Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

All Ahead Full

Not a very sexy feature at Keeneland today, a classified allowances on the turf for three year olds and up going a mile, and that’s because the early line favorite, Boots Ahead (3-1), will be a tough out coming off the hard turf at Monmouth.

Even if there weren’t a chance for showers in the forecast, this course have a lot more cut than the one at the shore. Further, his figures are forward moving, he’s dropping from graded stakes company, has won at the distance, handles adversity and attracts Garrett Gomez. Hard to look passes even with the long awaited return of the classy Bold Hawk.

Taking Boots Ahead to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first and second in multiples with two turf mile specialists, Desert Wheat (7-2) and Kennessey (6-1).

Running Totals: (741) 239-154-100 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, October 08, 2010

That Darn Cat

The Grade 1 Shadwell Turf Mile has drawn a half dozen entrants including champion Gio Ponti (7-5), who’s coming off a very-wide rally placing in the Arlington Million last time out and probably was best given the trip. He’s won his only start on this course and, while a distance specialist, is 2-for-3 at this trip.

But we’re opting for value here with a returning absentee Courageous Cat (3-1). When last seen he was beaten in Dubai at a distance that was beyond his optimal while coming off a career best effort. Considering he was beaten six lengths, it was a very good effort.

Late last year, he ran as fast as a three year old on performance figures than many of his rivals have run at this distance. Coming off a long layup is a Bill Mott specialty, a profitable 22 percent in that role.

Expected to be close to the pace in a speedy field, he can kick--given his placing to Goldikova in the 2009 Mile--he’s well drawn inside and picks up the redoubtable P Val. Given the contentious nature of the race and the presence of the champ, 3-1 is gettable here. Taking CC to win and an exacta box with the favorite.

Running Totals: (740) 239-154-99 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, October 07, 2010

Another Opening Another Show

Today’s G3 Phoenix, he first added money event of the Belmont fall meet, features the classy Warrior’s Warrior, who needs no introduction at this level. Dropping out of the G1 Forego, and already a Grade 1 winner this year, he is a worthy 5-2 early line favorite.

But it’s Hollywood Hit (4-1) who rates to be the post time favorite based on excellent performance figures, high early speed with an ability to rally from close range, and a 5-for-7 record on the All Weather and a five time winner at the trip. He does well second off the layup and his regular rider is down from Toronto for the event.

Taking Hollywood Hit to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Warrior’s Reward.

Running Totals: (739) 239-153-99 Total Dollar Return: $1,649.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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