John Pricci

HorseRaceInsider.com executive editor John Pricci has over three decades of experience as a thoroughbred racing public handicapper and was an award-winning journalist while at New York Newsday for 18 years.

John has covered 14 Kentucky Derbies and Preaknesses, all but three Breeders' Cups since its inception in 1984, and has seen all but two Belmont Stakes live since 1969.

Currently John is a contributing racing writer to MSNBC.com, an analyst on the Capital Off-Track Betting television network, and co-hosts numerous handicapping seminars. He resides in Saratoga Springs, New York.

Most recent entries

Monthly Archives

Syndicate



Friday, September 02, 2016


Spa Late Pick 4, Labor Day Saturday Card


Exclusively for http://www.123BET.com, reprinted via promotional arrangement

SARATOGA RACE COURSE Results for AUGUST 27, 2016

Posted comments on winners with notable money finishers


RACE 8 Grade 1 KING’S BISHOP 3 YO 7 FURLONGS


13-Drefong (4-1)
has continued his march forward in two runs for Bullet Bob at 3, winning both starts while very impressive visually. Has good spacing, worked bullets since, and gets Mike Smith on the re-ride. Wide draw is the good and bad news. (won, 3-1)
1-Economic Model (6-1) placed gamely after making mid-race run into stretch in G3 Dwyer. Broke maiden here in 2015 and second to rapid Awesome Banner at trip in Swale. Training strongly in blinkers. (2nd, 7-1)

RACE 9 Grade 1 FOREGO 3 & UP 7 FURLONGS


11-A.P. Indian (3-1) Has won three straight, earning excellent PER and T-G ratings last out, owns tactical speed and kick and is positioned nicely to trip out. Knock is picking up six pounds as 124-pound highweight. Worthy favorite, however. (won, 4-5)
6-Tamarkuz (15-1) Raced dully in lone start this year, the Met Mile. Non-competitive in this race at 5 and expecting more of same today despite attracting Smith. (2nd, 6-1).

RACE 10 Grade 1 SWORD DANCER 1-1/2 MILES INNER TURF


6-Flintshire (1-5) Two-for-two at the Spa, may be world’s best turf marathoner. Showed his class to win Bowling Green off splits of 53 and 1:19.40. Pace likely to be more realistic here. Looms everyone’s P4 single. (won, 1-5)
2-Money Multiplier (8-1) Has come to hand for Chad in last two starts, won recent Spa return impressively and drops six pounds. Loses Castellano but picks up Irad and has shown affinity for this course. (2nd, 5-1)

RACE 11 Grade 1 TRAVERS 3YO 1-1/4 MILES

1-Arrogate (10-1) Has been extremely impressive visually in all two-turn starts this year, beating his elders in each of three appearances. Has speed, kick, the pole, and picks up Mike Smith. Up in class, distance and weight scale [all tote 126]. (won, 11-1)
2-American Freedom (6-1) Was an excellent second to Exaggerator on tiring sloppy track in the Haskell. Bejarano had his choice and sticks here. Has blinkers removed, a 31% Baffert tack. (2nd, 6-1)

****************************************************************************************************************************

SATURDAY SARATOGA LATE PICK 4 SEPTEMBER 3, 2016

Race 9: Grade 1 SPINAWAY 2 YO FILLIES 7 FURLONGS

1-Sweet Loretta (5-2): Powered away to win opening-day Schuylerville, her second victory in as many starts by an aggregate 11-1/4 lengths. Javier on the re-ride; only knock is the pole.
2-Special Risk (20-1): Was a good second in Spa debut July 22 but that’s the thing; still a maiden after two starts.
3-Runway Doll (3-1): Ran off the screen winning debut by 13 eased lengths going a sloppy six furlongs for Asmussen, not usually a debut-winning barn--except for Spa. Kin to six winners including a stakes winner but need to find out more.
4-Fun (12-1): Was a game-finish second in ‘Loretta’s’ Schuylerville after adding first-Lasix. Would need very hot pace, and then some…
5-Cherry Lodge (2-1): Mixed signals here as uncoupled ate of ‘Loretta’ ran faster on the Thoro-Graph scale but did not earn as high Pricci Energy Rating. Further, she’s not as experienced as many of her rivals but is kin to six winners, including three SW; your call.
6-Pretty City Dancer (7-2): Has the most experience with three starts but hasn’t run in two months so she owns no Spa experience. Well bred, very expensive ($825K), and Irad subs for injured Leparoux. Casse barn readying for extensive Fall campaign per usual.
7-You Know Too (15-1): Up from the Delaware Valley for Michael Gorham and is stoutly bred, though unfashionably so, and could handle five rivals at 3-10 in stakes in Stanton; highly unlikely.


