And just like last week—no excuses, just an opinion—it’s a difficult, wide open sequence, the iffy weather forecast making it even more treacherous than it appears already.
Per usual, we’ll suggest the plays at the end of the analysis, but please stay open to the elements and wager accordingly. We did take all possibilities into account but, of course, late scratches can change everything, sometimes dramatically. Here goes:
Race 7: Two strong favorites among the choices; McCarren Park (3-1), certainly consistently fast enough on the Equiform scale, can handle any surface and loves the distance (6) 3-1-0. There’s already been a winner from one starter out of his last. Smokin’ Alice (4-1) comes off a Delayed Pace Top, earning a figure that blows away the field, just another Rudy Rodriguez improvement case.
Union Victory (7-2) has a figure at the distance good enough to win this and boasts excellent wet track pedigree; Catalonia (10-1) earned an excellent figure winning debut last season, owns two-sided wet pedigree and :48 2/5 breeze was 13th of 97 in peer group for the week.
Race 8: To turf or not; that is the question. On turf, we’re spreading four deep; Departures (3-1), well spotted and from a barn that excels in Layoff-3 situations and getting big switch to Castellano, and Strolldownbroadway (6-1), coming off a Turf Decline Line for the team of Bond and Ramon, 007 a profitable 25% efficient in Layoff-2 scenarios. Tight bankrolls can concentrate here. Otherwise…
Robert The Bruce (4-1) is properly spotted here and had great breeze; half-mile in :48 which was 8th fastest of 97 in peer group and Orchestra Leader (5-1) comes from race producing three next-out winners and tries claimers for the first time. Larger bankrolls should consider including Pikestar (8-1) from terrific connections and with good spacing after going 1-for-1 with blinkers added.
Race 9 Grade 2 Vagrancy: Very trappy but we’re settling on three. Belle Of The Hall (8-1) loves the surface (4) 2-1-1 and the hybrid distance (7) 3-1-0 and blew out very well—half in :48 (5/65 in peer group). Nicole H. (2-1) is consistently fastest but ability at distance a bit suspect. C. C.’s Pal (5-2) is getting needed class relief.
Larger bankrolls should seriously consider the fresh Kid Kate (6-1) from Chad Brown who can get the ready and is white hot through Thursday (7) 4-0-1.
Race 10: Four solid must-inclusions are Magic Middleton (5-2) from Levine/Repole team with great stats in relevant categories with turf ace Castellano; Soup A’ Fleet (8-1) with very competitive figures coming off Delayed Pace Low with switch to Rajiv.
The other two are Go For Two (5-1), making his first start off the Rodriguez claim (28%) switching to Ramon and Bundestag (5-1), who broke through in season’s debut and now trying weaker with hot riding Cornelio.
Astonish (3-1) has had her chances bit has improved somewhat with blinkers and attracts Rosie.
50-Cent Main Ticket: 2, 4 with 2, 6, 9, 10 with 1A, 2, 3 with 4, 5, 6, 7 = $48
Note: If 8th race rescheduled to main track, #3 Nonno’s Boy [4-1] is a must use. In 9th race, #4 Kid Kite (6-1) and in 10th race, #9 Astonish (3-1) can be added.


02 Jun 2012 at 06:49 am | #
Better get your bets in when you can. State politicians are going nuts with ideas...no sodas...gov is (looking) at other options for Aqu.for convention center...curious to see the list of insiders to replace the crooks leaving..nothing will change just the names and bank account #’s...they are so worried about a drug free belmont,they should be worried about drug free politicians..nyra has one last idea floating around,you know go out with a bang,leave your mark...all fillies will have their tails dyed pink,colts dyed blue. This will help new betters follow their horse during the race..also new for night racing at churchill and other tracks lights on the horses head with the post # flashing...this should bring in some new fans
02 Jun 2012 at 08:12 am | #
Probably off the turf; the wet will surely decimate today’s card at the Big B, but one must have action, mustn’t one? So for all you sickos like me out there, here is a poor man’s mud ticket (before scratches) for a whopping $3.00.
7th:
2-Smokin Alice (3.95)
4-McCarren Park (4.27)
8th:
6-Strolldownbroadway (6.57)
9th:
1a-C C’s Pal (4.41)
3-Nicole H (4.78)
2-Belle of the Hall (5.35)
10th:
11-Dreamalot (5.68)
10th is a guessing game, and no reason 11-Dreamalot can wake up for a tag here. Use or lose.
TTT
02 Jun 2012 at 09:27 am | #
Russ, think wemight be a wee bit cyncial here, no? However, suffice it to say I feel your pain.
T, good job. Also fans should know it cost me $50 and you, I believe $3, to catch last Saturday’s at $583 per copy. Ignore Teddy at your peril.
02 Jun 2012 at 10:41 am | #
8th: 6-Strollonbroadway won’t be strolling today. Use 12-Silent Thunder (5.70) and 3-Nonno’s Boy (6.19). To all my friends and enemies; hope you have a great day at Belmont Park.
TTT
02 Jun 2012 at 11:20 am | #
Today’s purses:
Belmont Park: $617,000
Woodbine: $863,800
Let’s step it up New York.
