-old males sprinting 5-½ furlongs on the turf. As you might expect, there’s no shortage of early speed here.

The speed of that speed is likely Presque Isle shipper Dazzled Saint, the fastest horse on the Equiform scale. The lack of turf experience is mitigated with his good form on the Tapeta and switch to Garrett Gomez from the pole. But he will be pressured.

The two that fit the shape are late running Flamin’ Hot, who was narrowly beaten then placed first in the Anderson Fowler at Monmouth after meeting interference. But it’s Bridgetown that intrigues most.

And that’s because he’s run competitive figures with most of these as a two-year-old, now debuts at three with a strong workline, the presence of Leparoux, and strong efforts in graded company as a juvenile. Given his maturity, we expect a lifetime best effort here.

Taking Bridgetown to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (698) 225-142-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,571.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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