John Pricci

HorseRaceInsider.com executive editor John Pricci has over three decades of experience as a thoroughbred racing public handicapper and was an award-winning journalist while at New York Newsday for 18 years.

John has covered 14 Kentucky Derbies and Preaknesses, all but three Breeders' Cups since its inception in 1984, and has seen all but two Belmont Stakes live since 1969.

Currently John is a contributing racing writer to MSNBC.com, an analyst on the Capital Off-Track Betting television network, and co-hosts numerous handicapping seminars. He resides in Saratoga Springs, New York.

Most recent entries

Monthly Archives

Syndicate



Thursday, September 15, 2016


Woodbine Mile Late Pick 4


SEPT. 10 KENTUCKY DOWNS LATE PICK 4 WINS & NOTABLE FINISHERS

Reprinted By Promotional Arrangement with http://www.123BET.com


Race 7 MORE THAN READY STAKES 1 MILE

3-Watchyourownbobber (3-1) turns out to be yet another brilliant turf claim by Maker. Hard Spun 4YO has become a turf machine [(13) 6-3-2], is 2-for-4 at the trip and exits Mountaineer route that’s produced three next-out winners from as many starters. (won, 1-1)
7-Songsational (6-1) placed gamely in Saratoga’s Troy Stakes last out, comes up to added distance nicely for Mott, who taps Geroux for this. Recent bullet was 4th fastest of 69 peers this week at Belmont Park. (2nd, 9-2)

Race 8 ONE DREAMER STAKES 1 MILE 70 YARDS


7-Lots o’ Lex (10-1) gets back to reality after attempting G1 Beverley D in last for Aschinger, who’s 22% in LAY-2 scenarios and a worthy, profitable 24% with his shippers. Channing Hill has enjoyed prior success at this unusual configuration. (won, 12-1)
6-No Fault of Mine (3-1) is remarkably versatile 4YO that handles all surfaces—including turf in lone try at the trip. Has been toughened recently in series of graded events and attracts Geroux, 4-for-12 for this outfit in 2016. Logical favorite. (2nd, 2-1)
1-Fleet Birdie (12-1) carefully pointed here by LoPresti for longtime clients, drew off impressively to beat NW2 in Indiana Grand turf debut this June. Training well at KEE base for barn that’s batting 19% with repeaters and which has them ready off the bench. (3RD, 6-10

Race 9 Grade 3 KENTUCKY TURF CUP 1-1/2 MILES

7-Da Big Hoss (7-5) has proven amazing acquisition for Maker. Never-been-better 5-year-old is 3-for-5 at this trip, 1-for-1 at KD, and a winner of four of his last five beneath ‘Flo’. Worthy 125-pound highweight is handier than it appears on paper. (won, 1-2)
2-Bullards Alley (10-1), a G3 winner at CD this summer, was third in his lone start on this course with Glyshaw tapping regular partner Pedroza. Late developing, gelded 4YO has won at the trip and owns two strong 5F blowouts at CD base for this. (2ND, 18-1)
1-Rum Tum Tugger (30-1), a winner at this trip, is in from Saratoga for Sheppard, 1-for-1 with his only other KD starter to date. Legged up vs. tough set in the Johns Call last out, attracts BJ and merits super-exotics attention at anything near early line odds. (3rd, 60-1) [TRI: $354.80]

Race 10 KENTUCKY DOWNS LADIES SPRINT 6-1/2 FURLONGS

3-Mississippi Delta (5-2), a winner in her only start at trip, is multiple graded stakes-placed; Casse/’Flo’ team en fuego this year. Freshened at his CD base, is working well for this pointed placement. Worthy favorite has laudably versatile running style. (won, 3-2)
2-Rapid Rhythm (10-1) is versatile, hails from excellent connections but lacks experience on this course and at hybrid trip. Julien 1-for-2 for this outfit in 2016. (2nd, 10-1)
1-Rumble Doll (6-1) was narrowly beaten when fast-finish third at Spa now ships in for sharp young connections enjoying uncommon success with its turf runners. Was good second at Belmont three back in Belmont’s 7F Intercontinental augurs well. Attracts hot-riding BJ. (3rd, 6-1) [TRI: $214.00]

