John Pricci

HorseRaceInsider.com executive editor John Pricci has over three decades of experience as a thoroughbred racing public handicapper and was an award-winning journalist while at New York Newsday for 18 years.

John has covered 14 Kentucky Derbies and Preaknesses, all but three Breeders' Cups since its inception in 1984, and has seen all but two Belmont Stakes live since 1969.

Currently John is a contributing racing writer to MSNBC.com, an analyst on the Capital Off-Track Betting television network, and co-hosts numerous handicapping seminars. He resides in Saratoga Springs, New York.

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Friday, June 10, 2016


All Stakes/All Entrants Pick 4 Profiles; HRI Staff Picks Belmont 148


All Grade 1 Pick 4 Belmont Stakes Day
Exclusively for http://www.123BET.com via promotional consideration



RACE 8 Grade 1 JUST A GAME F & M 1 MILE WIDENER TURF

1-Strike Charmer (8-1)
won only start on Belmont turf but mile record is soft. Comes off career run with Joel and pole position. Need 8-1 or greater.

2-Recepta (6-1) comes off the roughest trip of the meet in Strike Charmer’s Beaugay, making remarkable finish for third. Strong contender with smoother journey.

3-Tapitry (15-1) has come into her own at 4 but is winless on Belmont ground after three tries and this is saltier than she’s used to.

4-La Berma (30-1) Group placed Euro battled on lead through U.S. debut at Santa before tiring in G2 Royal Heroine. Worked purposefully since but not sure what to expect here.

5-My Miss Sophia (8-1) ran off rankly setting the Beaugay pace in 2016 debut. One-for-two on BEL ground and third to Tepin in KEE G1 last fall. Switch to Smith augurs well.

6-Prize Exhibit (30-1) never had a stretch chance in Royal Heroine season’s debut has been competitive in long line G1s and G2s. Has won at trip thrice and gets switch to Prat. Interesting at early line odds.

7-Mrs. McDougal (4-1) blew the recent overnight stakes open with mid-move in Big A season’s debut, showing good Thoro Graph development at 4. She’s 2-for-2 at the trip, 3-for-4 with Ortiz, Chad 27% with repeaters and a 29% profit with this type of spacing.

8-Celestine (12-1) earned excellent Pricci Energy Rating winning G2 Honey Fox last out, showing good development at 4, is 2-for-2 on Belmont lawn and 3-for-4 at trip; value on early line.

9-Irish Rookie (10-1) Euro miler was Group 1 placed in Britain at 3 now makes U.S. debut in third start off the layup. Trainer Meade an unknown quantity in this scenario and looms legitimate dark horse. Not easily dismissible.

10-Faufiler (5-1) came from last with very wide rally for place in aforementioned Royal Heroine with Van Dyke, re-riding here. Owns worthy (8) 3-2-2 slate at trip, appears well pointed to this for Motion, profitable in graded events.

11-Lexie Lou (15-1) gave gritty stretch performance to win Canadian G2 last out and 2-for-3 at this trip. This is a completely different ballgame and returns on short rest.

12-Rainha Da Bateria (5-1) gained ground during fast mid-race fractions in G2 CD mile before altering course wide at headstretch, finishing gamely for place. Goes second time for Brown/Castellano.

13-Lady Lara (15-1) in-and-our mare is capable on her best day and lost all chance with wide trip in G2 Honey Fox and Lezcano sticks. Tricky read here.

RACE 9 Grade 1 METROPOLITAN MILE 3 & UP

1-El Kabeir (30-1) front-running gambit in G2 Dixie an apparent prep for return to dirt. Terranova 23% profitable in LAY-2 scenario and attracts Franco but this is ambitious spot.

2-Blofeld (10-1) apparently regressed in Oaklawn ‘Cap at inappropriately longer trip after game score in G2 GP ‘Cap at today’s flat-mile; 2-for-3 at trip, 1-for-2 at BEL. Tactical speed and kick with Johnny and inside position.

3-Donworth (20-1) broke maiden in one-turn 7F and hasn’t had that dynamic since. Has conditioning from recent routes and this a salty spot to prove affinity for the dynamics. Intriguingly placed by crafty outfit.