Race 10 Grade 1 WOODWARD STAKES 3 & UP 1-1/8 MILES


1-Shaman Ghost (12-1): Raced dully following lifetime best effort winning G2 Brooklyn now returns with first-Lasix, is pole sitting and switching to Javier. Improvement expected but this is much tougher task.
2-Breaking Lucky (20-1): Best recent figures have come on WO Poly but like ‘Shaman’ is a late developing 4YO. Has struggled at G2 and G3 levels, however. Very ambitious.
3-Frosted (1-2): It’s clear after setting rapid, pressured pace winning the Whitney following fastest-figure TG ever Met Mile score that he’s raised his game to a new level. His main competition is in California, not here--even with surging Bradester in the next slip.
4-Bradestar (6-1):
Has really come into his own this year at 6 as he seeks fourth straight score. He, too, has raised his game but don’t think the two pounds he gets from Frosted will get the job done. Very nice horse having great season.
5-Catholic Cowboy (20-1): Barn has not found an easy spot to get its second winner of the meet; outclassed here.
6-Samraat (10-1): Has been freshened since just missing to Effinex in G2 Suburban but was no match for Shaman Ghost in prior, albeit at 1-1/2 miles. Gets six pounds from choice and aggressive Jose fits but…
7-Tale of Verve (30-1): Overcame some trouble to handle 3YO My Man Sam in preliminary allowances at this trip in July 23 Spa return but this will take more than a switch to JR to get this job done.
8-Tapin Mojo (50-1): Entered back quickly off recent prep for this by barn that’s profitable in LAY-3 scenarios and has had prior success with outlandish price shots. Super-exotic award at huge price not completely out of the question.
9-Mubtaahij (5-1): Was a good third in the Suburban as the favorite in first start since returning from Dubai, where he finished second to California Chrome. Likely to make last run for Irad; Kiaran 1-2 here?


Race 11 Grade 3 GLENS FALLS STAKES F & M 1-3/8 MILES INNER TURF


1-Miss Chatelaine (10-1): Apparently the “lesser” of the uncoupled Clement entry does not compete on performance figures and lacks course and trip experience.
2-Photo Call (10-1): Todd also has uncoupled mates in here and this one loves the trip but headstrong mare needs careful handling and might have been too fresh going 12F in latest here; now switches to Saez.
3-Guapaza (3-1): And, yes, Chad has two in here and this is the stronger on paper as 5YO seeks third straight and second straight on this course. Waya winner has needed conditioning and Javier takes the re-ride; very logical favorite.
4-Ball Dancing (8-1): Chased the pace as kind of unofficial Waya rabbit for Guapaza as it turned out. Has won Grade 1 but that was going shorter in yielding ground, not the case here.
5-Arles (10-1): Wohler barn’s German imports always worth a second look, especially those getting first-Lasix. Part of Team Valor’s change in emphasis with Europeans getting more of the focus. Bred to run all day long and attracts Rosario.
6-Suffused (4-1): Made strong, wide rally and nearly caught Guapaza in the shadow of the Waya wire. Working very strongly since that effort and Mott barn now firing on all cylinders. Gets Jose O. on the re-ride and looms dangerous rival.
7-Gap Year (15-1): Just won a secondary allowances as Kiaran empties the barn for getaway weekend. Has shown affinity for this surface (3) 2-1-0 and Santana, having surprisingly strong meet, takes the return call.
8-Itsonlyactingdad (9-2): The ‘other” Todd won G3 Matchmaker on yielding ground last out but handles any footing. Bravo takes the re-ride and has more than enough pedigree for added trip after earning career TG top.
9-Modernstone (12-1): Goes first-time for Clement (22%) off lengthy layup (21%) and picks up Johnny, but has failed to hit the board in three tries at this trip.
10-Achnaha (6-1): Finished well too late when third in Waya for Weaver having very solid meet and a profitable 24% of late when teamed up with Franco. Likes the trip and has money prospects but at better price.