* * *


WOODBINE MILE PICK 4 SEPTEMBER 17, 2016


RACE 9 Maiden Claiming 6-1/2 Furlongs


1-River Ring Echo (20-1) Bred for speed on both sides of pedigree and dam has thrown a winner from as many starters. Barn’s horses outrunning their odds in 2016 but rider hitting at 4% this meet and gets the pole.
2-Butler’s Pick (7-2) Chased a solid pace in state-bred MSW debut and settled for place once beaten, ridden out only. Working purposefully since, switches to Da Silva and gelding drops into claimer here. Live.
3-Immaculate Inning (20-1) Lacks both nature (4% debut sire) and nurture (barn 5% on debut). Pedigree suggests more ground, too.
4-Fo’c’sle (15-1) Returns for Casse/Husbands team on high-profile day for recent Canadian Hall of Famer. Missed the break in only start as juvenile now returns for 3YO debut for outfit that’s 22% efficient with second-time starters. Must use.
5-Ratface Macdougall (6-1) Been showing improved speed with each subsequent start, just missing in last. Has bullet work for this but added sixteenth unlikely to help. Recent blowout fastest of 10 for the week here.
6-Just Reno (8-1) Reunites with McAleney and barn’s horses have been outrunning their odds this year. Willing third vs. five rivals in open special-weights last out following poor start behind recent repeat winner; interesting.
7-Splash With Me (10-1) Gained conditioning with improved try going two turns last time now makes sensible turnback while adding blinkers. Moran sticks.
8-Sir Bronx (3-1) Carroll barn en fuego recent and is 35% effective with its beaten claimers. Late developing 3YO gelding has improved since dropping to this level for last two. Solid works and Contreras on a return call; obvious must use.
9-Teiaiagon (4-1) Barn struggling this meet but has enjoyed success with runners going turf to AW. Shorter trip and rider switch should help, as does recent addition of blinkers. Strong wakeup potential.
10-Archer Triumph’s (12-1) Finished well too late following poor start in open debut now gelded 4YO drops in with Canadian breds and gets positive rider switch to Garcia. A player here.

RACE 10 Grade 1 NORTHERN DANCER 1-1/2 MILES TURF

1-Button Down (15-1) Carroll barn is a profitable 23% in LAY-3 scenarios and 5YO mare is multiple graded stakes runner including a win. One placing in two tries at the trip and Boulanger has won with 3 of his last 4 rides for this barn. One winner exited his last from as many starters to race. Money prospects at a price.
2-Big Blue Kitten (4-1) was second in his lone try on this course—a very game placing in G1 2014 International—won multiple G1s last year, now comes in fresh, pointed by Chad for this. Reunites with International partner Rosario and loves this trip.
3-Majeed (15-1) Has come to hand for Simcock this summer now ships in with first-Lasix and switching back to winning partner Jamie Spencer. Barn 3-for-9 with Euro shippers to North America.
4-Wake Forest (5-2) Talented but has been somewhat enigmatic this season despite winning G1 Man o’ War this spring at Belmont. Solid recent works since tough-trip Million try and gets switch to Irad. Anticipating big last-run finish.
5-Camp Creek (20-1) Interesting and very aggressive placement of 3YO for gelding that’s 2-for-2 on WO turf and 1-for-1 this distance since adding Lasix. In light here with Rafael Hernandez on a return call. Potential price shot.
6-World Approval (2-1) Has the right connections and been toughened on steady diet of G1 competition, winning the United Nations two back. Lacks any form at the distance but switch back to patient Julien could prove the difference. Looms underlay.
7-The Pizza Man (8-1) Hasn’t delivered [sorry] since taking Del Mar G2 last fall. Prolific winner is a worthy (9) 3-0-2 at the trip but has not hit the board in either WO appearance. Recent AP work 4th fastest of 47 peers last week.
8-Danish Dynaformer (6-1) Spotted well by high profile Canadian connections given today’s dynamic, as he’s 2-for-4 this course and distance. Was going very well at the end of Arlington Million and has worked well since. Gets along with Husbands; value on line, must use.