4-Noble Bird (9-2) blew the doors off taking G3 Pimlico Special by 11, owns fast figures on anybody’s scale and is (4) 2-1-0 at the trip. Regression candidate given short rest.

5-Frosted (7-2) was runnerup in last year’s Belmont and 1-for-1 at the trip. Given plenty of recovery after Dubai, working strongly at Greentree upstate, pace scenario and distance should suit and reunites with Rosario.

6-Upstart (20-1) has somewhat underachieved after promising early winter at 3 but has come back well at 4 and Oaklawn ‘Cap effort better than appears on paper. Had strong work in blinkers, added here, and reunites with Irad. Live price shot.

7-Stanford (5-1) did all the dirty work and just missed given these dynamics in G2 GP ‘Cap—probably best. Dynamics-aided in CT Classic. Tough spot but good spacing and suited to the task.

8-Ami’s Flatter (6-1) was super-sharp taking 7F G3 Commonwealth at KEE. Has good spacing into this, strong works at WO base for toughest test of career. Dynamics, draw suits.

9-Sloane Avenue (15-1) Group placed Euro has preferred dirt pedigree and Noseda alive live shipping to U.S. and attracts Geroux. Money prospects if the price is right--early line +

10-Tamarkuz (20-1) had tough trip when 4th in 2015 Met Mile. Proven classy and McLaughlin 23% profitable with 90 days+ returnees. Dynamics, post suits; early line money prospects.

11-Calculator (10-1) just missed in G1 Carter then returned with dogged-finish placing in CD G2, also at 7F, earning excellent PER. Won only start at this trip, dynamics suit and Alvarado sticks.

12-Anchor Down (12-1) showed a new dimension winning G3 Westchester, confirming affinity for Belmont (5) 2-1-0 and earning excellent T-G and PER figures. Leading rider Ortiz sticks; value on early line quote.

13-Marking (8-1) is back home after being unsuited by dynamics in Godolphin Mile. Has won here, at the trip and was second to Runhappy in 7F G1 Malibu in 3YO finale; player here reuniting with Lezcano.


RACE 10 Grade 1 MANHATTAN 4 & UP 1-1/4 MILES INNER TURF

1-World Appeal (12-1) 10 furlongs may be a stretch but does have bottom side to do it, handles any ground, has tactical speed, pole position and dynamics and goes for en fuego Casse/Leparoux team. Eligible to trip out in this spot.

2-Slumber (10-1) Grade 1 tough and world class grinder sometimes gets there, sometimes not. Goes LAY-2 for Chad/Irad team but likely to be pace compromised.

3-Wake Forest (10-1) flashed extreme turn of foot, getting up in time to win G1 Man o’ War on this course going away late under masterful handling from Johnny; second of Chad’s quartet appears suited to added ground but back a little quickly here.

4-Take the Stand (15-1) has shown more maturity at 5 and was good visually taking G2 Muniz at FG this winter. Mott pointing here but loses Prado to Divisidero and no trip experience.

5-Big Blue Kitten (6-1) was pace and trip compromised when beaten 4 lengths as the favorite in G1 season’s debut in CD Turf Classic; gained conditioning and sharpness for today’s stretch to 10F and will relish return to BEL lawn (7) 4-2-0.

6-Ironicus (4-1) began to show his true talents and 4 and did nothing to dissuade that opinion taking G3 Ft Marcy prep for this beneath today’s rider, Irad. Obviously likes course (3) 2-0-1 and bred both sides for 10F G1 debut.

7-Oathkeeper (30-1) is a Euro ship-in lacking big time resume but goes as a reported first gelding and French horse attracts Florent. Unknown quantity but appears overmatched.

8-Triple Threat (30-1) is Canadian G1 placed and was unlucky when he had to leap over a fallen rival at CD, losing his rider. Not the ideal way to enter this spot.

9-Grand Tito (20-1) was favored and stalked Pan Am 12F pace from close range, mid-moved to lead, but weakened late. Sheds five pounds and shorter trip helps but may be GP specialist.

10-Flintshire (8-5) was headed to United Nations but June 4 BEL work convinced Chad to stay home for this G1. Extremely high-class 6YO Euro world traveler has banked $7.3 million. Goes first-time Chad (30% profitable) with first Lasix and Javier; worthy favorite.

