John Pricci

HorseRaceInsider.com executive editor John Pricci has over three decades of experience as a thoroughbred racing public handicapper and was an award-winning journalist while at New York Newsday for 18 years.

John has covered 14 Kentucky Derbies and Preaknesses, all but three Breeders' Cups since its inception in 1984, and has seen all but two Belmont Stakes live since 1969.

Currently John is a contributing racing writer to MSNBC.com, an analyst on the Capital Off-Track Betting television network, and co-hosts numerous handicapping seminars. He resides in Saratoga Springs, New York.

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Friday, May 04, 2018


Derby of the Century; Hyperbolists Need Not Apply


LAS VEGAS, May 3, 2018--We’ve never seen anything like this Kentucky Derby in the modern era. It's so good that the racing gods want to see it, too.

Not only is the field the deepest of the Millennium with many potential superstars led by the undefeated Justify, followed by freaky equine composer Mendelssohn.

And they are followed by undefeated Magnum Moon and a defending champion juvenile, followed by… Well, you get the point.

The racing gods want to see this because in their wisdom they hindered no major runner's position in the gate—and let’s say there are a minimum of seven of very live top contenders. None of them were hurt by the post draw in a 20-horse lineup. What are the odds?

We’ll all know soon enough: Advance Betting on the Kentucky Derby begins Friday. This is how the HRI Staff thinks the finish will play out, in graded order

Tom Jicha

1. Mendelssohn--Half to Beholder freaked first dirt.
2. Justify--No telling how good he is, on all my multiples.
3. Audible--Can't fault in any way off Gulfstream stakes wins.
4. Good Magic--Chad has 2YO champ coming up to best race.
5. Flameaway--Potential exotic ticket maker.

Mark Berner


1- Justify trained sharply; out in 1:38.22 after strong 7F
2- Audible gets suitable setup and good post.
3- Good Magic is professional and still improving.
4- Bolt D'Oro has been competitive with top colts.
5- Mendelssohn won with Derby weight and back on Lasix.

Indulto

1. Vino Rosso – John V’s choice, Thoro Graph-validated
2. Audible – Javier C’s choice, Florida Derby Winner
3. Justify - TimeformUS superhorse, Baffert magic
4. Mendelssohn – Beat lesser and clock spectacularly
5. Good Magic – 2yo champ, Brown’s turn?

John Pricci

1. Good Magic still developing, tactical champion has trained to the minute
2. Bolt D’Oro near-champion on same schedule; 10F bred; very sharp works w/ Victor
3. Audible made two undeniably compelling performances at Gulfstream
4. Vino Rosso is the 'now' horse, training great; has pedigree, style, kick
5. Justify looks like real deal but now must prove he’s up to very tough test





Written by John Pricci

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Thursday, May 03, 2018


The Double of 2018: Chaotic Oaks Meets Perfect Derby


LAS VEGAS, May 3, 2018--With the deservedly attendant hoopla around Derby 144, the most competitive of the Millennium, the ladies have been getting short shrift.

They might not be their equal but that matters little; the 144th renewal of the Kentucky Oaks, while less top-heavy than the Derby, is every bit as competitive.

All regions are live in here, meaning equine representatives hail from the West, South, Midwest and Northeast. Throw in the chances of a wet track and viola: Chaos.

Going in, this is how HRI staffers and contributors figure the mighty Oaks will shake out. In recognition of our exotics age, here, in graded order, is the HRI Staff High Five:

Tom Jicha


1. Monomoy Girl--Best filly, post not as bad as it appears--might help price.
2. Coach Rocks--Fulfilled promise in G2 Gulfstream Oaks.
3. Midnight Bisou--SoCal beast, but wasn't beating much.
4. Rayya--Distant second behind monster male in UAE Derby
5. Take Charge Paula--Consistent record, could sneak into exotics

Mark Berner

1- Midnight Bisou gets there with good late run.
2- Monomoy Girl may be beyond best distance.
3- Classy Act has speed; tough is unchallenged.
4- Eskimo Kisses has the best late kick.
5- Rayya placed in Dubai Derby; first-time Lasix.