Race 12: Allowances 3 & UP 1-1/16 MILES MELLON TURF


1-Tizzarunner (9-2):
Showed marked improvement going a mile in course debut confirming his affinity for turf. Casse barn, 19% in LAY-3 scenarios, adds blinkers after making strong, wide too-late rally July 23.
2-Hockey School (5-1): Is straight forward and has developed rapidly over the summer, narrowly beaten third in course debut by ‘Tizz’ who had the more difficult trip; Rosario on a return call here.
3-Intensity (8-1): One of two from Chad returning from long layups with identical form—winners of their only starts at 2. Castellano lands on the only one of four winning sibs to handle turf successfully.
4-Annals of Time (3-1): Earned field’s top figure at 2 now returns for Chad after being stabled at Belmont for owners battling for Spa title. Irad takes the return call and appears very well intended. Deserving favorite.
5-Forever in Love (5-1): 2-for-3 at the trip including 2-for-2 at the Spa; her last in secondary allowance state-bred conditions now goes in NW1 open. Blew out strongly for this gets Jose O. on the re-ride and has never regressed on turf. Fair value on early line.
6-Site Read (10-1): Got back to career best in 3YO debut, a figure that was earned on Spa turf in racing debut last July, but was given long rest following returning from lengthy absence; tricky read.
7-Bibbo (20-1): Goes second off the layup and first off the Asmussen claim with switch to Johnny. Seems well intended but this is a salty group and does exit a live Bond shed at this meet.
8-Tale of the Nile (20-1): Has never taken a backward step on turf and stretches out for crafty connections going synth to turf while seeking fourth straight. Kin to five winners but only turf runner among them; intriguing price shot.
9-Blackout (8-1): Jumped up in last two starts in European campaign now gets first Lasix for Casse (21%) who’s profitable when teaming with Jersey Joe B. Another interesting player in fascinating finale.
10-Gio’s Calling (15-1): Developed very nicely for Brian Lynch at 3 and returns with excellent spacing—six weeks fresh (21%). Had impossible trip in last and Saez rides gelding back but tough assignment, especially given wide draw.
11-Uno Emayo (20-1): Has won three straight, including both turf starts and his Spa debut over state-breds last out but figures lacking on both TG and PER scales.

See Saturday's Feature Race Analysis for On-the-Record Selections

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)

 
 

Friday, August 26, 2016


Travers Day All-Grade 1 Pick 4


Exclusively for http://www.123BET.com, reprinted via promotional agreement

LAST WEEK’S RESULTS


Posted comments on winners with notable money finishers

RACE 9 GRADE 1 FOURSTARDAVE 1 MILE INNER TURF

8-Tourist (5-2) won his lone start on this course, three of four at this trip lifetime and exits long series of G1 event. Has enough tactical gas to overcome wide draw and reunites with winning rider Rosario. Worthy favorite.
7-A Lot (10-1) drops significant weight exiting two rapidly run sprints, gets switch to Javier. Has run very well on this course but this is a different level and had better inside draw in last week’s canceled renewal.

RACE 10 GRADE 1 ALABAMA 3YO FILLIES 1-1/4 MILES

6-Songbird (1-5) is 9-for-9 lifetime and needs no introduction. Biggest hurdle figures to be today’s trip but did drew out in final furlong winning CCA Oaks here at 9 furlongs July 24. Has continued to train well over the strip.
3-Going for Broke (10-1) obviously, Chad is en fuego and this filly has benefit of winning 9 furlongs over the track. Only loss sprinting in debut over speed-kind strip. Bred for the trip with Irad on the re-ride and will be running in the lane.