11-Divisidero (8-1) has continued his development at 4, especially given game score despite being trip and dynamics compromised in G1 CD Turf Classic. Pedigree and connections [Buff profitable in graded stakes] say yes to LAY-3 10F stretchout.


RACE 11 THE BELMONT STAKES 3YO 1-1/2 MILES


1-GOVERNOR MALIBU (12-1) won Tesio prep but bypassed the Preakness for this, a spot in which Christophe Clement scored with Tonalist in 2014. Peter Pan winner Unified was either feeling the effects of early exertions, pedigree challenged or lost focus. All that doesn’t obscure New York bred’s strong finish placing. Blinkers have helped big time, so does pedigree and his chemistry with Joel Rosario. Money prospects.

2-DESTIN (6-1)
, was trip compromised in the Derby but ironically bore into the sometimes obstreperous Lani, instead of the other way around. Like ‘Brody’, comes in five weeks fresh and figures to be a pace factor from close range, especially given his inside draw. More than a grinder, he can kick strongly but appears pedigree challenged on dam’s side. Javier and inside aids.

3-CHERRY WINE (8-1)
, uncoupled mate of Brody, had his freshening before his excellent Preakness placing. Generally underrated, he owns the best turn of foot in this field and given that could blow this race open with a strong mid-race move from the inside, a la Summing in ’81. Corey Lanerie saves ground. Solid 1:00 breeze over ‘Big Sandy’ June 4. Upset potential.

4-SUDDENBREAKINGNEWS (10-1)
is, given Belmont Stakes dynamics, up against it as a deep closer. But like trainer Von Hemel said, he will be closer to the leaders at a steady comfortable pace given marathon fractions. This is not ideal for a horse that loves to come from the clouds but he never fails to fire and is very stoutly bred. Like two other major contenders, he comes in here five weeks fresh. Live price shot.

5-STRADAVARI (5-1)
chased a strong wet-track Preakness pace while racing wide throughout in only his fourth lifetime start and was beaten only four lengths, an excellent try. Returning on short rest is not exactly in Pletcher’s wheelhouse but these are special circumstances. The colt’s route-challenged genes in this young talent’s major concern; looms underlay.

6-GETTYSBURG (30-1)
has been recruited by his owners likely to serve as a rabbit for strong finishing stablemate Creator. Encouraging is a stout pedigree and a nine-furlong, two-turn maiden breaker, but that’s it in seven starts. As for the barn transfer prior to a classic, old school racing officials are spinning in their chairs. Nice colt; not today.

7-SEEKING THE SOUL (30-1)
like most Fipke home-breds, he owns a classy and stout pedigree and comes up to the added ground perfectly, stretching out incrementally in three straight starts. But here he jumps from eight furlongs to 12 and from maiden company into a Grade 1. Stewart has had longshot classics success and Geroux is an elite rider. But the Belmont, really? Underlay on early line.

8-FOREVER D’ORO (30-1)
turned his fortunes around when he got to Long Island, breaking maiden in his first start over Big Sandy. Royally bred by Medaglia d’Oro from a Kentucky Oaks winning mare, he has all the DNA needed for the grueling 12 furlongs. Obviously, this is an ambitious spot.

9-TROJAN NATION (30-1)
was absolutely and unequivocally eliminated when sloughed from the #1 slip in the Derby. While still winless in seven starts, he was the runnerup in the G1 Wood and trainer Patrick Gallagher is capable and is no shot-taker. Obviously, he thinks he can get the distance and his pedigree says he can. Still, this poor horse…

10-1 LANI (20-1)
it’s not often when connections use the Derby and Preakness as preps for the Belmont, but this is the race they have pointed for. This sometimes insensible colt has been getting his act together little by little. The thing about him is that he likes Belmont Park, always finishes his races, and is bred to run from here to, well, Japan. Another live price shot.

