Friday, March 10, 2017
Will Power Alert Three-Peat in Silks Run?
A handicapping sketch of Saturday's turf-sprint feature at Gulfstream Park, courtesy of Tote Busters at http://www.JohnPricci.com
RACE 12: SILKS RUN STAKES 4 & UP 5 Furlongs (TURF)
1 – BEANTOWN SAINT (20-1) PR: 79
While a four-time winner at the trip, he’s failed to hit the board in two GP appearances and was trounced the only time he’s faced Power Alert and Canadian Flyer, two of remaining 10 rivals he meets here.
2 – ****POWER ALERT (7-5) PR: 92
An eight-time winner at the distance and perfect in five starts on this course, he regressed and still won his last from post 11 after being taken out of his game. Seeks Silks Run three-peat.
3 – ***CONQUEST TSUNAMI (10-1) PR: 85 (?)
Just missed following very tough try when beaten going 6-1/2F at WO two back then returned with blowout win on AW subsequently. Admittedly, this is a different ballgame but has tactical speed, late kick and a cozy inside draw. Working fast since mid-January; first-time gelding live in this spot.
4 – *GORGEOUS BIRD (20-1) PR: 68 (?)
Working lights out for turf debut making his second start off a layup but this is very salty speed spot and dam’s four starters have yet to win on turf.
5 – ***CANADIAN FLYER (8-1) PR: 83
Laudably versatile 5YO can beat you a number of different ways, is nicely drawn for position, assuming clean break, earned top PR last out, has won at the trip, twice over this ground, and working bullets at PAY base. Also gets four pounds from the choice. Upset player.
6 – ***PAY ANY PRICE (6-1) PR: 89
Not many speedsters that can lay down 20 4/5 and 43-flat and live to tell the tale, but he wound up beaten a mere length by Power Alert last time. Gelded 7YO also gets four pounds and has four wins on this course and at this trip.
7 – **MONGOLIAN SATURDAY (8-1) PR: 82
Returned to win belated 6YO debut at KEE, a course he loves, last October, then was out-quicked in BC Turf Sprint at SA. Appeared lifeless in GP return vs. Power Alert last month. Highly likely to improve but likely it won’t be enough to break through all the way.
8 – ***SUPER SPENDER (8-1) PR: 79
After winning restricted stakes here, made dull try at TAM before returning to GP, beaten 1-1/2 lengths by today’s favorite following horrific trip but finishing like a wild horse. Six-time winner at the trip and four-time winner on this lawn. Cleaner break—sharp 48 4/5 gate-breeze on 3/3--should provide position.
9 - MOONWALKER (20-1) PR: 73
Gelded 6YO is a hard tryer that usually finishes close-up, albeit with weaker. Too many seconds and third on his card for our liking, not to mention today’s significant class rise.
10 – EXTRAVAGENT KID (30-1) PR: (?)
While Milt Wolfson is a worthy 24% profitable with this type of spacing, his charge winless in three tries over the course and in four starts at today’s trip.
11 – CHIA GHOST (20-1) PR: 77
Gelded 5YO has really come into his own this year, showing laudable late kick to defeat weaker in his last two. But therein lies the rub; he beat much softer on those occasions and draw does him no favors.
For on-the record selections, see Saturday's Feature Race Analysis