Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Thursday, July 01, 2010

My Lawyer Agrees, Bet #5

As we often stated, some small fields off the potential for value. Such is the case in today’s featured third race at Belmont Park, a money allowances at 6-½ furlongs for stakes class sprinters.

Dr. W (2-1), briefly freshened, looks like lone speed in here but we don’t believe that Johnny Velazquez aboard Driven By Success (8-5) will allow him to get away soft. An improved winner of his last as a first-time Todd Pletcher entrant, he figures to apply pressure from his outside.

This could set things up nicely for first-time four-year-old Legal Consent (4-1), who, given his freshness and modicum of tactical speed, should be stalking these two from close range from his outer position. In fact, he won twice last year sprinting on this track from an outside slip in a small field.

The fact that trainer Carlos Martin is a profitable 33 percent efficient with 90-day-plus layoffs and attracts the position conscious Jose Lezcano only adds to the positives for a horse that figures to improve given the maturity angle.

Taking Legal Consent to win at 3-1 or greater and keying him first and second with Driven By Success and Dr. W.

Running Totals: (680) 218-138-95 Total Dollar Return: $1,528.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, June 30, 2010

If the Right Don’t Get You Then the Other One Will

Today’s Belmont Park feature is an interesting turf sprint, for three-year-olds and up racing six furlongs.

The Michael Dubb-owned entry of Tahoe Warrior and I’ve Got Speed are coupled as the 5-2 early favorite. Either will be very tough to beat.

Tahoe Warrior’s performance figures are fairly competitive, but what does that matter when you’re claimed into the barn of Rudy Rodriguez, who’s won with five of his nine recent claims. Veteran runner has a very good turn of foot and breaks from the rail.

I’ve Got Speed, meanwhile, is the fastest of these, on balance, is 5-for-7 on Belmont turf and 5-for-6 at the trip. He’s trained by Tony Dutrow, 31 percent effective with repeaters and horse’s last five victories came beneath Ramon Dominguez, re-riding here. With different jockeys named, it is likely that both will run.

Taking the entry to win with no price restrictions, although demand at least 2-1 if only one starts.

Further, key first and second in super-exotics with Southern Exchange (6-1), for Rick Dutrow, a profitable 27 percent with turn-backs, Kingsdale Ocean (20-1), another old pro turning back to his best distance, Academy Run (3-1), who’s never run badly when sprinting on grass, and the in-form Istishaary (9-2) for Team McLaughlin/Garcia.

Running Totals: (679) 218-137-95 Total Dollar Return: $1,528.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Want a Hot Horse? Try A Little Warm

You might not make a fortune betting on the most probable winner of today’s secondary allowances-optional claimer for three-year-olds and up in a Delaware Park mile and a sixteenth. Of course, the multiple pools could help in that regard if the fates are kind.

Clearly, A Little Warm (3-2), which it will be in the Delaware Valley this afternoon is the one they all must beat. When last seen, the Tony Dutrow trainee was setting the pace and holding gamely for second behind Mission Impazible in the Louisiana Derby, a race that was key, producing three next out winners.

And the thing about the effort was that it was his two turn debut and he fell out on the lead, setting the pace for the first time in his life. Many horses will not handle that kind of adversity but this colt seemed to thrive.

A Little Warm hasn’t started in three months but the workline indicates he didn’t miss too much training. Nicely positioned inside with a versatile style, he attracts Johnny Velazquez, shipping down from New York on a normal dark day. I’ll take that as a positive sign.

Contemporary Miner’s Reserve (4-1) is a high quality speedster breaking from the rail for Nick Zito and Jeremy Rose. However, he might be coming back a little quickly off an enervating effort.

Taking A Little Warm to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first and second with Miner’s Reward, Delaware River (15-1), an old pro recently claimed into a 38 percent barn with first-off-claim runners and owning 10 wins at the distance, and Strikewhileitshot (8-1), from the live barn of Michael Matz and a very willing third behind talented Laos Deo in his recent four year old debut, taking an extra exacta ticket with the latter.

Running Totals: (678) 217-137-95 Total Dollar Return: $1,525.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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