11-EXAGGERATOR (9-5)
the Recuperater. The image that the Santa Anita Derby winner made after winning the Preakness was the energy he showed after the race, nudging against the pony while his jockey was being interviewed. He’s done nothing to dissuade since that gas remains in the tank and is more tactical then generally acknowledged. Desormeaux likes Exaggerator’s post: “It lets him get comfortable with no dirt in his face My dream run would be to be forwardly placed.” If not, there’s plenty of racetrack to work with later on. Strong favorite.

12-BRODY’S CAUSE (20-1)
had sneaky good run when seventh in the Derby and comes into this five weeks fresh. Excellent work pattern, including a strong gallop-out following strong mile breeze at CD in 1:42, followed by subsequent solid five-eighths. Among stoutest bred in here; live upsetter. Post draw most likely neutral but did him no favors. Great value on early line.

13-CREATOR (10-1) Rebel third and Arkansas Derby winner was completely eliminated by horrendous trip in the Derby. Also owns good turn of foot when called upon and all the pedigree that’s needed but as a deep closer, his style works against the grain of Belmont Stakes dynamics. Wide draw most likely will not hurt this deep rallier.


STAFF PICKS


TOM JICHA

1. Lani
--Settled Down, Upsetter
2. Exaggerator--Horse to Beat
3. Cherry Wine--Belmont Perfect Fit
4. Destin--The "Other" Pletcher.

MARK BERNER

1. Exaggerator - Loaded and ready.
2. Creator - Closer with rabbit.
3. Governor Malibu - Belongs with these.
4. Brody's Cause - Best value.

INDULTO

1) Exaggerator - Most Deserving Favorite
2) Suddenbreakingnews - Trouble-Free Jockey Upgrade?
3) Creator - Rabbit Reveals Intentions
4) Brody's Cause - Morning Line Overlay

JOHN PRICCI

1-Exaggerator – Top Class, Fastest
2-Brody’s Cause – 2 Grade 1s, Fresh
3-Lani – Relentless, Loves Belmont
4-Governor Malibu – Perfect Pan Prep

See Saturday's Feature Race Analysis for On-the-Record Selections, courtesy of 123GAMING.com

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, June 08, 2016


Handicapping Thumbnail Sketches of Belmont 148 Field


1-GOVERNOR MALIBU (12-1) won Tesio prep but bypassed the Preakness for this, a spot in which Christophe Clement scored with Tonalist in 2014. Peter Pan winner Unified was either feeling the effects of early exertions, pedigree challenged or lost focus. All that doesn’t obscure New York bred’s strong finish placing. Blinkers have helped big time, so does pedigree and his chemistry with Joel Rosario. Money prospects.

2-DESTIN (6-1), was trip compromised in the Derby but ironically bore into the sometimes obstreperous Lani, instead of the other way around. Like ‘Brody’, comes in five weeks fresh and figures to be a pace factor from close range, especially given his inside draw. More than a grinder, he can kick strongly but appears pedigree challenged on dam’s side. Javier and inside aids.

3-CHERRY WINE (8-1), uncoupled mate of Brody, had his freshening before his excellent Preakness placing. Generally underrated, he owns the best turn of foot in this field and given that could blow this race open with a strong mid-race move from the inside, a la Summing in ’81. Corey Lanerie saves ground. Solid 1:00 breeze over ‘Big Sandy’ June 4. Upset potential.

4-SUDDENBREAKINGNEWS (10-1) is, given Belmont Stakes dynamics, up against it as a deep closer. But like trainer Von Hemel said, he will be closer to the leaders at a steady comfortable pace given marathon fractions. This is not ideal for a horse that loves to come from the clouds but he never fails to fire and is very stoutly bred. Like two other major contenders, he comes in here five weeks fresh. Live price shot.

5-STRADAVARI (5-1) chased a strong wet-track Preakness pace while racing wide throughout in only his fourth lifetime start and was beaten only four lengths, an excellent try. Returning on short rest is not exactly in Pletcher’s wheelhouse but these are special circumstances. The colt’s route-challenged genes in this young talent’s major concern; looms underlay.

6-GETTYSBURG (30-1)
has been recruited by his owners likely to serve as a rabbit for strong finishing stablemate Creator. Encouraging is a stout pedigree and a nine-furlong, two-turn maiden breaker, but that’s it in seven starts. As for the barn transfer prior to a classic, old school racing officials are spinning in their chairs. Nice colt; not today.

