Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, May 05, 2010

Bailzee at Belmont

Today’s feature at Belmont Park, a secondary allowances-optional claiming for fillies and mares 3 & up sprinting six furlongs present an excellent chance for value since the early line favorite, Bailzee (3-1), is not among the fastest members of this field on performance figures.

But what she is us surging, never having taken a backward step in three lifetime starts. When last seen, the Pat Kelly trainee was finishing a good second to the fast, talented Cuff Me in the restricted Lottsatalc Stakes, her first lifetime defeat. She’s had four sharp works since that April 1 defeat and can easily resume her winning ways in this spot.

Not A Peep (6-1), meanwhile, sporting a recent bullet blowout for her second start after a brief freshening, she has early speed and has shown in ability to hang on gamely when pressed, which is the likely race shape scenario here. Cornelio Velasquez, aboard for both lifetime wins, takes the re-ride for trainer Tom Bush, coming alive in recent weeks.

Taking Bailzee to win at 5-2 or greater, boxing her in the exacta with Not A Peep and the sharp No More Stress (8-1). Trifecta players can add Let’s Fly Away (8-1) to their mix.

Running Totals: (642) 203-129-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,417.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, May 04, 2010

Prince Looking Supah at Philly Park

Today’ feature at Philadelphia Park is a starter allowances for three-year-olds and up with a deserving favorite in Dapper Devil (2-1) who is clearly fastest on performance figures who’s been very competitive recently with tougher than he meets today. But given his current inability to handle the distance, he’s worth trying to beat.

To do that, we’ll look toward late developing three-year-old Supah Prince (5-1), undefeated at the distance in two starts and who has not taken a backward step in his development. The barn is going well and while the colt loses Justin Shepherd to uncoupled stablemate Burgee, his picks up Frankie Pennington.

Taking Supah Prince to win at 9-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with Dapper Devil and Run Ritchie Run from the live barn of Richard Vega and from a recent key race that produced two next-out winners.

Running Totals: (642) 203-129-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,417.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, May 01, 2010

Going For Derby Gusto

This is in addition to the wager proposed in the Pricci Morning Line blog on the lead page. Ultimately, for me, much will depend on track conditions and how the track is playing throughout the day.

In trifectas, we're keying our top choice, Super Saver, in three positions; first, second and third. With Super Saver, we're combining Lookin At Lucky, American Lion, Paddy O' Prado, Devil May Care, Mission Impazible and Awesome Act. For a $1-minimum wager, each position requires a cost of $30. But if Super Saver can hit the board with any of these horses, a good payoff is assured, perhaps even a very big payday.

Going for more gusto, repeat the above sequences and add extreme longshot Dean's Kitten to the superfecta mix.

I will not be playing the supers for two reasons: In protest and it's too costly without the benefit of the Dime Super wager, unavailable on Oaks and Derby Day, just like the 50-Cent trifecta.

As stated, this is a race horseplayers should feel obliged to overbet. But never bet in disproportion to one’s bankroll. It's the one good piece advice NYC-OTB ever gave their customers: "Bet With Your Head, Not Over It."

Way to get the little guy and the tourists involved in the wagering process, CDI!

Running Totals: (640) 201-129-89 Total Dollar Return: $1,394.40 [win selections only] {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


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