Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Friday, May 27, 2016


Friday Night Flier in Shakopee


In our effort to support the player friendly efforts of Canterbury Park re parimutuel takeout, we looked at tonight's card and saw there was a choice of three feature races.

The three spots have the same top purses of the night and we chose a turf race because it's popular with players, and because I wanted to learn more about the turf racing there.

I also wanted to see if the speed bias that prevailed on dirt opening weekend was still prevalent.

The feature is at once contentious but, having said that, favored Cavu (2-1) rates to be a tough out. He improved immediately off McLean Robertson's claim to win a decent claiming field at Arlington Park with authority. He should transition well to this circuit.

But we're taking any value offered on Foolhardy (15-1). He exits an April 30 race at Fonner Park which already has produced three next out winners.

He now makes his first start under conditions that allow the multiple-winning gelded 6YO to meet limited, albeit faster rivals. If he wins, the payoff will be commensurate with the risk.

Taking Foolhardy to win at 8-1 or greater, an exacta box with Mac's favorite, and we're adding price shots Life a Riley (10-1), Bold Animeaux (8-1) and speedy Sammy's Mineshaft (12-1) to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 2032

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 606-394

Amount Wagered: $4,064.00 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,103.50

Profit to Date: $39.50

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Thursday, May 26, 2016


Beaucoup Bucks in Belmont Feature?


Today's optional NW1 for 3YOs at Belmont is so chock full of good horses the race should come with a name attached and a purse twice the size. Wow!

Headlining the group will be Gift Box (7-5), the horse to beat based on a worthy juvenile season and top figures on both the Thoro-Graph and Pricci Energy scales. And, of course, Chad will have him set for return. However, we're going for the gusto here.

The logical second choice, Gettysburg (3-1), scratched when he drew the extreme outside in a recent under-card stakes event, has found much of a softer spot here. Thus, we're taking valued offered on 8-1 early line American Pioneer.

After running second to Dazzling Gem in debut, he broke maiden going long then suffered chasing a very hot pace in Creator's G1 Arkansas Derby. Back to reality here and note that Catalano's 23% profitable in LAY-3 scenarios.

Taking American Pioneer to win at 5-1 or greater, key-boxing exactas with his rivals here, and adding price shots Dixie Runner (15-1) and Realm (10-1) to the super-exotics mix.

Number of Selections since 2007: 2031

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 606-394

Amount Wagered: $4,062.00 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,103.50

Profit to Date: $41.50

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Sunday, May 22, 2016


Diodoro Sprinter Tough as Nails in Canterbury feature.


In our attempt to promote the player friendly takeout rates at Canterbury Park, here's a look at today's featured Paul Bunyan Stakes.

No problem identifying the favorite. Any horse capable of defeating Suddenbreakingnews, which is what Royal Lion (5-2) did last fall, makes a worthy favorite at this level. But his best races have been going long, and today's 3YO debut is going three-quarters.

While the surface has been speed favoring on opening weekend, there seems to be enough pace to set the table nicely for Pistone Steel (3-1) who has tactical speed and can rally after pressing the pace.

An outside post in a small field suits nicely and Jorge Carreno gets off undefeated Smooth Chiraz (6-1) to ride for perennial power Robertino Diodoro.

Taking Pistone Steel to win at early line odds or greater and key-boxing him with his main rivals here.

Number of Selections since 2007: 2030

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 606-393

Amount Wagered: $4,060.00 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,103.50

Profit to Date: $43.50

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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