7-SEEKING THE SOUL (30-1) like most Fipke home-breds, he owns a classy and stout pedigree and comes up to the added ground perfectly, stretching out incrementally in three straight starts. But here he jumps from eight furlongs to 12 and from maiden company into a Grade 1. Stewart has had longshot classics success and Geroux is an elite rider. But the Belmont, really? Underlay on early line.

8-FOREVER D’ORO (30-1) turned his fortunes around when he got to Long Island, breaking maiden in his first start over Big Sandy. Royally bred by Medaglia d’Oro from a Kentucky Oaks winning mare, he has all the DNA needed for the grueling 12 furlongs. Obviously, this is an ambitious spot.

9-TROJAN NATION (30-1) was absolutely and unequivocally eliminated when sloughed from the #1 slip in the Derby. While still winless in seven starts, he was the runnerup in the G1 Wood and trainer Patrick Gallagher is capable and is no shot-taker. Obviously, he thinks he can get the distance and his pedigree says he can. Still, this poor horse…

10-1 LANI (20-1)
it’s not often when connections use the Derby and Preakness as preps for the Belmont, but this is the race they have pointed for. This sometimes insensible colt has been getting his act together little by little. The thing about him is that he likes Belmont Park, always finishes his races, and is bred to run from here to, well, Japan. Another live price shot.

11-EXAGGERATOR (9-5)
"The Recuperater." The image that the Santa Anita Derby winner made after winning the Preakness was the energy he showed after the race, nudging against the pony while his jockey was being interviewed. He’s done nothing to dissuade since that gas remains in the tank and is more tactical then generally acknowledged. Desormeaux likes Exaggerator’s post: “It lets him get comfortable with no dirt in his face My dream run would be to be forwardly placed.” If not, there’s plenty of racetrack to work with later on. Strong favorite.

12-BRODY’S CAUSE (20-1) had sneaky good run when seventh in the Derby and comes into this five weeks fresh. Excellent work pattern, including a strong gallop-out following strong mile breeze at CD in 1:42, followed by subsequent solid five-eighths. Among stoutest bred in here; live upsetter. Post draw most likely neutral but did him no favors. Great value on early line.

13-CREATOR (10-1)
Rebel third and Arkansas Derby winner was completely eliminated by horrendous trip in the Derby. Also owns good turn of foot when called upon and all the pedigree that’s needed but as a deep closer, his style works against the grain of Belmont Stakes dynamics. Wide draw most likely will not hurt this deep rallier.

HRI Staff Selections will be posted Friday

Written by John Pricci

Comments (6)

 
 

Friday, June 03, 2016


Tough Late Pick 4 at Belmont; Value Abounds


BELMONT PARK LATE PICK 4 AN ALL-ENTRANTS LOOK JUNE 6, 2016

By John Pricci
Exclusively for 123GAMING.com


Listed by program number with early line odds

RACE 7: MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT NY-BREDS 3 & UP 6-1/2 FURLONGS


1-SUMMER BOURBON (15-1)
placed gamely earning good foundation Pricci Energy Rating despite racing greenly but that came vs. four maiden claiming rivals.

2-ARTHUR AVENUE (12-1) broke poorly and bumped from pole position in heavily backed debut this winter and away since. Michelle Nevin 3-for-7 when adding first Lasix; wakeup potential.

3-INVESTIGATOR (4-1) never has taken a backward step on the PER scale, earning excellent figure in winter finale. First-time Catalano, blinkers and Johnny; solid contender.

4-BORN FOR A STORM (10-1) owns reasonable pedigree top side for debut with dam producing two winners from three foals to race. Training steadily since March for Chad Brown.

5-BENEVOLENCE (6-1) showed improved early speed in second start, first at this hybrid trip. Cancel re-rides and McLaughlin 24% efficient second-time Lasix; good value on line.

6-FEAR THAT (20-1) has trained steadily for debut but is lacking nature and nurture for successful first start.

7-KENYAN (8-1) finished well too late in May 14 BEL debut, earning excellent PER, among field’s best. Hushion 31% effective with second time starters; excellent value at early line odds.

