Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Monday, January 19, 2009

Good Card Trumps the Speed

Today’s feature on the Martin Luther King holiday program is a contentious sprint for state-breds, the Kashatreya, and it presents an opportunity--if we’re correct--to make a score. The horses we’re looking at are Good Card (4-1), Citifest (12-1) and Scary Bob (12-1).

Good Card showed improved early speed in last and that augurs very well since rallying is his best game. A honest colt, he fires every time, needs no made to order surface and benefits most when there’s a strong pace, a likely scenario here. Drawn toward the inside, he should save ground until Mike Luzzi gives the Pat Kelly trainee his cue.

Citifest also showed improved speed, a New Pace Top on the Equiform pattern scale last out, and his prior was a top figure score. A repeat of that two back effort could easily win this and the NPT makes a bounce-rebound effort a realistic possibility. Eddie Castro takes the mount from John Hertler.

Scary Bob ships down from Finger Lakes. A nine-time winner at the distance, the sprint specialist looms the speed of the speed here and attracts Rajiv Maragh, indicating this speedster is live today. The 8-year-old has been working extremely well on the Belmont training track recently and looms dangerous if left alone on the early lead.

Taking Good Card to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box using all three horses mentioned here. (Scary Bob is worth a saver wager at 10-1 or greater).

Running Totals: (347) 105-71-46. Total Dollar Return: $742.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, January 18, 2009

Successful Shipper

Today’s Affectionately Handicap for older fillies and mares going a mile and a sixteenth on the Aqueduct winter track attracted a half dozen, with three having the best chance. From the inside out, namely Are We Dreamin (3-1), Successful Sarah (7-2) and Spritely (9-5).

Coming out of a sprint, and given Randi Persaud‘s profitable stretchout record, Are We Dreamin will get strong support. Rightfully so, perhaps, but still worth trying to beat.

Spritely is a deserving favorite. Following two top figure efforts, she improved her style in last by distributing her energy later. She’s learning how to run, developing before our eyes, but she, too, will be a short price.

Successful Sarah is improving rapidly, so much so that she attracted the attention of the IEAH people, who acquired her privately, shipped her north to John Terranova, and has found a very likely spot for a northern stakes debut.

She won her last two starts on the lead but has been effective from just off the pace. Looking for position conscious Eddie Castro to tuck her in comfortably down the backside and take his best shot on the turn for home.

Taking Successful Sarah to win at 3-1 or greater and keying her in exactas and trifectas with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (347) 105-71-46. Total Dollar Return: $742.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, January 17, 2009

Can’t Ignore Improving Horse for Course

Today’s Aqueduct feature, the Evening Attire, has drawn but five entrants, making it a rider’s race, which is always a head scratcher.

To compound the problem, three of the five are coming off lifetime best route efforts. The good news there is that improvement can be projected for only one of them, Barrier Reef (9-5). Of the competition, it appears Broadway Producer (4-1) is the likeliest of the remaining quartet.

The reason we believe Barrier Reef will improve is that the Equiform figure he earned last time out is indicative of a still developing race horse. The fact that he’s a newly turned four-year-old speaks nicely to that.

Trainer Tom Albertrani has won with three of his last nine New York starters and all were written by today’s partner, Ramon Dominguez, on quite a tear of his own these days. All three of Barrier Reef’s lifetime wins came on today’s winter surface.

Broadway Producer earned an excellent figure in his latest, his lone start at this distance. His trainer, John Terranova, is coming off what might be defined as a career year, batting 19 percent while showing a profit for all of 2008. He was worked quickly in New York since his latest Jennings score and attracts Eddie Castro.

Taking Barrier Reef to win at 8-5 or greater and an exacta box with Broadway Producer.

Running Totals: (346) 104-71-46. Total Dollar Return: $737.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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