ELMONT, NY, November 1, 2016 – I got my first home computer in the mid eighties at the suggestion of my wife. She used a computer at work and figured it would be an asset to me as a handicapper.


After a couple hours of setup, connecting wires, installing the disk operating system and running the diagnostic tests I was ready. But ready for what?


I called Steve Crist, as he was the only other race tracker I knew that had a computer at home. I asked Steve, “What do I do now?” Crist replied, “anything you want to.” Yes, the world was at my finder tips, but Crist wasn't about to give out any clues.


My second thought proved more productive. I called my friend, Dr. William Quirin, mathematician, professor, author and handicapper. He said I should build a trainer database. Bill's advise made perfect sense as trainers are the greatest constant in handicapping races.


Most trainers do a few things well, and far less do a lot of things well. My job was to quantify trainers by creating trainer statistics long before any were available to the public. It was a great handicapping edge.



I collected data from result charts, including the trainer, horse, age, distance, class, surface and what kind of move the trainer made with the horse. I also recorded where the horse raced before or if it was a first-time starter.


One day at Belmont Park my colleague, the late Paul Moran, said the information was so good he thought I should sell it. “No!,” I said. “Why would I want to sell something that makes me a lot of money?”


Now all providers of past performance information include trainer stats.


The new kid on the block is Stats Race Lens and it takes trainer analysis to another level.


Stats LLC is the world’s leading sports data and technology company. For 35 years it has collected and provided the information that drives the analytics for all all major league sports.


Stats utilizes software that interprets the various metrics for both real and fantasy leagues and now that expertise has been applied to horse racing.


This product is different from all the rest because it not only provides many trainer angles, it allows users to customize angles and the past performances. Stats Race Lens further assists the bettor by using history to back test the angles.


The past performances come in three formats, Stats, Trackmaster and Equibase and each offers full video replays. Additionally, users can customize past performances and take advantage of conditional formatting which can automatically highlight key nuggets of information that meet certain criteria.


Not only can you learn positive angles to enhance your bankroll but you can also learn negative ones that will let you know when its time to keep your money in your pocket.


The use of custom angles can reveal a subset of angles that work 45% of the time for a trainer that normally wins 25% of the time. Sometimes the disparity is even more severe.


Trainer George Weaver is winning at a 13% rate in 2016 and won at a 15% rate for the previous five years combined. Weaver shows a negative return on investment in both cases.


Weaver wins 16% on dirt, again with a negative ROI. He has a negative ROI with horses off a one or two month layoff. His turf to dirt ROI is also in the red.


However, Weaver's starters that have been off for one-two months and are going from turf to dirt show a 87% flat bet profit over the past two years. That's the kind of info that can fatten your bankroll.


Once created, Stats Race Lens will send notification when these angles arise and also indicate them in the past performances.


Stats Race Lens offers up a bunch of “canned” angles that produce a positive ROI. However, through the research tool I found an angle that is quite useful. An analysis of winners at different distances and surfaces with the use of back testing provided custom angles that profiled the victors.


True Odds is an informative tool developed by Stats Race Lens using unique algorithms based on dozens of factors that give you the ability to quickly find value. The weight of the factors used can be adjusted by the user.


A comparison of live odds versus adjusted true odds will point out overlays and underlays and help make a decision of whether to bet a horse or not.


A quick look at the Breeders' Cup races revealed some overlays using True Odds. They may not all be winners and could be less of an overlay by post time, but don't overlook them in exotics.


They are:
Madam Dancealot, 30-1 morning line and 13-1 True Odds in the Juvenile Fillies Turf.
Both Zipessa, 20-1 morning line and 12-1 True Odds and Sentiero Italia, 12-1 morning line and 7-1 True Odds in the Filly and Mare Turf.
Kilmt, 6-1 morning line and 3-1 True Odds in the Juvenile.
Mondialiste, 15-1 morning line and 10-1 True Odds in the Turf.
Tara's Tango, 8-1 morning line and 7-2 True Odds in the Filly and Mare Sprint.
Photo Call, 15-1 morning line and 8-1 True Odds in the Mile.
Hopportunity, 15-1 morning line and 4-1 True Odds in the Classic.


There is a learning curve to conquer with Stats Race Lens and there's lots of help through online Webinars and Tutorials. I found the tutorials, narrated by Tom Durkin, most informative. The next Webinar is scheduled for November 3, at 6pm Eastern.


Tutorials and Webinar information can be found here: http://tinyurl.com/hbem72z


Stats Race Lens is currently available through Equibase, Trackmaster and TVG and will be available via other Advance Deposit Wagering platforms in 2017. Further integration of the product will allow you to bet your angles from the past performances with ADW's.


The cost is reasonable and a free race is available daily for test purposes. Subscriptions are available in one month, three month and yearly packages. Current promotions offer 50% off with yearly rate of $499. That's just $1.37 per day.


The only constant equal to or greater than that of a trainer is the bettor. Do you know your handicapping and gambling strengths and weaknesses? Tracking players bets could be an angle in a future version of Stats Race Lens.