RACE 11 Allowances 1-1/16 MILES


1-Cito (8-1) Barn is profitable with its AW performers but has struggled this meet. Three lifetime wins here and loves the trip with five exacta finishes including two wins. Just missed vs. weaker in last but Da Silva sticks; more mixed signals.
2-Quiet Country (20-1) Owns too many seconds and thirds for our liking and while barn is profitable with its routers, it is winless this meet and runner also 0-for-11 at the distance.
3-Milwaukee Mist (4-1) 1-for-1 following barn change to Attfield who enjoys success going turf to AW, this runner’s preferred surface. Raffy Hernandez looking for repeat winning ride.
4-Habemus Papam (20-1) Was no match for three of today’s rivals last out when dropped into claimer, and loses Contreras to Seeking the Bay.
5-Chiefroll’nthunder (15-1) Comes from low profile outfit that (6) 2-2-0 at this session and 1-for-2 going turf to AW. Won his last, producing one next-out winner. Still, career slate of (13) 2-7-0 gives pause.
6-Ault (15-1) Winless in nine starts on WO-AW, including five seconds. Did win its last over 11 maiden claimers coming from well off the pace. Campbell on the re-ride here and gelded 4YO is at tops for Vella, profitable with allowances; interesting at early line odds.
7-Csonka (6-1) Attracts hot riding veteran Boulanger for barn that’s 31% this meet--similar stats adding blinkers--and is 24% profitable in first start off the claim. Bullet 46 with his blinkers for this.
8-Spanish River (20-1) Goes farther vs. tougher for 5% barn that’s shown no prior affinity with its stretch-outs.
9-Divine Sonet (3-1) Hails from live Attard outfit that’s 20% profitable with potential repeaters. Indeed beat several of these last out but in a field of five and loses Boulanger. Loves the trip: (10) 4-3-1.
10-Seeking the Bay (5-2) Arguably had no excuses when narrowly beaten last out but it came in a solidly run, good figure route. Barn enjoying profitable 2016 and Contreras sticks.


RACE 12 Grade 1 WOODBINE MILE TURF


1-Tower of Texas (20-1)
Finished well too late [see replay] when second in G2 Play King prepping for this August 20, a race producing one next-out winner from two starters. Won the King Edward at the trip last year--over weaker set, however.
2-Mutakayyef (7-2) Has been a different horse this season, winning Group 2 Summer Mile two back before a very game third vs. Postponed in York’s G1 Juddmonte International. Two of three lifetime wins at this trip and reuniting with winning partner O’Neill. Serious rival.
3-Arod (10-1) Was narrowly beaten in Group 2 at York toting 130 pounds now gets in with 119 while adding first Lasix for Chapple-Hyam. What he lacks is winning G1 form.
4-Glenville Gardens (20-1) Seeking fourth straight for Attard/Boulanger team following his Play King score. Gelded 4Yo is on the improve, a winner of 4 of 5 on this ground that includes one at the trip. Money prospects.
5-Full Mast (12-1) Has been pointed here by Mott this summer and just missed with great effort in Saratoga’s Lure despite being rank pre-race. Open spaces just might suit him here and Rosario up from NY for the ride; interesting price potential.
6-Passion for Action (20-1) Four-year-old colt is multiple graded winner that’s worthy (9) 3-3-0 on this ground. Worked strongly Sep 5, but this obviously is a different level.
7-Mr. Owen (15-1) Has been pointed to this since finishing well after the fact in this race last year. Group-1 placed, comes in fresh, three lifetime wins all at today’s trip and gets switch to Jamie Spencer. Value at early line odds or greater.
8-Tepin (1-2) Queen of the Turf, literally and figuratively, seeks eighth straight victory, fifth G1 since streak began last fall and her third over males. Wisely given time following arduous Queen Anne score. Outside draw provides Leparoux with options. Obvious one to beat, but this still a prep for defense of 2015 Breeders’ Cup Mile title.