RACE 11 ALLOWANCES 1-1/16 MILES INNER TURF

1-Orino (10-1) has never been entered this cheaply but draws in with salty NY-Bred group. Barn’s horses always live here, draws pole and attracts Johnny; wakeup potential.

RACE 12 ALLOWANCES NY-BRED 5-1/2 FURLONGS TURF


5-True Charm (12-1) comes off comprehensive open lengths score in recent off-turfer here and has run very competitively in two of three turf starts; live threat to repeat with Lezcano on the re-ride.
4-Laura’s Patriot (12-1) was a very willing fourth going 7/8s in Belmont finale and appears well suited by the turnback; getting weight for all and apprentice, struggling here, has ability.
7-Wantagh Queen (20-1) raced wide in one of these, her Spa turf return, following maiden-claiming Belmont win. Second at this trip last year now gets switch to Geroux; surprise package?

**************************************************************************************************************


TRAVERS DAY LATE PICK 4 AUGUST 27, 2016



RACE 8 Grade 1 KING’S BISHOP 3 YO 7 FURLONGS

1-Economic Model (6-1) placed gamely after making mid-race run into stretch in G3 Dwyer. Broke maiden here in 2015 and second to rapid Awesome Banner at trip in Swale. Training strongly in blinkers.
2-Fish Trappe Road (8-1) has improved markedly since turned back into sprint this spring, beating ‘Model’ in latest. Loves this trip (3) 2-1-0 and owns tactical speed and kick; fair value on early line.
3-Summer Revolution (6-1) has been visually impressive in two rapidly run starts at today’s trip, including Spa debut. Extremely fast figures on both Thoro-Graph and Pricci Energy Rating scales but takes substantial rise here. Intriguing.
4-Tail of S’avall (30-1) was third behind ‘Model’ and ‘Road’ in Dwyer and did make maiden here in debut at 2. Tough draw given his style and dynamics in bulky field.
5-Bird Song (30-1) has been developing nicely this summer for Wilkes and jumped up to win Spa debut July 24. Distance should suit, Jose Ortiz re-rides, but makes significant class rise here.
6-Mohaymen (5-1) has been toughened at the highest levels all season long and is 2-for-2 in career rounding one turn. Suited by dynamics, style and distance but has not shown development since leaving Gulfstream. Mixed signals.
7-Star Hill (20-1) earned lifetime best figure on T-G scale with benefit of bias two back at Belmont. Rallied very wide in Indiana Derby entering stretch last out now turns back suitably and adds blinkers. Money prospects at big price.
8-Mind Your Biscuits (15-1) Regressed badly last out after lifetime best score in prior yet still won the G2 Amsterdam. Two-for-two since adding blinkers; loses Rosario but picks up Johnny.
9-Jazzy Times (8-1) Jumped up to win Del Mar debut @ 6-1/2 furlongs now ships in for Baffert shedding 4 pounds and nicely drawn outside. BB 31% effective removing blinkers, reunites with Bejarano. and Aug. 22 work 2nd fastest of 272 peers last week at SoCal base. Live price shot.
10-Rated R Superstar (20-1) Found his niche sprinting while taking G3 Carry Back at this trip with strong, late, wide rally at GP July 2. Carefully pointed here since and Cornelio up from SoFla for the re-ride.
11-Noholdingback Bear (10-1) Certainly is fast enough on performance figures to compete but is 4-for-5 on synthetics and 0-for-4 on dirt. Da Silva shipping down for the ride; decidedly mixed signals.
12-Tom’s Ready (12-1) had table set and roared home on closer’s track despite altering course deep stretch to win G2 W. Stephens, earning lifetime best figure. Has won 2 of 3 at trip, speedy dynamics aid and retains Rosario. Freshened for this; live price shot.
13-Drefong (4-1) has continued his march forward in two runs for Bullet Bob at 3, winning both starts while very impressive visually. Has good spacing, worked bullets since, and gets Mike Smith on the re-ride. Wide draw is the good and bad news.


