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HRI's Triple Crown Power Rankings

The HRI Triple Crown Power Rankings is a consensus opinion of HorseRaceInsider's editorial staff compiled and written by executive editor John Pricci. It is an amalgam of achievement and opinion relative to the merits of the 2013 Triple Crown. The HRI Triple Crown Power Rankings will be adjusted each week following significant prep race developments.


HRI’s Kentucky Derby Power Rankings 04-09-2008


HRI Derby Power Rankings
Rk.
Horse
HRI
Rating
Equiform:
Last Figure/Top

Next Start

 
1.
Big Brown
138
79�T
Kentucky Derby 5/3

Commentary: All quiet in this camp, which means Rick Dutrow is still managing to stay out of his colt�s way. Not all prep developments last weekend helped his Derby chances, however. War Pass is apparently still alive and well and Illinois Derby winner Recapturetheglory has early speed and some quality. They wouldn�t win a match race with this guy, but they could de-rail his Derby chances.

2.
Pyro
135
74�/77T
Blue Grass Stakes 4/12

Commentary:
As previously noted, he can regain the top spot with an authoritative victory at Keeneland, thereby setting the stage for a memorable confrontation with budding star Big Brown. He continues to train extremely well and his late-run style fits the pre-Derby race shape. Doesn�t have to win Saturday, only run well to remain a major Derby player.

3.
Colonel John
130
75�T
Kentucky Derby 4/5

Commentary:
Now never worse than second in six career starts with four wins and is 2-for-2 at nine furlongs. Obviously has talent and continues to show his versatility. But when he refused to lose the Santa Anita Derby by showing such willful determination, one could add another descriptive adjective: Class.

4.
Cool Coal Man
125
75�T
Blue Grass Stakes 4/12

Commentary:
The way fortunes have changed, the Fountain of Youth winner might be Nick Zito�s best Derby prospect. Recent workouts indicate a near peak effort is forthcoming on Saturday. Given that he�s switching to Polytrack, he doesn�t need to win Saturday, only be going in the right direction at the finish.

5.
Tale Of Ekati
124
74�/75*T
Kentucky Derby 5/3

Commentary:
The Louisiana Derby apparently was a throw-out so figure that this colt won the Wood Memorial in his second start of the year basically off half a prep. That�s not easy. Further, he raced close to a very strong pace over a deepish and perceptibly tiring surface. Tagg trainee puts himself in races and is a fighter, as he showed winning the Futurity and Wood. Horses with talent in good hands never can be dismissed out of hand.

6.
Visionaire
120
74�T
Blue Grass Stakes 4/12

Commentary:
Michael Matz believed the Blue Grass was a better way to go than shipping to Illinois. Matz was considering spacing between starts. What he didn�t know was that the eventual winner would shake loose on a speedy surface and run the second fastest Equiform route figure by a three-year-old this year. The karma�s good. Now let�s see how things go on Saturday.

6.
Court Vision
120
73�T
Kentucky Derby 5/3

Commentary:
Saturday�s Wood third was better than it looked considering impossibly wide position into the stretch and the deep, tiring center of the strip. In only his second start this campaign, he completed his sustained run with good energy while still fighting to reach the runnerup. Of greater significance is the small forward move from the Fountain of Youth. Looks explosive, and he could be a live, forgotten horse on Derby day.

8.
Adriano
115
75
Lexington Stakes 4/19

Commentary:
As stated last week, his connections think he�s better on grass and that form transferred to Polytrack as anticipated when he won the G2 Lane�s End. Even if his preference for turf is real, how can the connections not be excited by the prospects of a possible speed-laden Derby field? Just can�t underrate his strong late finish while taking the Lane�s End in full stride.

8.
War Pass
115
74�/79�T
Kentucky Derby 5/3

Commentary:
The Tampa Derby currently is but a bad dream as the juvenile champion did everything right but win the Wood. But now that we know War Pass is back, there are two issues. After winning his season�s debut in a laugher, how much did he really develop over the winter? But of greater import is still a questionable ability to stay 10 furlongs.

10.
Recapturetheglory
107
77�T
Kentucky Derby 5/3

Commentary:
Who knew? It�s one thing to take advantage of a speedy surface and favorable pace and race-shape scenario. It�s quite another to explode onto the scene the way this colt did in the Illinois Derby. Big Brown posted a freakish Equiform figure winning the Florida Derby. The other major Derby horses have been running in the 75-range all year. This colt earned a 77� at Hawthorne, the second fastest route figure earned by a three-year-old this year.


*=Equiform sprint figure
T=Equiform Lifetime Top
/=Most Recent Equiform Figure/Lifetime Top


Written by John Pricci - Comments (0)

 
 

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