See Saturday's Feature Race Analysis for On-the-Record Selections


Written by John Pricci

Comments (14)

 
 

Friday, September 09, 2016


Saturday’s All Stakes Pick 4 at Kentucky Downs


Reprinted via promotional agreement with http://www.123BET.com

SEPTEMBER 3 RESULTS SPA LATE PICK 4 WINS & NOTABLE FINISHERS

Race 9: Grade 1 SPINAWAY 2 YO FILLIES 7 FURLONGS


1-Sweet Loretta (5-2): Powered away to win opening-day Schuylerville, her second victory in as many starts by an aggregate 11-1/4 lengths. Javier on the re-ride; only knock is the pole. (won, DH)
6-Pretty City Dancer (7-2): Has the most experience with three starts but hasn’t run in two months so she owns no Spa experience. Well bred, very expensive and Irad subs for injured Leparoux. Casse readying for big Fall campaign per usual. (won, DH)

Race 10 Grade 1 WOODWARD STAKES 3 & UP 1-1/8 MILES

1-Shaman Ghost (12-1): Raced dully following lifetime best effort winning G2 Brooklyn now returns with first-Lasix, is pole sitting and switching to Javier. Improvement expected but this is much tougher task. (won, 10-1)
9-Mubtaahij (5-1): Was a good third in the Suburban as the favorite in first start since returning from Dubai, where he finished second to California Chrome. Likely to make last run for Irad; Kiaran 1-2? (2nd, 5-1)

Race 11 Grade 3 GLENS FALLS STAKES F & M 1-3/8 MILES INNER TURF


6-Suffused (4-1): Made strong, wide rally and nearly caught Guapaza in the shadow of the Waya wire. Working very strongly since that effort and Mott barn now firing on all cylinders. Gets Jose O. on the re-ride and looms dangerous rival. (won, 5-2)
3-Guapaza (3-1): And, yes, Chad has two in here and this is the stronger on paper as 5YO seeks third straight and second straight on this course. Waya winner has needed conditioning and Javier takes the re-ride; very logical favorite. (2ND, 5-2)

Race 12: Allowances 3 & UP 1-1/16 MILES MELLON TURF

2-Hockey School (5-1): Is straight forward on figures and has developed rapidly over the summer, was narrowly beaten third in course debut by ‘Tizz’ who had the more difficult trip; Rosario on a return call here. (won, 5-1)
1-Tizzarunner (9-2): Showed marked improvement going a mile in course debut confirming his affinity for turf. Casse barn, 19% in LAY-3 scenarios, adds blinkers after making strong, wide, too-late rally July 23. (2nd, 9-2)

***************************

KENTUCKY DOWNS SEPTEMBER 10, 2016


Race 7 MORE THAN READY STAKES 1 MILE


1-Goats Town (20-1) returns quickly following narrow defeat at Saratoga. Coach’s horses are known for outrunning their odds in non-graded events, recent work was best of 37 peers last week but draws tough spot for a turf debut—dam’s had one grass winner.
2-Power Ped (10-1) seems well spotted by Drysdale in LAY-3 scenario with West Coast sensation Prat getting the call. Multiple graded stakes-placed and gelded 6-year-old is 2-for-6 at this turf trip, 2-for-19 all others.
3-Watchyourownbobber (3-1) turns out to be yet another brilliant turf claim by Maker. Hard Spun 4YO has become a turf machine [(13) 6-3-2], is 2-for-4 at the trip and exits Mountaineer route that’s produced three next-out winners from as many starters.
4-Hootenananny (9-2) is the BC Juvenile Turf champion of 2014 and comes into this off useful winning prep in return from a freshening. Ward barn is leading KD trainer all-time, is 3-for-its-last 8 as of Tuesday and classy 4YO goes very well beneath Julio Garcia.
5-Thatcher Street (7-2) is co-highweight under 125 pounds, regular stable rider BJ Hernandez is aloft for Wilkes, who had winner here opening day. Multiple graded stakes-placed and returns with purposeful works off freshening. Two-for-three at trip and second in only prior KD outing.
6-Chiltern Street (6-1) was beaten less than a length at MSW level this trip last year here and Hootenanny’s uncoupled mate just missed in Spa finale and now gets switch to D Flores, 3-for-his-last-7 for this barn including opening-day score last Saturday.
7-Songsational (6-1) placed gamely in Saratoga’s Troy Stakes last out, comes up to added distance nicely for Mott, who taps Geroux for this. Recent bullet was 4th fastest of 69 peers this week at Belmont Park.
8-Dimension (5-1) hails from Murphy barn that’s had profitable year with limited starters, including two Canadian Grade 2s at WO and won with his only KD starter. Also shoulders 125 but gets successful partner David Moran on the re-ride and won the Turf Dash in KD debut last year.