How come Canada can do this and we can’t in the greatest city in the world? The way it should read on a Saturday:
Belmont Park: $1,000,000
Woodbine: $863,800
02 Jun 2012 at 11:37 am | #
Earth to Ted,
You are aware the NYSRWB mandated that claiming purses be slashed about 40 percent due to the Aqueduct inner track breakdown rate, aren’t you?
That applies to 7 races on today’s Belmont card. That, coupled with the US dollar trading at a premium to Canadian dollars, covers most of the difference.
Compare the two tracks next Saturday.
02 Jun 2012 at 11:53 am | #
Jupiter to Nick:
They are not my authority. Nor do I believe that hogwash regarding why they cut the money; sad if you do.
Next Saturday is not a fair comparison (obviously), because it is Belmont Stakes day. Did I really need to say that here?
We’ve gone back and forth on this for quite a while now, and don’t think you get the point. It is outrageous that any racing venue has higher purse payouts than New York. Yes, I am an opinionated, biased, proud, arrogant New Yorker, and will die that way. I have no affiliation with the defunct corrupt New York City OTB, the NYRA, or any other entity, and can speak my mind, which I believe to be the truth. But I love you Nick.
TTT
02 Jun 2012 at 12:54 pm | #
Ted,
I KNEW I shouldn’t have been skeptical when I saw that show last week which claimed there could be life on Jupiter.
Do those Jovian ADWs work well?
Let us know if you run into Wendell.
02 Jun 2012 at 02:53 pm | #
I’m convinced it is something like salt peter they are putting in the water up there in Troy that is the problem; get out while you still have a chance, and remember, I love you babe!
TTT
02 Jun 2012 at 03:28 pm | #
My Friend Teddy,
Let go of the starlets for a second. Both Belmont and Woodbine(Toronto is a big city in Canada) have slot enhanced purses. This is Woodbine Oaks and Queens Plate Trial(KY. Derby in Canada) weekend. This is in between Met Mile and Belmont Stakes weekend at Belmont. You may now return to business with the starlets.
02 Jun 2012 at 03:33 pm | #
Thanks Cat, and sorry for any prejudices I have that are not in line with reality. But I stand by my statements with regard to the big picture. New York racing sucks, compared to what it should be, based upon the corruption that has taken place, and I, for one, and someone who will not color it in any other way because of financial considerations, or trying to be seen in a good light, or not winding up in an alley with a bullet in the back of my head. Bring it; if you dare.
TTT
02 Jun 2012 at 04:51 pm | #
NY brother TTT,
I hear you, but this is not our fathers racetrack anymore, circa ‘72,’73 when Big Red called Big Sandy his home. New York was the Big Stage for great horseracing at that time. Big Red would race in NY 12 times out of 18 in his career. Ironically Big Red’s last race was at Woodbine. Times have changed but NY racing is still at the top. Racing at Saratoga, NY is still the best this country has to offer. You know all of this already. Stay focused, keep your sense of humor, go with the flow and keep picking winners. Did I mention stay humble? Tough game to survive mentally. If NOT TODAY(got me out in the 10th) then tomorrow.
New York, New York, is everything they say
And no place that I’d rather be
Where else can you do a half a million things
All at a quarter to three…
02 Jun 2012 at 05:13 pm | #
Cat, actually heard J Geils coming home from Vernon this afternoon. Glad the football player got you out in the finale. As for my Pick 4…
02 Jun 2012 at 06:28 pm | #
Preach,
You and followers are still way ahead of the pick 4 game after hitting last week. I played your pick 4 and Teddys today and after we got knocked out after the 8th race I muttered NOT TODAY. A buddy at the OTB racing palace heard me and said a horse named Not Today is running in the 10th. Had to play the hunch. My only regret was not boxing the exacta with Teddys pick Dreamalot. Let’s get em tomorrow!
02 Jun 2012 at 09:07 pm | #
Teddy: Stop irritating Nick. That’s MY job.
Preech: Never in a million new-light Obamabulb years would I have picked If Not Today, because horses with great names fail so often, it pays to bet against them.
And as far as your scoring today, again, I missed the show (Doylestown PA is a great place to visit this time of year while waiting for the B. Stakes to eventually roll around), so I suspect you hit again.
Economics: If you take that Canadian purse money and multiply it by the Can.-U.S. exchange rate percentage, won’t the two numbers (the U.S. $ # is a constant) be closer to being equal numbers?
That’s the first math question that I’ve had to articulate in writing in months, so if it confuses you as it does me, join the club.
Congrats to trainer Andrew Luckman, who won the 9th race on Thursday at BP with a hefty longshot. Aren’t THESE the trainers that we would be able to focus on if O’Neill was waking up in Hollywood Park these days, instead of Queens?
03 Jun 2012 at 03:39 pm | #
A sarcastic kudos goes to whomever, at the New York Post, who listed the winner of the 10th Race - If Not Today - as “Not Today.”
A real salute to T Cat for picking the $31.80 winner! TTT, not bad either, Dreamalot 2nd at 17-1. Combining the two paid an $570 exacta!
03 Jun 2012 at 04:31 pm | #
My Bad. Drop the If. When I saw it spelt correctly in the Daily News… whoops!
I still say If Not Today would have been a great name. But I Dreamalot.
04 Jun 2012 at 05:53 am | #
Don, You can sell your soul to the devil and get tomorrows newspaper today?
04 Jun 2012 at 12:20 pm | #
I used to be able to do it, but, alas, Robert Maxwell is dead.