Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Sunday, May 17, 2009

You Come Back East, Girl

As you look at the feature at Belmont Park, the Mount Vernon for state-bred fillies and mares 3 & up, you know one thing: You Go West Girl (4-1) will be quite happy to get home. Sort of.

Actually, she doesn’t really live in New York, but she was bred here and will be happy to get back into the restricted competition, even if the very talented Lost My Choo (2-1) will be in the starting gate as well.

Both fillies will be happy to be back in New York. The favorite found the G2 Jenny Wiley field at Keeneland a little too salty last out, after impressing favorably in taking the G3 Honey Fox at Gulfstream Park in her season’s debut, earning the top recent figure in the group. She’s reuniting with Jose Lezcano, who was aboard in the Honey Fox.

But she does lose regular rider Edgar Prado to, well, You Go West Girl. Prado rode her to victory in a state-bred stakes over the course last year and takes the ride for Tom Proctor, who’s profitable lifetime with horses making their third start off a layup.

Taking You Go West Girl to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with I Lost My Choo.

Running Totals: (425) 128-87-56 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only] (Saturday's results not included)

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, May 16, 2009

Super Filly a Bad Bet

For a look at what your Preakness exotic ticket might look like, see Pricci Morning Line on HRI lead page.

Running Totals: (424) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only] (Friday's results not included)

Written by John Pricci


Friday, May 15, 2009

Casanova the Right Move in Black-Eyed Susan

Today’s filly companion and first leg of a special double with Saturday’s Preakness Stakes, the Grade 2 Black-Eyed Susan for three year-old fillies going nine furlongs, is an interesting race that should yield decent odds on whichever filly wins it.

The most accomplished members of the group are winners of listed or restricted stakes, although Don’t Forget Gil (7-2) did win a G3, the Florida Oaks at Tampa Bay Downs this winter for trainer Mark Hennig.

A field of 10 was entered, although the connections of Hooh Why announced their intention to scratch earlier in the week.

Don’t Forget Gil has some talent. After winning the Florida Oaks, she turned back into a one-turn G2, New York’s Comely Stakes, and was a good second behind the highly promising Dream Play.

Given her consistency under any conditions--7-for-7 in the money--‘Gil’ figures to race well yet again, and retains Rajiv Maragh, who’s 2-for-3 on the New York-bred.

The interesting filly comes from the Larry Jones shed. Payton D’oro (9-2) has good early speed, an inside draw, is 3-for-3 around turns this season and her two-sided distance pedigree is crying out for more ground.

Always a fast worker, Payton D’oro breezed at half-mile in 1:00.20 at her Delaware Park base and she retains regular rider Terry Thompson. If she continues to develop, this group could be in big trouble.

The most probable winner at what should bettable odds is Casanova Move (5-2), who went very well at today’s trip when a game-finish second to the good filly Justwhistlindixie in the G2 Bonnie Miss. It was her second runnerup finish behind that runner, the other coming in the G2 Davona Dale.

Trainer Jimmy Jerkens historically is profitable with his shippers and with horses returning with this type of freshening. Strongly bred for the route, she’ll be partnered by Jose Lezcano, aboard for both her G2 efforts.

Taking Casanova Move to win at 2-1 or greater, boxing her in exactas with her two rivals above, adding odds overlay Bon Jovi Girl (12-1) to the trifecta mix, and using C.M. to key the Black-Eyed Susan-Preakness double.

Running Totals: (423) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only] (Thursday's results not included)

Written by John Pricci


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