8-MASSENA (15-1) showed brief speed and stopped in turf/racing debut now switches to Dutrow barn that’s 24% turf-to-dirt and 27% with second-time starters. Price shot player.

9-COLD REVENGE (12-1)
has nature and nurture for career debut. Lynch having (profitable) career year and is also profitable with his debut types at this level. Dam’s produced 4 winners from 5 starters, including a stakes winner.

10-BROOKLYN MAJOR (10-1) has put it together since Lasix added four back. Finished strongly when third in recent BEL debut, earning field’s top PER. Again, more value available on posted early line.

11-COLONEL ANDY (20-1) dam has produced five winners from six starters but Freud a 10% debut style. Sciacca having profitable 2016 but 0-for-last-24 with debut runners.

12-LEGENDARY HUMOR (50-1)
barn winless in 2016 and gelding by 4% first-out sire.

13-D’ELOQUENT (6-1) earned competitive PER when 1-1/4 lengths behind Brooklyn Major in debut. Dilger profitable with second-starters and a profitable and worthy 29% adding blinkers. Loses Rosario to out-of-town assignments.

14-JET BLACK (5-1) just missed in strongly run mile despite stumbling beginning in BEL debut now turns back with conditioning switching to leading rider J Ortiz; very solid player.


RACE 8 Grade 3 PENNINE RIDGE STAKES 3YO 1-1/8 MILES INNER TURF


1-HAMMERS VISION (8-1) earned best last-out PER when second over course and distance, albeit on yielding ground. Stakes tested and broke maiden here in debut at 2. Confident placement by Lynch, considering added distance.

2-CAMELOT KITTEN (8-5) won the G2 American Turf at Churchill last out getting first-time blinkers. Broke maiden this course at 2, all dam’s winners have won on turf. Worthy favorite for Brown/Ramsey/Irad team.

3-KISMET’S HEELS (15-1) is maiden vs. winners but not disgraced in GP Grade 3 prior to recent roaring-finish placing but losing Castellano in this spot.

4-AZAR (5-1) is multiple graded stakes money performer including G2 win at Saratoga last summer. Badly out-posted in last two starts, not so here for Todd/Johnny team; major player on competitive Thoro-Graph figure with favorite.

5-HIGHLAND SKY (8-1) gamely won overnight stakes in Aqueduct finale and was beaten only 4-1/2 in the B Cup Juvenile Turf last year; incremental improvement augurs well developmentally and gets along nicely with Luis Saez; excellent value on early line.

6-DRESSED IN HERMES (10-1) was out-posted and predictably suffered a wide trip in G2 American Turf; also was competitive in BC Juv Turf and Armstrong profitable on turf and 23% efficient in graded stakes.

7-CALL PROVISION (12-1)
came from far back to break maiden at Big A in April when well meant. Chad profitable with this spacing and J Ortiz on a return call. Price shot potential despite high profile connects.

8-CONVERGE (8-1) uncoupled Chad runner won G3 Palm Beach this winter at GP. Mare’s four winners all won on grass but must overcome apparent gate issues.

9-TOUGHEST ‘OMBRE (30-1)
raced evenly in Woodhaven after TAM maiden breaker; must show more.

10-NOBLE QUALITY (12-1)
has improved markedly since adding Lasix two back but gets wide draw and facing much tougher in spot. Competitive T-G figure getting weight break.


RACE 9 CLAIMING 3M & UP 6 FURLONGS


1-STAY TUNED (3-1) has three exacta finishes from five starts on this track and turn back suits his style, as does switch to leading rider.

1A-STORM PURSUIT (3-1)
cuts the claiming price in half, a 33% scenario for elder Englehart and is profitable going turf to dirt and in LAY 3 scenarios; very solid with T-G figures to overcome wide draw.

2-PERFECT DISCO (12-1)
was a willing wide-trip third after poor start in winter track finale; (4) 1-1-0 here and Gullo profitable this year and with this kind of spacing.

3-GROUND CONTROL (5-2) was a top figure winner of Big A main finale and Rudy sib is 6-for-15 recently with repeaters; barn has cooled since suspension announced last week. High profile connects but a tough call at short price.

