Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Tis the Season for Angel Falls

Today's Gulfstream feature is a beauty; preliminary allowance 2-year-old fillies going a mile and a sixteenth on the turf. It's as competitive as you might readily suspect it would be.

We left four of the 11 entrants open but for this exercise, we will concentrate on Angel Falls--bad post and all.

She comes up to her fifth lifetime start off a good race-bad race pattern and today looks like good day. Two starts back she earned lifetime best figure on our Energy Rating scale while beaten a length in an overnight stakes before returning to break maiden 21 days later. We think the quick turnaround and moderate pace helped produce the slow figure.

She comes into this seven weeks fresh, profitable spacing for the Azpurua barn, and returns to her preferred course with a switch to Contreras--Prado electing to stick with the Pletcher filly.

Taking Angel Falls to win at 6-1 or greater and key-boxing her in all exotic positions with Pletcher's recent graduate Back Flip (7-2), Graham Motion stretch-out Miss Temple City (9-2), and invading, barn-changing price shot, Loon River (10-1).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1660

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 500-323

Amount Wagered: $3,320 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,461.20

Profit to Date: $141.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (5)


Sunday, December 14, 2014

Motion Zeroes in on Parx Feature

HRI has entered into a promotional relationship with in which each Sunday we analyze the six races that comprise their unique Pick 6 contest wager. The current featured track is Parx Racing. The following is a profile of races 4 through 9.

The bet is different from the traditional Pick 6 in that a player gets points for first, second, and third-place finishes based on pari-mutuel payoffs in each of the six races.

For example, if a player’s horse finished second, paying $4.00 to place and $3.00 to show, the player would receive 7 points toward his or her total. The player with the highest number of points accumulated during the sequence is declared the winner, collecting 60% of the net pool. The second and third highest-scoring players also get a share — 30% for second and 10% for third.

Sign up to play the wager at, make your selections, and follow the live national leaderboards after each race! And if you complete the Top 10, you get your $2 back.

FOURTH: 3-GUARD THE ROCK (4-1) drops in second start for LeBarron in second start off the claim (26% efficient) following dull try when overmatched; fits dynamics nicely and switches to Pennington. 1-JOINT DECISION (3-1) has developed nicely this fall, earning competitive Energy Ratings, now drops in with restricted claimers.4-Grey Gator (12-1) will be running late for a share.

FIFTH: 3-JAR OF HEARTS (4-1) ships in for Hamilton Smith while dropping into maiden claimer, both profitable scenarios for this outfit, and also turns back into sprint while going turf to dirt; improvement expected. 1A-Kwik E (5-1) likely pacesetter, has run well under disparate circumstances in both lifetime starts. 5-Surprise Daydream (5-2) set pace and stayed well going a mile in debut but turns back with faster set, likely to get out-quicked. 4-Is She Hot (9-5) is in from NY for Rudy.

SIXTH: 6-BOND VIGILANTE (5-1) makes third start off the layup for Chad and won his only start at this hybrid distance; Brown otherworldly 8-for-9 when going sprint to route and back into sprint. 7-RAPID ROUGE (6-1) is a Horse for Course that just missed in rapidly run try at today’s hybrid distance; Carmouche had his choice and lands here.

SEVENTH: 6-MINI COSMO (3-1) is well bred for the added distance, drops from restricted stakes into allowances and Motion is profitable when stretching out off two sprints and adding first-Lasix (27%). 1-Pancakesandbatter (5-2) showed marked improvement stretching out to this distance for Rudy, earning excellent Energy Rating, but spots choice experience on this surface.

EIGHTH: 7-COUSIN STEPHEN (5-2) has had his issues and consequently jumped off the classics trail; makes second start off a brief layup, went well in both local starts, winning beneath Carmouche, back aboard here and blew out rapidly at Belmont Park base. 1A_Prospero (8-1) earns competitive Energy Ratings consistently and was very sharp winning under these conditions last out; makes first start in two months off the Velasquez claim.

NINTH: 2-ONE FOR DON (7-2) exits a series of fast races against tougher sets than he meets here and should benefit from recent first start over the track; barn extremely effective with two-class droppers and LAY-3 scenarios. 8-DENZEL (2-1) comes off top figure score in slop last out; likely to regress.

SUGGESTED ECONOMICAL PLAY: 3.4 with 3 with 6.7 with 6 with 7 with 2.8---$16

For today's Feature Race Analysis, we're going on record with Mini Cosmo (3-1) in today's seventh race, taking him to win at 2-1 or greater and an exacta box with Rudy ship-in Pancakesandbatter (2-1)

Number of Selections since 2007: 1659

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 499-323

Amount Wagered: $3,318 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,455.20

Profit to Date: $137.20

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


Saturday, December 13, 2014

Confident Pletcher Sets Sights on Harlans Holiday

Don't know about you but we think Todd Pletcher is most dangerous when he places his runners with confidence, winning more than his share of graded stakes with horses eligible for secondary allowance conditions. He's doing just that in today's Harlans Holiday at Gulfstream Park.

Liam's Map (7-2) simply exploded on the scene this fall in New York with two visually impressive daylight scores [see replays], earning ascending and excellent Energy Ratings. His recent bullet work was the fastest of the week at Palm Bay Downs,

Yes, he's making his two-turn debut against graded runners, but the dynamics of this trip at GP will flatter his style.

Taking Liam's Map to win at 2-1 or greater, and key boxing exactas with the classy Pants On Fire (2-1) and the much improved Valid (3-1).

Number of Selections since 2007: 1658

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 498-323

Amount Wagered: $3,316 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,451.00

Profit to Date: $135.00

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)


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