RACE 9 Grade 1 FOREGO 3 & UP 7 FURLONGS


1-Catalina Red (8-1) Hails from Navarro barn that’s 33% effective with sprinters and chestnut 4YO is 3-for-3 this trip. Has tactical speed and kick and may trip out assuming clean break. Willing 3rd despite rough break in G1 Vanderbilt, his Spa debut.
2-Chief Lion (10-1) Placed gamely after mid-race move on closer’s track August 12, his Spa debut, but has failed to hit the board in two surface starts. Picks up Geroux.
3-Limousine Liberal (15-1) Was a very good second to Runhappy here in G1 King’s Bishop at 3. Second in G2 Smile Sprint at GP July 4, has been working strongly since at KEE base, and attracts Castellano. Stern pace pressure likely, however.
4-The Truth Or Else (30-1) Lost all chance making wide rally in recent Spa debut and was a game second in lone start at this trip. This event is a different animal, however.
5-Anchor Dawn (10-1) Freaked winning G3 Westchester three back then placed gamely in Frosted’s Met Mile before suffering tough trip in Vanderbilt here. Has shown little affinity for surface and may be over the top.
6-Tamarkuz (15-1) Raced dully in lone start this year, the Met Mile. Non-competitive in this race at 5 and expecting more of same today despite attracting Smith.
7-Schivarelli (20-1) Likes the trip (5) 2-2-1 and strip (2) 1-0-1, but this is toughest test to date. Picks up Bejarano but is up against it in this spot.
8-Stallwalkin’ Dude (8-1) Paired lifetime best T-G figures winning bias-aided Tale of the Cat here August 12. Now 2-for-2 at the Spa and a winner of 3 of 9 at today’s trip. Nicely drawn, suited by dynamics and attracts Irad.
9-Ready for Rye (10-1) Freshened awaiting this, was second in lone dirt start here and has never finished off the board in five starts at 7F. Rallied very wide when third vs. two favorites here. Working purposefully, nicely posted and attracts JR.
10-Donnie’s Deceiver (30-1) On a bounce-rebound pattern, has an effort two back that’s fast enough to compete, sheds six pounds, picks up Franco, and is nicely positioned. Not the worst 30-1 chance we’ve ever seen.
11-A.P. Indian (3-1) Has won three straight, earning excellent PER and T-G ratings last out, owns tactical speed and kick and is positioned nicely to trip out. Knock is picking up six pounds as 124-pound highweight. Worthy favorite, however.
12-Marking (4-1) Suffered through wide trip when narrowly beaten by ‘Indian’ in the G3 Belmont Sprint, a key race producing two next-out winners. Enjoys 4-pound shift with favorite, draws favorably outside that rival, and gets positive switch to Rosario.


RACE 10 Grade 1 SWORD DANCER 1-1/2 MILES INNER TURF

1-Grand Tito (8-1) Placed gamely behind Flintshire in G2 Bowling Green after being rated very stoutly throughout. Gets favorable two pound switch, Jose Ortiz sticks, is pole sitting, but likely to be pace-engaged by Roman Approval.
2-Money Multiplier (8-1) Has come to hand for Chad in last two starts, won recent Spa return impressively and drops six pounds. Loses Castellano but picks up Irad and has shown affinity for this course.
3-Roman Approval (20-1) Was no match for ‘Money’ when second last out, a promising course debut, but is winless in three tries at the trip and figures are lacking vs. this group.
4-Twilight Eclipse (10-1) Hard hitting old pro went well when third to favorite in Belmont finale after encountering trouble at the start. Likely to find good position but appears unlikely to handle the choice.
5-Inordinate (30-1) Apparently overmatched, is likely to be employed as a rabbit for Juddmonte’s champion.
6-Flintshire (1-5) Two-for-two at the Spa, may be world’s best turf marathoner. Showed his class to win Bowling Green off splits of 53 and 1:19.40. Pace likely to be more realistic here. Loom’s everyone’s P4 single.
7-Applicator (30-1) Both lifetime wins came over Gulfstream turf, his May 29 effort on a speed-favoring course. Little chance here.


