Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.



Monday, January 15, 2018


Fighting Words


For obvious reasons, Mourinho (3-2) is a deserving favorite of today's G3 Smarty Jones off his excellent second to Greyvitos in the G3 Bob Hope, and the fact that Bob Baffert is an otherworldly 45% successful shipping into Oaklawn Park.

But we're looking for a minor upset with Combatant (2-1) who also was second to Greyvitos while spotting that one recent conditioning in the Springboard Mile at Remington--whose horses transition well into Hot Springs.

Taking Combatant to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with Mourinho, and adding promising Navistar (5-2) to the super-exotics mix.

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Number of Selections since 2007: 2432

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 723-487

Amount Wagered: $4,864 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,924.50

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: 49.6%

Profit to Date: $60.50

Written by John Pricci

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Saturday, January 13, 2018


Double Your Pleasure…


If the place you lose it is the place you get in back, then we'll try to beat Dream Dancing (8-5), the deserving favorite in today's G3 Marshua's River, and will attempt to get even with Gianna's Dream (3-1).

We anticipated a stalking trip last out but Tyler had other ideas, putting the Mike Maker filly on the lead. The pace wasn't all that fast but it was pressured and the filly held tenaciously, a tough beat for all concerned.

There is some pace in this lineup and we would expect Gafflione to secure early position and try to time a later rally, hopefully getting the drop on a talented favorite.

Taking Gianna's Dream to win at 3-1 or greater and key-boxing exactas with the favorite and possible value player, Ultra Brat (6-1), post-compromised in recent good efforts.

The most intriguing race today is the G3 LeComte for three-year-olds at the Fair Grounds.

If you've seen the video, you know how impressive the Steve Asmussen-trained Principe Guilherme, winning his two lifetime starts by an aggregate 17-1/4 lengths. Although he's a deserving 5-2 early line favorite, I'd like to see how he handles that role from post 12 against talented, experienced rivals.

We find Instilled Regard (4-1), placed second in the Los Al Futurity in which original runner-up was placed first before coming back to win last week's G3 Sham at Santa Anita, a most viable alternative..

A rallying third in a strongly graded event, the Hollandorfer trainee is entered right back with a switch to Castellano, who should use his mount's natural speed to secure early position before making his winning rally.

Taking Instilled Regard to win at 7-2 or greater and key-boxing exactas with the favorite and price shot Lone Sailor (15-1), newly blinkered and picking up the white hot Miguel Mena.

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Number of Selections since 2007: 2430

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 722-487

Amount Wagered: $4,860 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,917.90

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: 49.6%

Profit to Date: $57.90

Written by John Pricci

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Friday, January 12, 2018


A Winning Legacy


Today's Gulfstream feature primarily is battle of two classy returnees from lengthy layoffs, Clearly Delta Bluesman (7-2) and Tiger Blood (5-2) have had their issues, but their trainers both are adept with off-the-bench types. Wisely, they chose this spot because of the $50,000 claiming option.

Since both horses have early gas, we'll opt for a rival with recency and is turning back to 6F after chasing a lively pace going seven-eighths. Trainer Ralph Nicks has had many seconds at this meet but can turn the tables with formful turn-back Abounding Legacy (3-1); Edgard Zayas on the re-ride. All of 'Legacy's' lifetime wins have come in Hallandale.

Taking Abounding Legacy to win at 5-2 or greater and key-boxing exactas with the speedy returnees.

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Number of Selections since 2007: 2429

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 722-487

Amount Wagered: $4,858 [$2 to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $4,917.90

Exacta Finishes All Selections since 2007: 49.6%

Profit to Date: $59.90

Written by John Pricci

Comments (7)


 
 

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