Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Offhand Remark? She’ll Romp

Today’s feature is a secondary allowances for state-bred turf fillies at a mile and a sixteenth on the Widener turf course. There are about five females that wouldn’t come as a big surprise in the 11-horse field. Of those five, however, we’re looking at the one with the most potential, even though there are more than a few who are faster on performance figures.

But you’d have to see a replay of the effort made by three-year-old Offhand Remark (5-1). You can count on limited figures the numbers of races won from an extreme outside post going a mile at Saratoga, especially without working out a trip where you can save ground for a significant portion of the race.

Not only did this filly not save ground but she was stalked the slow pace while four wide every step of the way and kicked home to win, racing a final quarter in less than 23 seconds. That takes talent no matter how slow the fractions. Here she finds a race light on early speed, has an inside draw in the bulky field and attracts Johnny V., this year the best turf rider in New York.

And while her figures are not as fast as her main rivals, she’s never taken a backward step in her career, either on dirt or turf, over which she‘s 2-for-2 including one over Belmont ground.

Taking Offhand Remark to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in trifectas with Blitzen Too (3-1) One In a Romp (6-1), Boxitup (5-1) and Absolute Heaven (4-1), plus an exacta box with Absolute Heaven.

Running Totals: (275) 84-55-32. Total Dollar Return: $504.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, September 14, 2008

Taking Value the Logical Way

Today’s feature is the always entertaining Ashley T Cole for state-bred turf specialists going nine furlongs on the Belmont inner turf course. The two most likely for us are favorite Banrock (2-1) and improving late developer, Logic Way (8-1).

Banrock has proven consistently fastest on performance figures. He’s a multiple winner at the distance and over this course and is extremely sharp now, seeking his third straight after winning the West Point with authority in Saratoga last out. Kent Desormeaux, 3-for-3 aboard Banrock this year, take the re-ride.

Logic Way has improved this season after moving into the Rick Dutrow shed. His figures are forward looking and his development figures to continue, given incremental movement. He has enough tactical speed to play it off the break with a cozy inside draw
And if it weren’t for a nose defeat two starts back, Edgar Prado would also be 3-for-3 for the year on his mount. Weight will be a strong factor here, as Logic Way drops seven pounds to 114 while the favorite picks up two to 121.

Taking Logic Way to win at 5-1 or more, an exacta box with Banrock.

Running Totals: (275) 84-55-32. Total Dollar Return: $504.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, September 13, 2008

Matron Filly’s Stretch Run Is Persistent

A veritable feast of feature races and, with that choice, we’re opting with the Matron and a filly that might provide extraordinary value if the oddsmaker’s assessment is correct. The Grade 2 for juvenile fillies showcases a handful of fillies who impressed favorably at Saratoga. Two in particular are Miss Ocean City (7-2) and Persistently (8-1).

Miss Ocean City, trained by Nick Zito but owned by former Maryland training standout, Leon Blusciewicz, was extremely impressive winning her only start in high front-running style. Taking the lead at once with a rapid burst from the gate, she settled while setting the pace, rating kindly until Johnny Velazquez gave her the cue. At once she opened ground and was nearly six in front at the finish.

In a contrast of styles, Persistently trailed badly approaching the far turn behind a loose leader when Alan Garcia set her down and she set sail. She made a strong turn move that carried her wide into the lane and instead of showing the effects of such a tack, she just kept coming and, after nailing the leader in the shadow of the post, she galloped out strongly, as if distance will be her game. That effort came at today’s distance, her style suits the race shape here and the McGaughey barn has been rolling since early at the Spa meet.

Taking Persistently to win at 6-1 or greater and exacta key boxes with Miss Ocean City and Doremifasollatido (4-1), a filly who returns to Belmont Park, not only her career best effort but also a figure fastest than any other Matron miss.

Running Totals: (274) 84-54-32. Total Dollar Return: $504.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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