4-BERNARDO (15-1) was third in Parx starter allowances last out but that was 18 months ago. Sharp steady recent works for return but barn batting 8% with 90-days+ returnees.

5-DIGHTON (20-1)
was a willing third in strongly run 6-1/2F vs. better in last. Drops notch switching to L Saez and is 3-for-14 here, 4-for-41 everywhere else. Price shot potential.

6-KOWBOY BOOTS (50-1) has been beaten 65-1/4 lengths in three most recent starts for trainer enjoying profitable 2016. Ultimate mixed signals and a big reach.

7-HOWABOUTWE (20-1) re-claim by Antonucci was one-paced but improved third going mile in Big A one-turner and pics up Gryder. But all recent wins in minors at Finger Lakes.

8-BECAUSE I’M HAPPY (8-1) exits rapidly run sprint now down two notches for low profile barn profitable with claiming sprinters but winless at Belmont after five tries.

9-COLLIN’S SMILE (4-1)
earned excellent PER when dropped to this level in surface return when dead-heating for place. Picks up Cancel and properly spotted; solid contender.

10-CASTAWAY (5-1) has improved numbers-wise since March claim by Jacobson and had wide trip with too-late rally in last but loses Ortiz to Stay Tuned.

11-FIRST RANGER (30-1)
has been showing early speed then stopping. Winless in four BEL starts and woeful 1-for-17 at this trip.


RACE 10 CLAIMING 3 & UP 1 MILE WIDENER TURF

1-ARIPEKA (2-1)
second in 2015 G1 Makers Mark, slid abruptly down claiming ladder at GP winning last for $25K. Claimed by very live Gargan connects that jailed him and returns at same level off big-figure winning score. Clearly best form, but curious placement.

1A-HURRY UP ALAN (2-1) Main Track Only

2-IT MATTERS (30-1) is winless for two years over either surface now returns vs. tougher off layup; extremely tall order.

3-FINDING CANDY (20-1) showed improved lick in latest but weakened to third’ Barn’s horses known for turf success performing OK but unlucky this meet. Rosario elsewhere so gets L Saez. Wakeup price potential.

4-PATROLIKEACHAMPION (50-1) is 0-for-11 on turf and 1-for-30 overall, often beaten at huge odds.

5-MC ILROY (6-1) earned excellent PER when third on turf here in 2015 three back now drops to proper level in season’s debut picking up Irad for live connects; a player here.

6-DREAM MAN (10-1) veteran won last turf start here in 2015 and Hennig barn having strong meet. Beaten 2 lengths after trailing in AQU finale and profitable turf/barn rider Alvarado sticks. Value at early line odds.

7-MARRIAGE FEVER (20-1) gets fairly close then fails to seal the deal. Turns back to one-turn mile after mid-moving in MTH two-turner recently. Likely to improve some.

8-MR. CANADA (15-1) always a pace player and will be on the engine but must contend with favorite’s speed. Gryder re-rides runner 2-for-6 on turf and 1-for-11 on anything else.

9-HIDDEN VOW (15-1) Serpe horses going well here thus far and freshened to return to BEL turf (13) 3-2-1 after posting 0-for-25 record elsewhere. Picks up strong-finish Arroyo; appears live price shot.

10-COMPLIANCE OFFICER (8-1)
10YO pro has won eight races on this course and hails from good turf connects but likely to need a run coming off the bench at his age despite sharp recent work.

11-ALL OVER ME (5-1) gelded 5YO has come into his own on turf for Maker who is very worthy 41% profitable with claiming repeaters. Proper spacing and 2-for-5 at the trip.

12-SINATRA (6-1)
earned excellent PER score here last fall returning fresh and repeats that pattern for Mott having tough meet but capable with layups. Reunites with winning rider Johnny with sharp recent blowout.

13AE-LIVE IN JOY (10-1)
overmatched in first start off claim over BEL turf May 20 now returns to sensible level for Klesaris, 22% effective with his second chance runners. Switch to L Saez augurs well.

14-CITY STEEL (9-5) Main Track Only

15-EASY COMPARISON (6-1) Main Track Only

See tomorrow's Feature Race Analysis for On the Record selections, brought to you by http://www.123BET.com

Written by John Pricci

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