Race 8 ONE DREAMER STAKES 1 MILE 70 YARDS


1-Fleet Birdie (12-1) carefully pointed here by LoPresti for longtime clients, drew off impressively to beat NW2 in Indiana Grand turf debut this June. Training well at KEE base for barn that’s batting 19% with repeaters and which has them ready off the bench.
2-Entrechat (7-2), late developing 4YO is graded stakes-placed and also ships in for Drysdale/Prat team (profitable 25% efficiency this year) after winning two of her last three. Strong workline off freshening and a winner at the trip.
3-Annulment (5-2) was a good third in lone KD outing last year and returns home from Del Mar for Vickie Oliver who taps Albarado, a winner on Broken Vow 4YO and who rode multiple winners here opening day.
4-Complete St. (30-1) ships in from Suffolk following recent third with re-addition of Lasix. A question of class but does attract Bridgmohan.
5-Inside Out (10-1), cross-entered at Delaware, ships in for Delacour, enjoying a super 2016, and properly placed at the trip (2) 1-1-0. Working bullets at Fair Hill base and gets turf ace James Graham in the boot. Viable as a price shot.
6-No Fault of Mine (3-1) is remarkably versatile 4YO that handles all surfaces—including turf in lone try at the trip. Has been toughened recently in series of graded events and attracts Geroux, 4-for-12 for this outfit in 2016. Logical favorite.
7-Lots o’ Lex (10-1) gets back to reality after attempting G1 Beverley D in last for Aschinger, who’s 22% in LAY-2 scenarios and a worthy, profitable 24% with his shippers. Channing Hill has enjoyed prior success at this unusual configuration.
8-Cabana (10-1) makes course debut but is 3-for-5 at a mile on turf and 1-for-5 doing anything else. Had sharp blowout at CD base, owns tactical speed and outside draw gives Rocco Jr. options.
9-Folded Wings (30-1) won his only start at this trip for low profile connections that’s profitable with turf runners. Versatile running style helps; welcome back Calvin.
10-America Mon Amie (10-1) finished well too late for third in Canterbury finale and gets switch to Lanerie for barn enjoying profitable 2016. Makes third start of form cycle but with Bute off today.


Race 9 Grade 3 KENTUCKY TURF CUP 1-1/2 MILES


1-Rum Tum Tugger (30-1)
, a winner at this trip, is in from Saratoga for Sheppard, 1-for-1 with his only other KD starter to date. Legged up vs. tough set in the Johns Call last out, attracts BJ and merits super-exotics attention at anything near early line odds.
2-Bullards Alley (10-1), a G3 winner at CD this summer, was third in his lone start on this course with Glyshaw tapping regular partner Pedroza. Late developing, gelded 4YO has won at the trip and owns two strong 5F blowouts at CD base for this.
3-Seve’s Road (6-1), a three-time winner since claimed, invades for Phil D’Amato trying new venue here. Has won two of last three starts, 1-for-1 at marathon trip, and is a profitable 26% in LAY-3 scenarios. First-time Flavian Prat.
4-Life’s Journey (8-1) makes second start off freshening but has no experience at this trip and a pedigree that’s on the short side. Another SoCal invader testing the waters and attracts Albarado.
5-Behesht (10-1), away since the G2 Wise Dan this summer, prepared for this at Saratoga while pointing here. Rusty Arnold having profitable 2016 and is 2-for-7 with runners making their second start for his barn. Lanerie rides intriguing price shot.
6-Power Foot (6-1) well meant as Drysdale’s third ship-in of the day. Multiple graded stakes placed makes third start off the layup attracting Graham for barn profitable with its shippers. Likes the trip.
7-Da Big Hoss (7-5) has proven amazing acquisition for Maker. Never-been-better 5-year-old is 3-for-5 at this trip, 1-for-1 at KD, and a winner of four of his last five beneath ‘Flo’. Worthy 125-pound highweight is handier than it would appear on paper.
8-Verger (50-1) will be seriously tested for class for NY barn not particularly known for turf success.
9-Greengrassofwyoming (7-2), uncoupled Maker entrant finished well too late when beaten 1-1/4 lengths in G1 Arlington Million last out. Gets two pounds from mate, won his only start at this trip, and attracts Leparoux; barn goes 1-2 here?