Indulto


1. Midnight Bisou – Three uncontested wins at 3
2. Monomoy Girl – Good 2YO and a better 3YO
3. Chocolate Martini – So far, the Claim of the Year
4. Coach Rocks - Late maturing and still improving
5. Rayya – UAE Derby second to Mendelssohn

John Pricci


1 Coach Rocks – Late developing distance pedigree; never better; dynamics suit
2 Monomoy Girl –Rock solid, great development at 3; compromising draw
3 Wonder Gadot –Proven at 9F; super sharp now; trips out with Johnny?
4 Midnight Bisou—Western Queen; laudably versatile; good draw; ‘Money Mike’
5 Take Charge Paula—Two-move tough trip GP Oaks; blinkers on; Kiaran improved

Return later today for the second half of the Double of the year, the 144th Kentucky Derby

Written by John Pricci

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Tuesday, May 01, 2018


Ladies First


Saturday’s Kentucky Derby is not the first big three-year-old race of the weekend to feature a natural East Coast v West Coast v Middle East rivalry.

So before Bullet Bob meets Quad Todd meets Groupy O’Brien, on Friday it will be Bill Spawr v Brad Cox v Dubai Bob.

And we’ll have fun, fun, fun till Churchill takes our big bucks away...

Will Mike Smith, Midnight Bisou’s chauffeur, win his third Kentucky Oaks and, in doing so, become the first to win it back to back?

Back in the day of black-and-white TV, Eddie “The Master” Arcaro turned the hat trick from 1951-53. That was then, this is now…

Slow-forward four decades, then another three, and on Friday we’ll see if Mr. Baffert is can win Oaks #4 and the first to go back-to-back since D. Wayne Lukas—the other Hall of Famer who made his bones one fast furlong at a time—did in 1989-90.

But if tradition is not your thing, flash forward to the present and take a look at the fillies we left open as possible Oaks heroines. Two horses may stick out on paper, but more than a few others intrigue:

Of course, Monomoy Girl (2-1) is the deserving favorite, but that quote might prove a little rich considering she’s drawn post 14, which is as wide as the Oaks can get.

Midnight Bisou (5-2) has looked every bit as impressive as ‘Monomoy,’ winning three straight graded events--including Santa Anita’s Grade 1 Oaks--by an aggregate 10-1/4 lengths. And both fillies are equally versatile.

With Midnight Bisou having drawn the #10 slip, Florent Geroux on Monomoy can keep a sharp eye on ‘Money Mike’. The break to the first turn will be very interesting and likely the key to the race--for the favorites and all the rest.

Five other fillies look live for the top prize and here they are, alphabetically:

Coach Rocks (12-1) impressed making two distinct moves to take the Gulfstream Park Oaks and she’s never taken a backward step going long. She’s looked great at Churchill Downs and while some are down on the fillies coming out of SoFla, we’re not.

My Miss Lilly (10-1) also continues to develop and has been the picture of robust health on the track in recent mornings. The good news is her figure winning the 9-furlong Gazelle puts her right there with the favorites; the bad is the move was significantly forward. Then that’s routine for spring sophs.

Rayya (15-1) is a complete mystery. The high profile new-Baffert has been tactical in Dubai and owns that glaring placing behind Mendelssohn in the UAE Derby. We’re assuming first-time Lasix, information that was not available prior to posting.

Take Charge Paula (15-1) was also forced into making two moves in the GP Oaks and stayed gamely despite tiring. She may be light on pedigree but not on heart or connections, showing improvement with maturity for Kiaran McLaughlin. Nicely posted, Jose Ortiz rides her for the second time today.

Wonder Gadot (20-1), along with Rayya, is the other filly that owns a win going this far. She’s disappointed at 3 after winning the Demoiselle last year until her last when she fired to the lead but failed to hold in the last jump. She returns to her winning distance here and Johnny returns to the saddle.

Should the forecast for rain hold, horses that have run well on wet tracks are Sassy Siena (2nd) and Chocolate Martini (3rd). Take Charge Paula, Midnight Bisou and Eskimo Kisses all won.

On Thursday, staff and contributor selections will appear at HRI under the Pricci Morning Line flag. Tom, Mark, Indulto and myself will provide exotic entertainment, grading our Top Five choices in order of preference.

Written by John Pricci

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