RACE 11 Grade 1 TRAVERS 3YO 1-1/4 MILES

1-Arrogate (10-1) Has been extremely impressive visually in all two-turn starts this year, beating his elders in each of three appearances. Has speed, kick, the pole, and picks up Mike Smith. Up in class, distance and weight scale (all tote 126).
2-American Freedom (6-1) Was an excellent second to Exaggerator on tiring sloppy track in the Haskell. Bejarano had his choice and sticks here. Has blinkers removed, a 31% Baffert tack.
3-My Man Sam (20-1) Appeared in need of the effort when narrowly beaten in Spa debut at 9 furlongs while also paced compromised following rough start. Blue Grass runnerup not without a puncher’s chance at big price.
4-Governor Malibu (12-1) Always runs well but always seems to find some trouble in the lane. Blinkers have helped, had beneficial local prep when pace compromised behind Laoban in Jim Dandy. Offers early line value.
5-Forever d’Oro (30-1) Made willing finish when third over speed-favoring Spa oval July 29, showing development, but remains eligible for preliminary allowances.
6-Anaximandrop (50-1) Fourth in W Virginia Derby, his stakes debut--so what’s he doing in here?
7-Exaggerator (3-1) Three of four lifetime Grade 1s have come on sloppy tracks but did win Saratoga Special in fast footing at 2. Haskell score was a lifetime best tour de force and he’s worked very well here since. Easily the most accomplished; horse to beat.
8-Destin (10-1) Got back to his lifetime best despite relatively dull finish when third in the Jim Dandy following nose defeat in the Belmont. Should benefit, added furlong suits, and Castellano seeking sixth Travers score. Value on early line.
9-Gift Box (12-1) was a very good second returning from layup when pace compromised and unable to beat speedy stablemate Connect on speed-kind oval. Loses Castellano to Destin but has money prospects at a square price.
10-Connect (4-1) Very promising winner of three straight and highly regarded by connections, but had everything his own way in the Curlin, hardly the case here. Underlay at early line odds.
11-Majesto (30-1) Hails from top Florida outfit and had zero chance while wide throughout the Curlin. Florida Derby runnerup adds blinkers and attracts hot-riding Santana. Potential price shot for bottom of super-exotics.
12-Creator (15-1) Belmont winner raced dully on cuppy Spa oval in Jim Dandy, his first start since winning the Belmont. Added distance helps as does the promise of solid pace. Will be running late beneath Irad and offers good value on early line.
13-Laoban (15-1) looms the speed of the speed but was killed by wide draw. Trainer says he doesn’t need lead but Guillot blows a lot of smoke. Underrated colt worked bullet since Jim Dandy, 2nd fastest of 43 peers here last week.
14-Gun Runner (10-1) had it rough on sloppy track in Haskell after winning the G3 Matt Winn by daylight at a mile returning from third-place Derby finish. Has worked thrice since but will need extreme luck from extreme outside slip.

See Saturday's Feature Race Analysis for On the Record Selections







Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)

 
 

Friday, August 19, 2016


Saratoga Late Pick 4, Roll Tide


Exclusively for http://www.123BET.com, reprinted via promotional agreement

RACE 9 GRADE 1 FOURSTARDAVE 1 MILE INNER TURF

1-King Kreesa (12-1)
won the Forbidden Apple after getting loose in soft fractions on a speed-kind course…but these are Grade 1 rivals.

2-Grand Arch (6-1) returns to what might be his favorite course--over which he won this race last year. A four-time winner at the trip, returns with profitable spacing for Lynch barn that’s come alive recently. Nicely drawn, sheds 6 pounds and ML odds offers value.

3-Reporting Star (20-1) four of five lifetime wins have come at this trip, sheds six pounds, and won G3 Appleton at the distance three back. In top hands but this is a different level.

4-Force the Pass (8-1) just missed catching ‘Kreesa’ after chasing the loose leader in the Forbidden Apple. Has enough versatility to adapt to dynamics, well drawn and three of four lifetime wins at today’s distance. Excellent value on early line.