Race 10 KENTUCKY DOWNS LADIES SPRINT 6-1/2 FURLONGS

1-Rumble Doll (6-1) was narrowly beaten when fast-finish third at Spa now ships in for sharp young connections enjoying uncommon success with its turf runners. Was good second at Belmont three back in Belmont’s 7F Intercontinental augurs well. Attracts hot-riding BJ.
2-Rapid Rhythm (10-1) is versatile, hails from excellent connections but lacks experience on this course and at hybrid trip. Julien 1-for-2 for this outfit in 2016.
3-Mississippi Delta (5-2), a winner in her only start at trip, is multiple graded stakes-placed; Casse/’Flo’ team en fuego this year. Freshened at his CD base, is working well for this pointed placement. Worthy favorite has laudably versatile running style.
4-Miss Double d’Oro (3-1) Drysdale going for personal all stakes P4 here with SA stakes winner and hybrid distance specialist (5) 2-2-0. Goes well fresh and has been on the sidelines awaiting this. Dangerous rival also gets Prat aloft.
5-Quiet Prediction (50-1) lacks nature, nurture, and enough class to be competitive with this group.
6-Bon Heir (30-1) Barn finally got off the KD duck opening day, its first win in 16 tries at this unique course. Her last win came at N2L level and this spot hardly suits.
7-Late Spring (4-1) was third in two tries on this course previously and just missed in Del Mar finale for V Oliver. All-Kentucky connections taps Lanerie as well, blew out sharply at KEE base, but has been more effective in shorter turf sprints.
8-Seeking Treasure (10-1) just missed in this race in 2015, has ideal spacing and barn is 27% efficient in non-graded sprints. Handles the trip and is worthy (2) 1-1-0 on this ground. Solid recent works and a viable price shot here.
9-Anusara (15-1) won with blinkers added three back but another that seems better suited to shorter turf sprints. Reunites with Mena who got excellent late run from this filly last year. A tryer, yet only 1-for-9 on grass.
10-My Year Is a Day (8-1) Second D’Amato trainee uses speed-going-long-then-turnback tack and appears better suited by this sprint dynamic. Barn very effective on turf (profitable 21%) and gets Graham. May provide value, rating serious consideration.

See Saturday's Feature Race Analysis for On-the-Record Selections


Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)

 
 

Friday, September 02, 2016


Spa Late Pick 4, Labor Day Saturday Card


Exclusively for http://www.123BET.com, reprinted via promotional arrangement

SARATOGA RACE COURSE Results for AUGUST 27, 2016

Posted comments on winners with notable money finishers


RACE 8 Grade 1 KING’S BISHOP 3 YO 7 FURLONGS


13-Drefong (4-1)
has continued his march forward in two runs for Bullet Bob at 3, winning both starts while very impressive visually. Has good spacing, worked bullets since, and gets Mike Smith on the re-ride. Wide draw is the good and bad news. (won, 3-1)
1-Economic Model (6-1) placed gamely after making mid-race run into stretch in G3 Dwyer. Broke maiden here in 2015 and second to rapid Awesome Banner at trip in Swale. Training strongly in blinkers. (2nd, 7-1)

RACE 9 Grade 1 FOREGO 3 & UP 7 FURLONGS


11-A.P. Indian (3-1) Has won three straight, earning excellent PER and T-G ratings last out, owns tactical speed and kick and is positioned nicely to trip out. Knock is picking up six pounds as 124-pound highweight. Worthy favorite, however. (won, 4-5)
6-Tamarkuz (15-1) Raced dully in lone start this year, the Met Mile. Non-competitive in this race at 5 and expecting more of same today despite attracting Smith. (2nd, 6-1).

