Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Making His Rivals Cry Uncle

There are three stakes for New York-breds on today’s Aqueduct card and we’ll analyze the eighth race, the traditional feature slot, the Thunder Rumble division of the New York Sires Series..

Dr. D.F.C. (2-1) is a deserving favorite. He owns the best performance figures by a fairly significant margin, has conditioning from recent routes and is coming off a new pace top vs. more moderate rivals.

But this looks like the right spot for Uncle T Seven (7-2) to get back to his winning ways. A versatile sort, he can handle both turf and dirt, and seven furlongs seems like it would be his optimal distance on the main track.

Going turf to dirt, he, too, has the needed conditioning and figures to be extremely fit coming off a Turf Decline Line in his latest on the grass.

Uncle T Seven had a sharp blowout in preparation for his second start in a new barn, reunites with Ramon Dominguez, 1-for-1 on the colt, and would appreciate any remaining moisture in the surface. He’s tactical enough to get a jump on the late runners here.

Taking Uncle T Seven to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with Dr. D. F. C.

Running Totals: (543) 166-106-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,150.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, November 14, 2009

Saginaw Would Benefit Greatly If Feature Is Re-scheduled

With a fierce rain storm expected to move north through New York yesterday, the assumption that today’s substitute feature race will be rescheduled for the main track. (If not, could hazard a guess as to how a rain-sodden turf course in the Fall would play).

And so we’re going right to the Main Track Only entrants where Saginaw appears to hold a wide edge should he draw in. He comes off an extremely sharp score over a wet Big A main track at a mile.

It is mandatory to note here that trainer Chad Brown is an extremely worthy 6-for-11 following a recent maiden win. Well spotted with this group, he would secure an outside post should he draw in. Should he score, he won’t make you rich.

Taking Saginaw to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with another MTO entrant, Star of New York.

Running Totals: (542) 165-106-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,147.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, November 13, 2009

A Cure for Those Chalky Blues

Today’s Aqueduct feature is a non-winners of four lifetime allowances/optional claimer for older turf horses going a mile.

Lemon Cream Pie (5-2) is a deserving early favorite on the strength of his pacesetting placing in the recent G3 Knickerbocker Handicap. But he really had no excuses given the moderate pace at a longer distance. This will be a much tougher test.

On the early line, and given his recent past performances, Blues Street (6-1) is a worthy play at bettable odds. As a five year old gelding, he’s just coming into his own for Todd Pletcher. His performance figures are solid and competitive and he owns four wins at the distance and his lone start over this surface.

Blues Street is versatile enough to gain early position if Johnny Velazquez elects, or he can make one run, which is no less an effective style. A handler of any footing, Pletcher is 23 percent effective when removing blinkers, the scenario here.

Taking Blues Street to win at 5-1 or greater in this grass event and keying him first and second in exotics with Broad River (3-1), Yield Bogey (10-1) and the aforementioned Lemon Cream Pie.

Running Totals: (541) 164-106-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,139.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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