5-Blacktype (10-1)
won the Oceanport when Jersey Joe took advantage of demanding course and timed his late run perfectly. Meeting tougher, obviously, and at his best with a little more ground.

6-Ring Weekend (3-1) handles any type of footing, has won at G1 level, and just missed in G2 Dixie making first start in 14 months. Loves tis course, working bullets at Fair Hill base and goes very well for Johnny.

7-A Lot (10-1) drops significant weight exiting two rapidly run sprints, gets switch to Javier. Has run very well on this course but this is a different level and had better inside draw in last week’s canceled renewal.

8-Tourist (5-2) won his lone start on this course, three of four at this trip lifetime and exits long series of G1 event. Has enough tactical gas to overcome wide draw and reunites with winning rider Rosario. Worthy favorite.

9-Takeover Target (9-2) would have preferred last week’s softer ground but likes Spa turf. Freshened awaiting this, sheds five pounds but loses Rosario to Tourist. Chad white hot, has good spacing, but this a tough spot.


RACE 10 GRADE 1 ALABAMA 3YO FILLIES 1-1/4 MILES


1-Dark Nile (20-1) intriguing filly has won four of five lifetime for Delacour having a simply super season. Has versatility, Bravo, is pole sitting, but leaps to G1 level against the Princess with solid, purposeful workline. Interesting price shot.

2-Weep No More (15-1) had trouble at the start of CCA Oaks vs. Songbird here, losing any chance whatsoever. G1 Ashland winner would need that kind of perfect dueling setup…and then some. Reunites with winning rider Lanerie.

3-Going for Broke (10-1) obviously, Chad is en fuego and this filly has benefit of winning 9 furlongs over the track. Only loss sprinting in debut over speed-kind strip. Bred for the trip with Irad on the re-ride and will be running in the lane.

4-Go Maggie Go (8-1) is a dual G2 winner and is of Grade 1 quality. Had tough trip chasing three-wide on speed-favoring Belmont in Acorn mile, which produced two wins from three subsequent starters. Will appreciate stretching around two turns again and looms favorite's toughest challenger.

5-Family Tree (10-1) has been collecting second-tier G2s while touring the Midwest now ships in for toughest test off strong works at Keeneland base and bred both sides for added distance. Acid test.

6-Songbird (1-5) is 9-for-9 lifetime and needs no introduction. Biggest hurdle figures to be today’s trip but did drew out in final furlong winning CCA Oaks here at 9 furlongs July 24. Has continued to train well over the strip.

7-Flora Dora (20-1)
was a good third in CCAO in Sa debut and has been working bullets in her new blinkers subsequently.


RACE 11 ALLOWANCES 1-1/16 MILES INNER TURF

1-Orino (10-1) has never been entered this cheaply but draws in with salty NY-Bred group. Barn’s horses always live here, draws pole and attracts Johnny; wakeup potential.

2-Sanctify (10-1) returns to state-bred competition and is entered for a tag again. Last two victories came beneath Franco, is 1-for-2 at trip and laudable (2) 1-1-0 on Spa grass. Very good value on early line.

3-Converge (2-1) has been class tested in five straight open graded stakes now drops back in with New Yorkers for Chad with switch to Castellano; extremely formidable here despite meeting elders for first time.

4-Powerful Instinct (9-2) came to hand for these connections at Belmont summer meet after leaving Florida but barn winless in 23 attempts at this meet through Wednesday racing. Five-time trip winner gets J Ortiz on the re-ride.

5-Vincento (8-1) was beaten less than 3 lengths by ‘Instinct’ following bobbled beginning in Belmont finale. Meets elders once again with Irad taking the return call.

6-Dream Doctor (8-1) has won two of last three and beaten less than two lengths while chasing the pace wide in Belmont finale. Back around two turns with switch to Saez.

7-Memories of Peter (20-1) chased the pace from wide post on tiring course last out on Long Island after adding front bandages but Lezcano on the re-ride for top state-bred owner-breeder. Not impossible at huge price.