RACE 10 Grade 1 SWORD DANCER 1-1/2 MILES INNER TURF


6-Flintshire (1-5) Two-for-two at the Spa, may be world’s best turf marathoner. Showed his class to win Bowling Green off splits of 53 and 1:19.40. Pace likely to be more realistic here. Looms everyone’s P4 single. (won, 1-5)
2-Money Multiplier (8-1) Has come to hand for Chad in last two starts, won recent Spa return impressively and drops six pounds. Loses Castellano but picks up Irad and has shown affinity for this course. (2nd, 5-1)

RACE 11 Grade 1 TRAVERS 3YO 1-1/4 MILES

1-Arrogate (10-1) Has been extremely impressive visually in all two-turn starts this year, beating his elders in each of three appearances. Has speed, kick, the pole, and picks up Mike Smith. Up in class, distance and weight scale [all tote 126]. (won, 11-1)
2-American Freedom (6-1) Was an excellent second to Exaggerator on tiring sloppy track in the Haskell. Bejarano had his choice and sticks here. Has blinkers removed, a 31% Baffert tack. (2nd, 6-1)

****************************************************************************************************************************

SATURDAY SARATOGA LATE PICK 4 SEPTEMBER 3, 2016

Race 9: Grade 1 SPINAWAY 2 YO FILLIES 7 FURLONGS

1-Sweet Loretta (5-2): Powered away to win opening-day Schuylerville, her second victory in as many starts by an aggregate 11-1/4 lengths. Javier on the re-ride; only knock is the pole.
2-Special Risk (20-1): Was a good second in Spa debut July 22 but that’s the thing; still a maiden after two starts.
3-Runway Doll (3-1): Ran off the screen winning debut by 13 eased lengths going a sloppy six furlongs for Asmussen, not usually a debut-winning barn--except for Spa. Kin to six winners including a stakes winner but need to find out more.
4-Fun (12-1): Was a game-finish second in ‘Loretta’s’ Schuylerville after adding first-Lasix. Would need very hot pace, and then some…
5-Cherry Lodge (2-1): Mixed signals here as uncoupled ate of ‘Loretta’ ran faster on the Thoro-Graph scale but did not earn as high Pricci Energy Rating. Further, she’s not as experienced as many of her rivals but is kin to six winners, including three SW; your call.
6-Pretty City Dancer (7-2): Has the most experience with three starts but hasn’t run in two months so she owns no Spa experience. Well bred, very expensive ($825K), and Irad subs for injured Leparoux. Casse barn readying for extensive Fall campaign per usual.
7-You Know Too (15-1): Up from the Delaware Valley for Michael Gorham and is stoutly bred, though unfashionably so, and could handle five rivals at 3-10 in stakes in Stanton; highly unlikely.


Race 10 Grade 1 WOODWARD STAKES 3 & UP 1-1/8 MILES


1-Shaman Ghost (12-1): Raced dully following lifetime best effort winning G2 Brooklyn now returns with first-Lasix, is pole sitting and switching to Javier. Improvement expected but this is much tougher task.
2-Breaking Lucky (20-1): Best recent figures have come on WO Poly but like ‘Shaman’ is a late developing 4YO. Has struggled at G2 and G3 levels, however. Very ambitious.
3-Frosted (1-2): It’s clear after setting rapid, pressured pace winning the Whitney following fastest-figure TG ever Met Mile score that he’s raised his game to a new level. His main competition is in California, not here--even with surging Bradester in the next slip.
4-Bradestar (6-1):
Has really come into his own this year at 6 as he seeks fourth straight score. He, too, has raised his game but don’t think the two pounds he gets from Frosted will get the job done. Very nice horse having great season.
5-Catholic Cowboy (20-1): Barn has not found an easy spot to get its second winner of the meet; outclassed here.
6-Samraat (10-1): Has been freshened since just missing to Effinex in G2 Suburban but was no match for Shaman Ghost in prior, albeit at 1-1/2 miles. Gets six pounds from choice and aggressive Jose fits but…
7-Tale of Verve (30-1): Overcame some trouble to handle 3YO My Man Sam in preliminary allowances at this trip in July 23 Spa return but this will take more than a switch to JR to get this job done.
8-Tapin Mojo (50-1): Entered back quickly off recent prep for this by barn that’s profitable in LAY-3 scenarios and has had prior success with outlandish price shots. Super-exotic award at huge price not completely out of the question.
9-Mubtaahij (5-1): Was a good third in the Suburban as the favorite in first start since returning from Dubai, where he finished second to California Chrome. Likely to make last run for Irad; Kiaran 1-2 here?


