Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Blue Horseshoe Loves Pulpitina

With a fortnight to Saratoga, the NYRA racing week begins with a preliminary allowances for fillies and mares sprinting six furlongs. Probably half this field will end up winning a small stakes somewhere, maybe more.

We’ll concentrate on two: favorite City Bird (8-5) and Pulpitina (5-1).

While she never has returned to her top effort at 3, any performance figure resembling it would make her the winner here--by many lengths. She can stalk from close range, has done her best racing on this surface and should benefit from her recent season’s debut. Coming back six weeks fresh for Rick Dutrow and Edgar Prado makes her a tough out here.

Pulpitina is the only potential value in this field. Her start two back was competitive and the promise of a wet track (thunderstorms predicted) can only help, as will her three-year-old debut. As a three-year-old, she gets five pounds from her older rival, Christophe Clement’s horses usually run well second time off the layup and the filly switches to the white hot Alan Garcia.

Taking the value on Pulpitina at 4-1 or greater and an exacta box with favorite City Bird.

Running Totals: (232) 73-48-27. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, July 06, 2008

Throwing Deep in the Dwyer

(The detailed analysis of today’s Grade 2 Dwyer Stakes is the subject of today’s blog on home page).

As for the betting strategy, we’re taking price play Pascal to win at 10-1 or more, and a boxed exacta with favorite Mint Lane.

Running Totals: (231) 73-48-26. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, July 05, 2008

Midwest Speedster Rates Upset Callin Prioress

You know we’re heading toward Saratoga when more and more Grade 1s show up on this docket. Today’s it’s the Prioress for three-year-old fillies at six furlongs. If you can dominate this race, then you belong in the Breeders’ Cup Filly Sprint. Really dominate, and you start thinking boys. Three-year-old fillies get seven pounds from males; not insignificant.

So, is Indian Blessing (9-5) the same filly she was at 2? Will it matter, since she’s back sprinting? Probably not, but I’m in a gambling mood. There are four logical alternatives: Indian Way (6-1), By The Light (4-1), Tale Of The West (7-2) and Palanka City (6-1).

By The Light is 5-for-5, her most recent figure was fairly competitive, but a lifetime best, the spacing is good and she fit’s the race shape nicely as a late runner.

Tale Of The West is undefeated at 2-for-2, is very highly regarded by the Pletcher barn, and coming off a new pace top, indicating likely improvement. But her lack of seasoning is troubling and she figures to be a relatively short price.

The most interesting are Indian Way, only off a maiden win, but her last was really fast. She’s SoCal speed, the best kind, and goes first time for Tony Dutrow, a profitable 31 percent proposition. Her 6-furlong internal figure is as good as anything in here and will save ground beneath Cornelio.

Palanka City has the most experience, brings a three-race winning streak and Chris Emigh in from the Midwest for the ride and she’s very fast and versatile, winning on and from just off the early pace. She’s well drawn in post 7, has won half of her 10 starts, including a G3 last time out. She could fall between the parimutuel cracks.

Taking Palanka City to win at 9-2 or greater, exacta key boxes with the two Indian’s, Blessing and Way, and with the other two in trifecta mixes.

Running Totals: (231) 73-48-26. Total Dollar Return: $450.10 [win selections only] {Friday’s results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Page 595 of 687 pages « FirstP  <  593 594 595 596 597 >  Last »