8-Tizquick (20-1) returns to winning level and reunites with winning rider Arroyo (took off Dream Doctor). Has solid, purposeful workline but barn still winless at meet.

9-Ocala Jim (5-1) just missed to Powerful Instinct last out, all six lifetime wins at today’s trip (plus three placings) and is (4) 1-1-0 on Spa grass. Potential value on early line.

10-Front (12-1) chased the pace in that same race from wide post, understandably tiring late. Crafty claiming outfit switching to Santana but has shown no affinity for Spa turf (5) 0-0-0.

11-AE With Exultation (4-1) makes first start at reduced level since claimed, raced well in troubled Spa turf return, had sharp blowout for this with switch to Bravo. Very live in this spot if draws in.

12-AE Make a Decision (5-1) has been raced into condition, turns back from longer grass routes and returns to level of claim. Rice barn has come alive and 4 of 5 lifetime wins came at this trip; likes course, a big wakeup candidate.

13-Jet Black (5-2) MAIN TRACK ONLY


RACE 12 ALLOWANCES NY-BRED 5-1/2 FURLONGS TURF


1-Lakeview Lady (15-1) showed improved speed in two recent starts now draws pole with tactical speed and big switch to Joel; anticipate further improvement at sizable odds.

2-Celestial Sighting (10-1) goes off long layup for leading owner returning to the surface of both lifetime best performances. Prepared at Fair Hill and shipped to Spa early awaiting this. Obviously well-meant here.

3-Day After Day (15-1)
has been showing high speed on tiring courses in three career starts. Loses Irad to ‘Celestial’ but picks up turf ace DeCarlo.

4-Laura’s Patriot (12-1) was a very willing fourth going 7/8s in Belmont finale and appears well suited by the turnback; getting weight for all and apprentice, struggling here, has ability.

5-True Charm (12-1) comes off comprehensive open lengths score in recent off-turfer here and has run very competitively in two of three turf starts; threat to repeat with Lezcano on the re-ride.

6-Sabrina Ballerina (12-1) owns high early speed and not particularly well meant for turf; on bounce-rebound pattern and aggressive Carmouche sticks.

7-Wantagh Queen (20-1)
raced wide in one of these, her Spa turf return, following maiden-claiming Belmont win. Second at this trip last year now gets switch to Geroux; surprise package?

8-Somerset Sandy (6-1) was a willing third in course return with Santana. Has improved in recent starts since adding Lasix and now gets blinkers. Second to ‘Celestial’ here in 2015; dangerous rival and value on line.

9-Esther the Queen (8-1)
chased strong pace throughout her last in turf-sprint this-distance debut. Loses Carmouche but is reunited with Franco; improvement expected.

10-Lulu’s Blues (4-1)
might have moved prematurely when second in course and distance debut here August 4. Well-bred New Yorker will benefit from effort and gets Castellano takes the re-ride. Formidable.

11-Cosmic Tale (7-2) placed gamely in last and was awarded the win via DQ following third to recent repeat winner. Switches to Johnny for Baker, batting otherworldly 43 percent at meet through Wednesday.

12-I Hope You Dance (8-1) made mid-race move then finished evenly in 3YO debut July 8, her first start following Linda Rice claim. Barn 33% effective in LAY-2 long layoff scenarios and Jose takes the return call.

13 AE-Woodford Tea (15-1)
certainly has the needed conditioning turning back from recent turf routes, her last on tiring ground. Maker barn going well here but this a tough task given wide draw.

14 AE-Queeb (20-1) is also turning back from turf routes but is 1-for-1 at today’s trip and ships in for top Delaware Valley outfit attracting Santana; very interesting price shot coming into this off bullet drill at home base, 2nd fastest of 14 peers week of Aug. 2.

15-AE-Silver Vixen (15-1)
will find this a very tough go given wide draw for first start in turf sprint.

16-Sing for Beauty (9-2) MAIN TRACK ONLY

See Saturday's Feature Race Analysis Section for On-the-Record Selections




Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)

 
 

Page 2 of 246 pages  <  1 2 3 4 >  Last »