Race 11 Grade 3 GLENS FALLS STAKES F & M 1-3/8 MILES INNER TURF


1-Miss Chatelaine (10-1): Apparently the “lesser” of the uncoupled Clement entry does not compete on performance figures and lacks course and trip experience.
2-Photo Call (10-1): Todd also has uncoupled mates in here and this one loves the trip but headstrong mare needs careful handling and might have been too fresh going 12F in latest here; now switches to Saez.
3-Guapaza (3-1): And, yes, Chad has two in here and this is the stronger on paper as 5YO seeks third straight and second straight on this course. Waya winner has needed conditioning and Javier takes the re-ride; very logical favorite.
4-Ball Dancing (8-1): Chased the pace as kind of unofficial Waya rabbit for Guapaza as it turned out. Has won Grade 1 but that was going shorter in yielding ground, not the case here.
5-Arles (10-1): Wohler barn’s German imports always worth a second look, especially those getting first-Lasix. Part of Team Valor’s change in emphasis with Europeans getting more of the focus. Bred to run all day long and attracts Rosario.
6-Suffused (4-1): Made strong, wide rally and nearly caught Guapaza in the shadow of the Waya wire. Working very strongly since that effort and Mott barn now firing on all cylinders. Gets Jose O. on the re-ride and looms dangerous rival.
7-Gap Year (15-1): Just won a secondary allowances as Kiaran empties the barn for getaway weekend. Has shown affinity for this surface (3) 2-1-0 and Santana, having surprisingly strong meet, takes the return call.
8-Itsonlyactingdad (9-2): The ‘other” Todd won G3 Matchmaker on yielding ground last out but handles any footing. Bravo takes the re-ride and has more than enough pedigree for added trip after earning career TG top.
9-Modernstone (12-1): Goes first-time for Clement (22%) off lengthy layup (21%) and picks up Johnny, but has failed to hit the board in three tries at this trip.
10-Achnaha (6-1): Finished well too late when third in Waya for Weaver having very solid meet and a profitable 24% of late when teamed up with Franco. Likes the trip and has money prospects but at better price.


Race 12: Allowances 3 & UP 1-1/16 MILES MELLON TURF


1-Tizzarunner (9-2):
Showed marked improvement going a mile in course debut confirming his affinity for turf. Casse barn, 19% in LAY-3 scenarios, adds blinkers after making strong, wide too-late rally July 23.
2-Hockey School (5-1): Is straight forward and has developed rapidly over the summer, narrowly beaten third in course debut by ‘Tizz’ who had the more difficult trip; Rosario on a return call here.
3-Intensity (8-1): One of two from Chad returning from long layups with identical form—winners of their only starts at 2. Castellano lands on the only one of four winning sibs to handle turf successfully.
4-Annals of Time (3-1): Earned field’s top figure at 2 now returns for Chad after being stabled at Belmont for owners battling for Spa title. Irad takes the return call and appears very well intended. Deserving favorite.
5-Forever in Love (5-1): 2-for-3 at the trip including 2-for-2 at the Spa; her last in secondary allowance state-bred conditions now goes in NW1 open. Blew out strongly for this gets Jose O. on the re-ride and has never regressed on turf. Fair value on early line.
6-Site Read (10-1): Got back to career best in 3YO debut, a figure that was earned on Spa turf in racing debut last July, but was given long rest following returning from lengthy absence; tricky read.
7-Bibbo (20-1): Goes second off the layup and first off the Asmussen claim with switch to Johnny. Seems well intended but this is a salty group and does exit a live Bond shed at this meet.
8-Tale of the Nile (20-1): Has never taken a backward step on turf and stretches out for crafty connections going synth to turf while seeking fourth straight. Kin to five winners but only turf runner among them; intriguing price shot.
9-Blackout (8-1): Jumped up in last two starts in European campaign now gets first Lasix for Casse (21%) who’s profitable when teaming with Jersey Joe B. Another interesting player in fascinating finale.
10-Gio’s Calling (15-1): Developed very nicely for Brian Lynch at 3 and returns with excellent spacing—six weeks fresh (21%). Had impossible trip in last and Saez rides gelding back but tough assignment, especially given wide draw.
11-Uno Emayo (20-1): Has won three straight, including both turf starts and his Spa debut over state-breds last out but figures lacking on both TG and PER scales.

See Saturday's Feature Race Analysis for On-the-Record Selections

Written by John Pricci

Comments (0)

 
 

Page 6 of 251 pages « FirstP  <  4 5 6 7 8 >  Last »